(11-25-2018 09:59 AM)bullet Wrote: If Oklahoma is ahead of Ohio St. Tuesday night, they will be in with a win in the ccg and a Georgia or Clemson loss. Ohio St. was ranked behind 2 loss LSU, G5 UCF and even behind Washington St. who had no significant wins, Utah being their only ranked opponent. The committee, prior to Saturday, had a pretty low opinion of Ohio St.
Yes, but that opinion is likely to change pretty dramatically, because everyone is raving over OSU walloping Michigan. You are correct that OSU's defense has been itself very shaky, but when you win by 25 over #4 that gets overlooked in a way that OU's shaky D won't be.
I think Oklahoma will be #5 to OSU's #6 in this week's CFP, but i do not think this means OU will be guaranteed to finish ahead of OSU if they beat Texas. It will depend on how the CCG games unfold.
If OSU clobbers NW say 45-0 while OSU barely squeaks past Texas, expect OSU to jump OU in final CFP. If OU gains big revenge, clobbering Texas, while OSU puts in a Maryland-type performance vs NW, barely eeking by, then expect OU to get the final nod.
But style points will count greatly if both win.
Also, neither OU or OSU necessarily needs Alabama to beat Georgia. That would be great, but if Alabama loses, Alabama could fall behind either of them and out of the playoffs. Again, it will depend on how Alabama loses. If Alabama gets blown out, like Oklahoma did in 2003, then Alabama is gone. If Alabama loses in a squeaker, then Alabama likely remains in playoffs knocking both OU and OSU out (I am assuming Clemson and ND are locks, Clemson because there's no way they lose to Pitt).
Style points and MOV will count greatly in these scenarios.