JRsec
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RE: Dennis Dodd is wrong and there will eventually be 8 teams in the CFP
(12-09-2017 03:42 PM)XLance Wrote: (12-09-2017 12:14 PM)JRsec Wrote: (12-09-2017 10:50 AM)XLance Wrote: The only problem with going to a P4 is how to divide the Big 12, everything else has already been discussed and agreed on.
Everybody wants Texas and Oklahoma and is cool toward the other 8.
Getting agreement from the SEC, PAC, ACC and B1G has been the problem especially coupled with getting approval from Big 12 schools.
If ESPN winds up with the rights to the Big 10, SEC and ACC along with the Big 12, but doesn't get the PAC we may see a different kind of reshuffling that anyone has expected.
The PAC rights deal is up at about the same time as the Big 12 & Big 10 and the SEC's T1. With little prospect for a better outcome in the PAC you might see Arizona & Arizona State lured away by the Big 12. There has been some speculation that U.C.L.A. and U.S.C. might listen if that happened. If so do California and Stanford move with them? Or, even Washington and Oregon?
Let's say it is the Big 12 that moves to 16.
Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
Arizona, Arizona State, U.C.L.A., U.S.C.
Baylor, Texas, Texas Tech, Utah
California, Oregon, Stanford, Washington
Now the Big 10 goes to 16 with Colorado & Kansas.
The SEC moves to 16 with T.C.U. and West Virginia
And the ACC moves to 16 with Notre Dame in full and Connecticut (Their total revenue annually is much higher than Cincinnati's and we are moving away from the market model).
In a P4 champs only format the ACC gets Notre Dame in full because they have no other access.
Now you've swapped Oregon State and Washington State for Notre Dame and UConn and you have 64:
Big 10:
Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska
Illinois, Minnesota, Northwestern, Wisconsin
Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue
Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers
Big 12:
Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
Baylor, Texas, Texas Tech, Utah
Arizona, Arizona State, Cal Los Angeles, Southern Cal
California, Oregon, Stanford, Washington
SEC:
Arkansas, Missouri, Texas A&M, T.C.U.
Alabama, L.S.U., Mississippi, Mississippi State
Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Vanderbilt
Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, West Virginia
ACC:
Boston College, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Syracuse
Louisville, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Virginia Tech
Duke, North Carolina, N.C. State, Wake Forest
Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Miami
Now that's a pretty solid P4 with 64 schools.
A New WAC is born:
Boise State, Brigham Young, Oregon State, Washington State
Air Force, Nevada, Nevada Las Vegas, Wyoming
Colorado State, Houston, S.M.U., Tulsa
Freson State, Hawaii, New Mexico, San Diego State
The New WAC challenges a rebuilt AAC comprising all of the new upper tier FBS:
A New AAC:
Army, Marshall, Navy, Temple
Cincinnati, Memphis, Northern Illinois, Toledo
East Carolina, Georgia Southern, Louisiana Tech, Troy
Central Florida, South Florida, Southern Miss, Tulane
That's 96 schools in the upper tier. People can quibble if they like about the WAC and AAC members but they would have access. We could move to a 6 team CFP with the #1 and #2 seeds getting a bye and the #3 and #4 seeds playing the WAC and AAC champions. It's still all decided on the field with no need of committees. We would now have a P4 and a G2.
I've looked at this thing for two hours and I can't find anything wrong with it.
I may monkey with some of the pods, but the conferences look solid.
I kind of like it too. By keeping OU and UT out of the Big 10 and SEC it keeps things balanced. Washington State is below the Mendoza line anyway and academically Oregon State doesn't really fit with the what the PAC has become.
BTW I know the Clemson / FSU division is a bit unbalanced but, those 3 games annually with each other would boost their ticket sales tremendously even in down years for Miami. And it boosts their SOS tremendously. Then Notre Dame, a Carolina school, and Virginia Tech / Louisville would probably be in the semis every year. That's pretty strong for the ACC and it keeps the state of North Carolina invested in football every year which I think is key.
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