The following analysis is based on numbers & percentages provided by ESPN per their FPI measure. A win is considered as being given a 55.0% chance or better of winning a game. A loss is considered as being given a 45.0% chance or worse of winning a game. A tossup is considered as being given a 45.1-54.9% chance of winning a game. For ranking divisions, wins will be worth 1.0 points and tossups will be worth 0.5 points, with a total score of 8 meaning that all conference games were won. Parentheses will be in the following order (wins-losses-tossups). The first set of parentheses will be overall record, second set will be conference record, and the third will be divisional points.

East Division:

1) Marshall (10-2-0) (8-0-0) (8)

2) MTSU (7-4-1) (6-1-1) (6.5)

3) FAU (7-3-2) (5-1-2) (6)

4) WKU (5-6-1) (3-4-1) (3.5)

5) ODU (3-6-3) (2-5-1) (2.5)

6) FIU (2-9-1) (1-6-1) (1.5)

6) Charlotte (1-8-3) (0-5-3) (1.5)



West Division

1) UNT (8-1-3) (5-0-3) (6.5)

1) LA Tech (8-3-1) (6-1-1) (6.5)

3) UAB (7-3-1) (5-3-0) (5)

4) Southern Miss (5-6-1) (4-4-0) (4)

5) UTSA (4-8-0) (3-5-0) (3)

6) Rice (2-11-0) (1-7-0) (1)

7) UTEP (0-11-1) (0-8-0) (0)

Of note is that LA Tech @ UNT is currently a tossup (50.6-49.4), so a true #1 can not yet be decided in C-USA’s west division.
If these numbers hold we would have 6 bowl eligible teams for the post season.