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2018 S&P+ Projections
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TroyFootball05 Online
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Exclamation 2018 S&P+ Projections
https://www.sbnation.com/college-footbal...rojections

63. Appalachian State
66. Arkansas State
78. Troy
106. Georgia Southern
107. Louisiana Monroe
109. South Alabama
113. Georgia State
118. Coastal Carolina
121. Louisiana
123. Texas State
02-11-2018 04:42 PM
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ark30inf Offline
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2018 S&P+ Projections
I could have probably made this list in my sleep. Which is probably what they did.

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02-11-2018 04:45 PM
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Just Louisiana Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
I can't really argue with this early projection because we really don't know what we have until we get on the field with the new coaching staff. Although I would hope that we finish much higher than that but time will tell.
02-11-2018 04:46 PM
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EigenEagle Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
I agree with where we are within the conference but I'm surprised we're there.
02-11-2018 04:53 PM
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geauxcajuns Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
I’ll tell y’all now, the Cajuns will win 8 games. So I don’t see us finishing at 121.
02-12-2018 07:11 AM
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eaglewraith Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
Ya'll aren't paying attention. I don't think anyone is surprised by the conference order.

However, change from 2017 end of year rankings:
App: -45
stAte: -41
Troy: -47

Everyone else has a much lower swing.

I'd have to go back and find 2017 preseason rankings, but I don't think those 3 teams swung like that last year. For stAte, I'm not sure what that's about, but the loss of production is showing up in what people are expecting from App and Troy.
02-12-2018 07:58 AM
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TroyFootball05 Online
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
(02-12-2018 07:58 AM)eaglewraith Wrote:  Ya'll aren't paying attention. I don't think anyone is surprised by the conference order.

However, change from 2017 end of year rankings:
App: -45
stAte: -41
Troy: -47

Everyone else has a much lower swing.

I'd have to go back and find 2017 preseason rankings, but I don't think those 3 teams swung like that last year. For stAte, I'm not sure what that's about, but the loss of production is showing up in what people are expecting from App and Troy.

This happens in all polls every year since I can remember. What it says is we are a lot better than our perception. Almost all of us will end better than what the pollsters suggest.
02-12-2018 08:33 AM
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eaglewraith Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
(02-12-2018 08:33 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  
(02-12-2018 07:58 AM)eaglewraith Wrote:  Ya'll aren't paying attention. I don't think anyone is surprised by the conference order.

However, change from 2017 end of year rankings:
App: -45
stAte: -41
Troy: -47

Everyone else has a much lower swing.

I'd have to go back and find 2017 preseason rankings, but I don't think those 3 teams swung like that last year. For stAte, I'm not sure what that's about, but the loss of production is showing up in what people are expecting from App and Troy.

This happens in all polls every year since I can remember. What it says is we are a lot better than our perception. Almost all of us will end better than what the pollsters suggest.

This is not a poll though. It's stats based. In terms of these rankings that people put out, then you're right.

This is not the same as those though.

I believe this is also one of the first years that returning production has been counted the way he's doing it now. In the case of App and Troy, that is going to be a major reason for the shift you're seeing. Not sure about stAte....maybe it's because they're so up and down in the first place.

Regardless, the story here is that both App and Troy have a lot of questions that are affecting their outlook....and not from an "eye test" type evaluation.
02-12-2018 08:42 AM
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TroyFootball05 Online
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
(02-12-2018 08:42 AM)eaglewraith Wrote:  
(02-12-2018 08:33 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  
(02-12-2018 07:58 AM)eaglewraith Wrote:  Ya'll aren't paying attention. I don't think anyone is surprised by the conference order.

However, change from 2017 end of year rankings:
App: -45
stAte: -41
Troy: -47

Everyone else has a much lower swing.

I'd have to go back and find 2017 preseason rankings, but I don't think those 3 teams swung like that last year. For stAte, I'm not sure what that's about, but the loss of production is showing up in what people are expecting from App and Troy.

This happens in all polls every year since I can remember. What it says is we are a lot better than our perception. Almost all of us will end better than what the pollsters suggest.

This is not a poll though. It's stats based. In terms of these rankings that people put out, then you're right.

This is not the same as those though.

I believe this is also one of the first years that returning production has been counted the way he's doing it now. In the case of App and Troy, that is going to be a major reason for the shift you're seeing. Not sure about stAte....maybe it's because they're so up and down in the first place.

Regardless, the story here is that both App and Troy have a lot of questions that are affecting their outlook....and not from an "eye test" type evaluation.

My point is the computer polls do this too. Every year the massey computer (not the composite), sagarin and several others start Troy, APP, ARKST and the like in the 90s. We end up in the 30s-70s usually. It's not just a poll problem. This one has us in the 60s-80s but obviously -40 from where we were last season. I suspect that will be the case again.
(This post was last modified: 02-12-2018 09:50 AM by TroyFootball05.)
02-12-2018 09:48 AM
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JCGSU Offline
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RE: 2018 S&P+ Projections
(02-11-2018 04:53 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  I agree with where we are within the conference but I'm surprised we're there.

Lot hinges on if Werts takes the next step and we decide blocking is worth doing again.
02-12-2018 10:08 AM
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