Here's my breakdown as of right now.

2017-18 Men's Basketball Standings

SCHOOL/CONF/OVERALL

NCAA Bound
1. Cincinnati 12-12/3-3
2. Houston 10-3/20-5
3. Wichita State 10-3/20-5

NIT Bound
4. Tulsa 8-5/15-10
5. UCF 7-6/16-9
6. Temple 7-7/15-11

NIT Possible
7. Memphis 6-7/15-11
8. SMU 5-8/15-11

Not Good
9. UConn 5-8/12-14

Learning to Swim
10. Tulane 4-9/13-12
11. ECU 4-9/10-14

Win Does Spring Football Start?
12. USF 1-13/8-19

Memphis will have to win out to get to the NIT, including beating Houston.

http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

This still has Temple comfortably in. Will be interesting to see how this formula does with the new tier-based resumes.

(02-16-2018 03:49 PM)TU4ever Wrote:  

(02-16-2018 03:42 PM)_C2_ Wrote:  

(02-16-2018 02:46 PM)LetsGoUC Wrote:  90% chance AAC ends up with 3 bids.
I can see 2 if wichita or houston completely implode (they wont)
I can see 4 if Temple gets to 20 wins in any way (they have great metrics and SOS)

What's up with Tulsa? Sneaky 15 wins. Do their fans have any postseason expectations? Out of the 12 AAC teams I think about Tulsa the absolute least. No one talks about them.

If Temple wins out and someone other than them, Wichita, Cincy or Houston (presuming they take care of business) wins the AAC, that's 5 bids.

Yup and a stumble here or there and Co|d will get the big pee prediction right. 5 bids for each league is possible.

This conference is going to be a monster when UConn is back to normal and Memphis is hitting on all cylinders. If we get USF and ECU inside the top 200 and more than half the conference could be in the tournament.

This year of usf basketball feels an awful lot like 2013 in football. There's some good freshmen, a few transfer seniors who can make the game interesting, but it's going to be 2020 before we have a real shot at even the NIT. That said, I like Brian Gregory and I think he will have this team on the right track. He's finally pushed some stability onto the roster. He just doesn't have all the pieces yet.

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(02-17-2018 06:19 PM)bullsbucsfan426 Wrote:  

(02-16-2018 03:49 PM)TU4ever Wrote:  

(02-16-2018 03:42 PM)_C2_ Wrote:  

(02-16-2018 02:46 PM)LetsGoUC Wrote:  90% chance AAC ends up with 3 bids.
I can see 2 if wichita or houston completely implode (they wont)
I can see 4 if Temple gets to 20 wins in any way (they have great metrics and SOS)

What's up with Tulsa? Sneaky 15 wins. Do their fans have any postseason expectations? Out of the 12 AAC teams I think about Tulsa the absolute least. No one talks about them.

If Temple wins out and someone other than them, Wichita, Cincy or Houston (presuming they take care of business) wins the AAC, that's 5 bids.

Yup and a stumble here or there and Co|d will get the big pee prediction right. 5 bids for each league is possible.

This conference is going to be a monster when UConn is back to normal and Memphis is hitting on all cylinders. If we get USF and ECU inside the top 200 and more than half the conference could be in the tournament.

This year of usf basketball feels an awful lot like 2013 in football. There's some good freshmen, a few transfer seniors who can make the game interesting, but it's going to be 2020 before we have a real shot at even the NIT. That said, I like Brian Gregory and I think he will have this team on the right track. He's finally pushed some stability onto the roster. He just doesn't have all the pieces yet.

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I agree it looks the same from outside the bubble. The comment about 200 was kind of the minimum I expect to see next year. I think USF and ECU are making changes to become more competitive and we will see improvements over the next few years.