This is an alternative to the usual just predicting win-loss records or predicting final conference standings. I think doing that just doesn't capture the range of possible expectations people will have for a team and forces you to pick one outcome, so we'll do this and see how it goes.

For each Sun Belt team, fill in the blanks:

I will be surprised if [name of team] wins fewer than _____ games or more than _____.

App State: 7...11 (Drinkwitz can tank them or take them to the NY6 bowl)
Arkansas State: 7...9
Coastal Carolina: 3...7
Georgia Southern: 6...10 (two P5 games, games @Troy, @App, @StAte make it tough)
Georgia State: 2...7 (tough non-conference schedule)
ULL: 5...9
ULM: 2...7 (tough non-conference schedule)
South Alabama: 2...7 (tough non-conference schedule)
Texas State: 4...6
Troy: 7...11

I will be surprised if [name of team] wins fewer than _____ games or more than _____.

App State: 7 to 12
Arkansas State: 7 to 9
Coastal Carolina: 4 to 7
Georgia Southern: 6 to 10
Georgia State: 2 to 6
Louisiana: 6 to 11
South Alabama: 2 to 6
Texas State: 1 to 6
Troy: 8 to 12
ULM: 4 to 6

App State: 8 to 11
Arkansas State: 7 to 10
Coastal Carolina: 3 to 7
Georgia Southern: 7 to 10
Georgia State: 1 to 6
ULL: 4 to 10
South Alabama: 3 to 6
Texas State: 4 to 9
Troy: 9 to 12
ULM: 4 to 7

App State: 7 - 10
Arkansas State: 6 - 9
Coastal Carolina: 2 - 7
Georgia Southern: 7 - 10
Georgia State: 2 - 5
ULL: 4 - 8
ULM: 5 - 8
South Alabama: 2 - 5
Texas State: 3 - 5
Troy: 7 - 10

I wouldn't be "surprised" necessarily if TXST, GAST, or USA got bowl eligible, but I would be impressed. Concurrently, I would expect ULL, ULM, and CCU to be bowl eligible. I'd be surprised if they surpassed that expectation, but also wouldn't be surprised if one of them barely missed the mark. I fully expect App, Troy, Ark St, and GS to be bowl eligible and would be surprised if one of them was not. I'd also be surprised if any of the top three matched the season they had last year.

App. St. 7-9
Ark. St. 5-8
CCU 3-6
GASO 7-9
GAST 3-5
LA 6-8
LAMO 4-6
So. Ala. 4-6
Tex. St. 3-5
Troy 5-8