Crebman
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RE: trump and the Evangelicals - A Love Story
(02-19-2018 12:46 AM)Zombiewoof Wrote: (02-18-2018 05:05 PM)JMUDunk Wrote: (02-18-2018 09:11 AM)Zombiewoof Wrote: (02-18-2018 08:45 AM)Crebman Wrote: (02-18-2018 08:34 AM)JMUDunk Wrote: Yup.
which interestingly will be studied for decades as to how a vast and varied field of career or semi-career pols all fell short to an outsider, newcomer.
I've been arguing politics (politely for the most part) since around 3rd grade, 1974, then Ford/Carter, I guess, with my friend Tom. Got a pretty good schooling on the topics and foundations after 7 years of "Higher Ed" as well.
Worked in, on, outside many campaigns since then, including Bubba's, W's and varied others, local and national.
NEVER seen this coming, til I watched a confluence of what took place.
First road sign was the Brexit vote. WHAT?!? They voted for what? Soon as I heard/read that, early Summer '16 I think, I thought damn. This may well be Ross Perot writ large.
This rather crazy, gold leafed, orange-haired orangutan may have a real shot. Ann Coulter called it right out of the box. Bully on her.
I've got no "love" (OP) for the guy, but he's a DAMN choice cut above what we were otherwise offered.
Vote for him over Her> again tomorrow...
Yep. I'd choose Trump over Hillary all over again and twice on Sunday.
What the Democrats seem still unable to realize is that Trump being president is easily as much their fault as the Republicans. I mean, THEY chose to all but coronate about the most unlikeable, sleazy candidate they could........and then throw a fit when the American people reject their sh!tty choice. Duh.
Yeah, I don't think they'll make that mistake again, but who knows? Mistakes are what politicians do.
As JMUDunk said, I never saw Trump winning the nomination, much less the general election. Then I looked at the weakness of the Republican field, plus the populist nature of Trump's campaign and thought he had a shot. Figuring HRC would win the Democratic nomination, I assumed Trump's weaknesses, combined with the natural demographic disadvantage Republicans start with, should provide an easy win for Hillary.
But make no mistake, it took a strange set of circumstances to elect Trump last time -- a monumentally bad Democrat, a less than stellar Republican primary field and a voting public ready to oust almost all of Washington. In spite of what you may read on political message boards, Trump is incredibly unpopular, even among populations that voted for him over HRC. I can tell you that Trump carried my area of Mississippi in a landslide, but there is no love for the man himself, and any competent alternative is likely to beat him in a reelection effort.
Well, to be clear on my end- I never said or would say “weak field”. I’d actually argue quite the opposite.
Take Trump off the stage and out of the entire thing, you’ve got a vast array of very impressive resumes, careers, titles, educations, backgrounds, legacies, name recog etc.
I just don’t know which one coulda thumped the Clinton machine. Can’t really envision any of them winning the General.
Took someone completely out of the box. That’s precisely what we got...
Our schittalker in Chief.
Actually, I never said that you said it was a weak field. I thought it was worthwhile to acknowledge that you didn't initially feel that Trump could win the nomination, then I preceded with my own thoughts.
As I saw it, the field had the resumes, etc. but they all had glaring weaknesses that were either inherent in their campaigns or exposed in the primary process. With the huge field, some of the better candidates couldn't get their message out and never generated any buzz with their candidacies. At the debates, Trump pretty much sucked all of the air out of the room and the media focused on him and his comments about the other candidates. It was a masterstroke of political gamesmanship. Recall the reactions of Bush, Rubio and others when met with some of Trumps comments about them. They should have just walked off the stage, because they were done.
While I believe the media was partially responsible, some candidates didn't seem to have a coherent message that was relatable to the American public. It was the primary season, so they should be talking to Republicans, but a presidential candidate should try to win the primaries while keeping an eye on the general election. Only a few seemed to recognize that. Candidates that may have popularity among the GOP faithful might have little chance in garnering crossover votes from traditional Democratic voters. Guys like Huckabee, for example, would have zero chance in the general election, so all he did was take time and media exposure away from credible candidates.
Back to the thread topic, I believe evangelicals have soured on Trump to a large degree. They were willing to give him a chance and hoped his policy choices could overcome shortcomings in character. I just think there is becoming something of a fatigue from the mounds of reports of sexual improprieties, which have been piled on other questionable statements/actions. His twitter nonsense hasn't helped him and, contrary to a comment earlier in the thread, he hasn't slowed down with the crazy tweets, as evidenced by this weekend's tirade.
He has three years to turn it around or seal his fate as a one term president. But if the conversations I am having with Southern Baptists in south Mississippi are any indication, he has work to do to regain their trust and support for another term. Some of those who couldn't stand Hillary and strongly supported Trump to beat her have expressed to me that they can't envision voting for him again. Take it for what it's worth.
You may be correct and the evangelicals refuse to back Trump, and it's likely that some will.
One thing I wonder though is that the MSM has taken the Trump bashing to a level, some true stuff - a lot not, that I know plenty of folks that have just "turned off" the MSM and assume whatever they say next is as likely a lie or distortion as it is truth.........the old crying wolf so often that they become like background noise.
I mean consider, they've bashed him for eating 2 scoops of ice cream. How much of that does it take for people to just "tune out the noise"??
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