(01-12-2018 09:34 PM)Hart Foundation Wrote: How did JMU finish tied for 3rd and tied for 1st in the two seasons before Rowe arrived if their ceiling was 4th place?
4th place was their seed in the CAA Tournament based on tie breakers. I believe that is the highest seed a Brady coached team ever attained- hence the ceiling after 8 years.
Just a reminder on how tie breakers work- it's based on your regular season record vs. the top of the conference. In 14-15 (Brady's second to last season JMU) while the Dukes tied for the regular season best record they finished 0-6 vs the other top teams (W&M, UNCW, and Northeastern). They improved in 15-16 in terms of the tie breaker games for 3-4 but again lost the tie breaker because their record vs the top 3 (UNCW, Hofstra and Towson) was 3-3.
I bring this up as a reminder on why JMU parted ways with Brady and I'll blame it on inferior talent/recruiting more than inferior coaching (the non competitive losses in Baltimore to teams they had beat the week prior in the CAAT notwithstanding).
Anyone who watched those games in the regular season and CAAT could see that the JMU team could not keep up athletically with the other teams- they had no chance against UNCW- couldn't stop them, could stay in front of them, could get their shots. You can have the best scheme or coaching game plan (which they didn't) and it wouldn't have mattered. You can launch as many 3 as you would like the team to and it didn't matter. Jeff Bourne saw that too. That is a ceiling. A ceiling in terms of Brady being able to recruit and retain the type of talent that could beat the conference's best in the regular season and in the post season.
Let's be honest had the Dukes not come out flat and ill prepared those two years in Baltimore- had they competed vs Hofstra and W&M like they had the week before (I guess Milahich and Shaver made adjustments and Brady didn't? ) they wouldn't have had a shot vs. the #1 seed the next night. That is a ceiling- a #4 seed ceiling under Matt Brady which by the way was a solid job by him given what he had to work with. That is why he is no longer the coach- it's a ceiling he couldn't break through. It's also why I'm still bullish on JMU MBB for the future and for this thread which asks confidence level in 19-20 because I believe in talent as a means of breaking through that ceiling.