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UCLA 8/31 push
@osu 9/7 road trip loss
Miami 9/14 win
@Marshal road trip win

TEMPLE win
TULSA win
UCF loss
UCONN win
@ECU road trip? win
@UH loss
@MEMPHIS road trip? push
@USF win

7-5 to 9-3

We get tough part of West next year.
No FCS. Two P5's.

Very pessimistic. UH just gave up 70 points to a good army team. We were better than UCLA last year on the road, we should beat them soundly at Nippert. OSU will have a new coach, and had a lousy defense this year

Looks like a fun OOC schedule, going to try to make it to either OSU or the UCLA game. We were the third youngest team in FBS and they were the second(might have that backwards, but I know App State was the youngest.) it will be interesting to see where we both stand after this season.

0-12. My predictions are always wrong, so......

(12-24-2018 12:36 AM)doss2 Wrote:  UCLA 8/31 push
@osu 9/7 road trip loss
Miami 9/14 win
@Marshal road trip win

TEMPLE win
TULSA win
UCF loss
UCONN win
@ECU road trip? win
@UH loss
@MEMPHIS road trip? push
@USF win

7-5 to 9-3

We get tough part of West next year.
No FCS. Two P5's.

I think UCLA will be a very difficult game next year as Chip had them playing well at the end of the season. I dont think they will look anything like the team we played last year. It will be a very winnable game though.

I don't see us having much of a chance against OSU. Their talent should get them through the game, and they rarely lose at home.

I think Houston will be a much easier game than anyone thought a month ago.

This may be off the mark a tad, but it is entirely possible that the road game at Marshall will be more difficult than the one in Columbus. BDF played Michigan on the road pretty good overall his first season with a far less talented team. Urban is gone so there won't be the "mystique" and having your former boss standing across the field. I'm not saying we will win the game but I could see the Cats keeping it close with our running game, an IMPROVED dual threat QB, a good defense, and a flip the field punter. The Marshall game could be an "emotional" let down after giving everything we have against the Bucks. Looking forward to next season!!!

We haven’t beaten Temple in ages. They return nearly everyone (Their #1 back
Moves on but he did not play against us this year).

It’s too early for me to give a prognostication, but next year we could be a better team and still have a worse overall record.

OSU is still loaded with 4 and 5 star talent. I can see them taking a step back but certainly don't see us winning. I'm sure UCF will be very good again next year. The other conference opponents look very beatable. Although I'm sure Temple will be very tough again next year. Marshall on the road won't be easy but we should have a talent advantage. They had a solid year but nothing spectacular. Got hammered by VT and best win would probably be FIU.

The schedule is tougher next year for sure. But we should also be better next year than we were this year.

We will compete only if our lines on both sides allow us to compete, it will be that simple.

(12-24-2018 09:23 AM)CliftonAve Wrote:  We haven’t beaten Temple in ages. They return nearly everyone (Their #1 back
Moves on but he did not play against us this year).

It’s too early for me to give a prognostication, but next year we could be a better team and still have a worse overall record.

The team likely will be better but the record not as good because:

1. FCS game replaced by a P5
2. Marshall on the road vs OU at home
3. UCLA will be much improved
4. Playing West's better teams (UH Memphis Tulsa) not (Tulane SMU and a bad Navy team)

OSU will have a new head coach and most likely a new QB. Plus, their defense will need to show major improvements. LF has had this game circled for a long time and will have the team pumped. I honestly give us a 40% chance at worst of winning up there.

(12-24-2018 11:18 AM)Bearcat 1985 Wrote:  OSU will have a new head coach and most likely a new QB. Plus, their defense will need to show major improvements. LF has had this game circled for a long time and will have the team pumped. I honestly give us a 40% chance at worst of winning up there.

That would be the shot heard round the world, if so.

Win against B1G refs in cowtown?

Unpossible!

(12-24-2018 11:18 AM)Bearcat 1985 Wrote:  OSU will have a new head coach and most likely a new QB. Plus, their defense will need to show major improvements. LF has had this game circled for a long time and will have the team pumped. I honestly give us a 40% chance at worst of winning up there.

OSU has a weak schedule next year, so if we do manage to beat them, they could easily be 9-1 going into the Penn State and Michigan games to finish the season. If that is the case, they should still be ranked highly and if we are undefeated, we might be in the CFP discussion.

Obviously a lot would have to go our way, as our schedule is pretty tough next season. My early prediction is 9-3, but I'm still optimistic. Just trying to be realistic given the schedule.

Run the table and we are in the CF4, guarenteed. Unlikely l, yes, but there is a path. Destiny is in our own hands.

(12-24-2018 02:12 PM)jarr Wrote:  Run the table and we are in the CF4, guarenteed. Unlikely l, yes, but there is a path. Destiny is in our own hands.

I don't know. This year, if we had won out with next year's schedule, we would have still been behind Alabama, Clemson and Notre Dame. Would we have been chosen ahead of Oklahoma?

Without doing some real digging (It's Christmas Eve and I am feeling a little lazy), I wonder how rare (or common) it is for a G5 team to have two P5 teams on the schedule, one of those at home?

Asked another way, how many G5 teams will have home and home with a P5 team next year? What % of G5-P5 match ups will be "buy games"?

I ask the question thinking about how UCF was bashed for their weak schedule (the week that Alabama was playing College of Charleston.)

Also, no FCS teams on our schedule next year. I like that, though I understand how and why it happens.

(12-24-2018 07:23 PM)ucbandguy Wrote:  Without doing some real digging (It's Christmas Eve and I am feeling a little lazy), I wonder how rare (or common) it is for a G5 team to have two P5 teams on the schedule, one of those at home?

Asked another way, how many G5 teams will have home and home with a P5 team next year? What % of G5-P5 match ups will be "buy games"?

I ask the question thinking about how UCF was bashed for their weak schedule (the week that Alabama was playing College of Charleston.)

Also, no FCS teams on our schedule next year. I like that, though I understand how and why it happens.

Most of the teams in the AAC play 2 P5 schools. Just off the top Houston has Washington State going to their place and play at Oklahoma. Stanford is going to UCF and UCF travels has Pitt. Wisconsin is going to USF and the Bulls go to Georgia Tech. They also play BYU.

Not sure how many of you saw this, but VT had a series of games with ECU that they just backed out of due to issues surrounding cancellation of this year’s games due to a hurricane.

In 2018 vs P5:
UCONN 1 @ Syracuse = L
ECU - 2, North Carolina = W, @ VT (cancelled), @ NC State = L (weather make up)
USF - 2, Illinois = W, Georgia Tech = W
Temple - 2, @ Maryland = W, @ BC = L
Memphis - 1, @ Missouri = L
Houston - 2, Arizona = W, @ Texas Tech = L
Tulane - 2, Wake Forest = L, @ O$U = L
SMU - 2, TCU = L, @ Michigan = L
Tulsa - 2, @ Texas = L, @ Arkansas = L
UCF - 2, @ North Carolina (Cancelled) , Pitt = W
UC - 1, @ UCLA = W
Navy - 1, ND = L

7 W, 12 L
Vs ACC - 3 W, 4 L
vs B1G - 2 W, 2 L
vs Big 12 - 0 W, 3 L
vs Pac 12 - 2 W, 0 L
vs SEC - 0 W, 2 L
vs ND - 0 W, 1 L

Home - 5 W, 3 L , Road 2 W, 10 L

So, the ACC got a little more exposure to the P5 than I was thinking. 20 games across 12 teams, 1.67 per team. Weather cancellations / reschedules foul up the math a little.

Predictably, the 25 teams from the P5 won their games, the rest were evenly split. I am guessing there is a "buy game" element in the excess of road games over home games, but I have not really researched it.

My contention remains that an increase in home and home games vs the P5 is a very good thing for the league.

(12-24-2018 10:40 PM)CliftonAve Wrote:  

(12-24-2018 07:23 PM)ucbandguy Wrote:  Without doing some real digging (It's Christmas Eve and I am feeling a little lazy), I wonder how rare (or common) it is for a G5 team to have two P5 teams on the schedule, one of those at home?

Asked another way, how many G5 teams will have home and home with a P5 team next year? What % of G5-P5 match ups will be "buy games"?

I ask the question thinking about how UCF was bashed for their weak schedule (the week that Alabama was playing College of Charleston.)

Also, no FCS teams on our schedule next year. I like that, though I understand how and why it happens.

Most of the teams in the AAC play 2 P5 schools. Just off the top Houston has Washington State going to their place and play at Oklahoma. Stanford is going to UCF and UCF travels has Pitt. Wisconsin is going to USF and the Bulls go to Georgia Tech. They also play BYU.

Not sure how many of you saw this, but VT had a series of games with ECU that they just backed out of due to issues surrounding cancellation of this year’s games due to a hurricane.

Team of stiffs...they won't win 3 games


book it