(11-18-2017 10:38 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 09:19 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  Since the first thing to make it even possible is ECU winning the odds are almost zero.

Not quite. According to ESPN's FPI, ECU has a 3.8% chance of beating Memphis.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Like I said you’re more likely to find a unicorn. 3ish% may as well be 0. I’m thinking you beat us by 40. No chance the ECU defense slows Memphis. I never thought I’d see the day by the way. Go kill U_F in the CCG.

(11-18-2017 07:17 PM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  Even if Memphis loses to East Carolina, which would he counted as a really bad loss, but then beat the ranked UCF / USF winner ---- Memphis still get invite to the NY6 bowl - right? Or does Boise still have a chance here? If UCF or USF win there's no doubts.

In that scenario, Boise would probably get the NY6 bid.

As long as Memphis doesn't lose to ECU, the NY6 slot is ours.

(11-19-2017 07:45 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 07:17 PM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  Even if Memphis loses to East Carolina, which would he counted as a really bad loss, but then beat the ranked UCF / USF winner ---- Memphis still get invite to the NY6 bowl - right? Or does Boise still have a chance here? If UCF or USF win there's no doubts.

In that scenario, Boise would probably get the NY6 bid.

As long as Memphis doesn't lose to ECU, the NY6 slot is ours.

Hold my beer.

I wouldn't be so quick to discount the possibility of an upset. Memphis QB Ferguson has had off games in the past and Memphis needs to score points in order to win. Crazy stuff happens every week in college football.

(11-19-2017 07:32 AM)PuddlePirate Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 10:38 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 09:19 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  Since the first thing to make it even possible is ECU winning the odds are almost zero.

Not quite. According to ESPN's FPI, ECU has a 3.8% chance of beating Memphis.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Like I said you’re more likely to find a unicorn. 3ish% may as well be 0. I’m thinking you beat us by 40. No chance the ECU defense slows Memphis. I never thought I’d see the day by the way. Go kill U_F in the CCG.

ECU will bounce back. Right now, it is Memphis' turn in the sun.

Assuming a victory is the surest way to ensure a defeat. If ECU wins, they will earn it because I think Memphis will be motivated to play hard given it is Senior Day and a potential NY Day berth is on the line.

(11-18-2017 07:20 PM)HuskyU Wrote:  SFSU most deserves the Access Bowl.

Those San Fran Aztecs are fearious!

(11-18-2017 07:17 PM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  Even if Memphis loses to East Carolina, which would he counted as a really bad loss, but then beat the ranked UCF / USF winner ---- Memphis still get invite to the NY6 bowl - right? Or does Boise still have a chance here? If UCF or USF win there's no doubts.

Dont worry...Memphis is not going to lose to ECU. We are about 2 recruiting classes behind Memphis in talent.

(11-18-2017 10:38 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 09:19 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  Since the first thing to make it even possible is ECU winning the odds are almost zero.

Not quite. According to ESPN's FPI, ECU has a 3.8% chance of beating Memphis.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Gee, I don't know, ECU did pretty much look like the New England Patriots against Cincinnati...
I would give ECU more like 3.874% chance.

But there's only a 10 percent chance of that.

(11-18-2017 10:32 PM)TOGC Wrote:  The conference championship will be Memphis @ UCF. Two ranked teams playing each other in a rematch for the conference title.

And before anyone says, "But UCF and USF haven't played yet," it doesn't matter. The only thing that's in question is whether UCF's margin of victory over USF will be greater than Memphis's margin of victory over ECU. Both should be comfortable blowouts.

No way Boise State goes to a New Years Bowl. The AAC champ has that locked up tight.

I'd love to believe that, but I don't see us blowing out USF. Not by a long shot. It's gonna be a war.

(11-18-2017 07:17 PM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  Even if Memphis loses to East Carolina, which would he counted as a really bad loss, but then beat the ranked UCF / USF winner ---- Memphis still get invite to the NY6 bowl - right? Or does Boise still have a chance here? If UCF or USF win there's no doubts.

We need Fanhood's wisdom on this.

(11-19-2017 11:58 AM)Knightshift Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 10:32 PM)TOGC Wrote:  The conference championship will be Memphis @ UCF. Two ranked teams playing each other in a rematch for the conference title.

And before anyone says, "But UCF and USF haven't played yet," it doesn't matter. The only thing that's in question is whether UCF's margin of victory over USF will be greater than Memphis's margin of victory over ECU. Both should be comfortable blowouts.

No way Boise State goes to a New Years Bowl. The AAC champ has that locked up tight.

I'd love to believe that, but I don't see us blowing out USF. Not by a long shot. It's gonna be a war.

The opening line will be double digits. I think this one will be comfortably over in the first half.

In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

(11-19-2017 12:04 PM)cotton1991 Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 07:17 PM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  Even if Memphis loses to East Carolina, which would he counted as a really bad loss, but then beat the ranked UCF / USF winner ---- Memphis still get invite to the NY6 bowl - right? Or does Boise still have a chance here? If UCF or USF win there's no doubts.

We need Fanhood's wisdom on this.

sdsu eliminated from their ccg...he doesnt care anymore..no need for him to manipulate the data any longer

(11-19-2017 12:31 PM)shere khan Wrote:  In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

Tell yourself whatever you need to. You guys will score 80 if you want to.

(11-19-2017 11:42 AM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 10:38 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(11-18-2017 09:19 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  Since the first thing to make it even possible is ECU winning the odds are almost zero.

Not quite. According to ESPN's FPI, ECU has a 3.8% chance of beating Memphis.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Gee, I don't know, ECU did pretty much look like the New England Patriots against Cincinnati...
I would give ECU more like 3.874% chance.

But there's only a 10 percent chance of that.

Pretty much what I was thinking, too. ESPN tends to lowball ECU, it seems.

(11-19-2017 12:31 PM)shere khan Wrote:  In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

And you have the nerve to criticize anyone else's posts? Hilarious.

(11-19-2017 01:32 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 12:31 PM)shere khan Wrote:  In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

Tell yourself whatever you need to. You guys will score 80 if you want to.

I could see ECU beating Memphis. ECU has the athletes to burn Memphis if they come out flat and lazy. But Memphis would have to play the first half giving absolutely no ***** and ECU would have to execute perfectly and get out to a 35ish point lead to give them a chance to hold on.

(11-19-2017 02:24 PM)DowdyPirate2 Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 01:32 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 12:31 PM)shere khan Wrote:  In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

Tell yourself whatever you need to. You guys will score 80 if you want to.

I could see ECU beating Memphis. ECU has the athletes to burn Memphis if they come out flat and lazy. But Memphis would have to play the first half giving absolutely no ***** and ECU would have to execute perfectly and get out to a 35ish point lead to give them a chance to hold on.

Sounds about like 3-4% chance, lol. But a chance.

(11-19-2017 02:24 PM)DowdyPirate2 Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 01:32 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote:  

(11-19-2017 12:31 PM)shere khan Wrote:  In '96 Memphis beat the 6th ranked Tennessee Vols and Peyton Manning in the most improbable, ridiculous, mismatched upset in the history of college football. Nothing is a given.

Tell yourself whatever you need to. You guys will score 80 if you want to.

I could see ECU beating Memphis. ECU has the athletes to burn Memphis if they come out flat and lazy. But Memphis would have to play the first half giving absolutely no ***** and ECU would have to execute perfectly and get out to a 35ish point lead to give them a chance to hold on.

I think you forgot to mention the pregame meal being tainted and everyone having food poisoning. Then I would raise the chances to at least 5%.

There will be way too much cheating for ECU to overcome and get the W!

That is all.