(02-14-2018 10:31 AM)TribePride91 Wrote:  

(02-14-2018 08:52 AM)billymac Wrote:  How about 2 wins and a Towson and Elon loss locks up Top 4 for the Tribe.

Those same 2 wins lock up a 3 seed if one of them is tomorrow over Hofstra. Plus, if we can manage to win and we get some help from JMU, we might still have a slim chance at the regular season title. Charleston is 3-3 on the road and has 3 of their last four(JMU, W&M and UNCW) on the road. They are really good so I do not expect it to happen. Basically since they will have the tiebreaker over us, we need them to lose both games this week while we win at Hofstra and at Northeastern. Probably not going to happen. At this point, I just hope we can avoid Towson and I would like to finish ahead of Hofstra. Northeastern has 3 of 4 at home so we likely need to win out to pass them(which I don't think will happen, either).

I have a feeling Charleston loses 2 more games this season (@UNCW, @W&M), so I think there will be a chance. I just don't see W&M finishing the season 4-0 with the tough games remaining.

I wouldn't count us out though. We sort of have Hofstra's number, NE won't shoot the way they did the first game, and the last two are home. Charleston may have nothing to play for in the last game if they've locked up the number one seed. We're so streaky that anything could happen.

Thursday is a tall enough order as far as I am concerned. Cannot win the rest until you win the first one. Generally the games up there are close, but they have blown us out up there too.

We haven't won at Northeastern in a very long time. Definitely think the guys are capable though, it is just a tall order. When Charleston won at both places is when I began to get concerned.

(02-14-2018 02:53 PM)Tribe2011 Wrote:  

(02-14-2018 10:31 AM)TribePride91 Wrote:  

(02-14-2018 08:52 AM)billymac Wrote:  How about 2 wins and a Towson and Elon loss locks up Top 4 for the Tribe.

Those same 2 wins lock up a 3 seed if one of them is tomorrow over Hofstra. Plus, if we can manage to win and we get some help from JMU, we might still have a slim chance at the regular season title. Charleston is 3-3 on the road and has 3 of their last four(JMU, W&M and UNCW) on the road. They are really good so I do not expect it to happen. Basically since they will have the tiebreaker over us, we need them to lose both games this week while we win at Hofstra and at Northeastern. Probably not going to happen. At this point, I just hope we can avoid Towson and I would like to finish ahead of Hofstra. Northeastern has 3 of 4 at home so we likely need to win out to pass them(which I don't think will happen, either).

If we win out, we would only need Charleston to lose one more and then at worst we would end in a three way tie for first with them and NE.

Regardless, I don't expect that to happen.

Correct and we would lose the tiebreaker since Charleston swept Northeastern.(well, we would be #2, and NU #3). The same tiebreaker that won things for us in 2015 will cost us this time. But almost certainly irrelevant since I do not expect us to win out or Charleston to lose enough for it to matter.

UNCW blowing out Elon. All other games are close at half. Actually, the Northeastern score changed. They are up double digits.

Riller with a huge 3 with 2 seconds remaining in OT to break a 78-78 tie at JMU.


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Riller getting my late vote for POY. He had a drive to the rim, a huge steal, and hit a three pointer, all in the last minute to single-handedly bail out CofC in OT.

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Riller scores and shoots well, but only averages 2.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists. I'm a Hofstra fan, but I'd vote for Pusica or Isabell. Nobody on Charleston or you stands out as much relative to their teammates as Wright-Foreman and Pusica. Pusica is a better shooter than Wright-Foreman with slightly more rebounds, more assists, a better assist/turnover ratio, and more steals. If you include players on bad teams, Isabell is a candidate. If the season was over now, he would be the first CAA player in 25 seasons to average at least 20 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists. Even lowering the standard to 5 rebounds, the last CAA player to do that was Stokes in 2006-2007

With the interesting results tonight, we have clinched a first round bye in the CAA Tourney and if my math holds, I don’t believe we can finish lower than the 5 seed because Elon now has 9 losses and 9 is the most number of losses we could have and we hold the head to head tie breaker with them.

I’d still love to figure out a way to get a first round matchup with Elon either in the 4-5 game or 3-6 game but Elon could slide to the 7 seed if they aren’t careful.

That JMU/Elon make up game on the Monday night after everyone else is done playing might be for the 6 or 7 seed and a first round tourney bye which would be impressive given how JMU started ... this tourney is gonna be wide open

It's sad to see everybody except us in the CAA have their way with Towson. Outside of Delaware (I think both games without Daly), Towson is 4-8 against everybody else in the CAA.

(02-17-2018 09:01 PM)Naptown Tribe Wrote:  I’d still love to figure out a way to get a first round matchup with Elon either in the 5-5 game or 3-6 game but Elon could slide to the 7 seed if they aren’t careful.

That JMU/Elon make up game on the Monday night after everyone else is done playing might be for the 6 or 7 seed and a first round tourney bye which would be impressive given how JMU started ... this tourney is gonna be wide open

Towson has 2 difficult road games left, so if Elon wins 2/3, they get the 5 seed based on sweeping Towson.

Elon has hard games also. They go to Charleston and host Northeastern. They must win more of their next 2 games than Towson in order to have a chance at passing Towson on Monday February 26.

Our best chance to play Elon is to win out. I think if we win out and Charleston gets the 1 seed, we still get the 3 if Hofstra loses one of their last 2 games. But Elon very likely could finish 7th.

JMU winning vs Hofstra would give us a shot at the 3 seed if we can win Thursday. Such a possibility would have been laughable 3 weeks ago, but JMU has won multiple games lately with the only loss being an OT loss to Charleston in the last 10 seconds. Again, the tournament should be amazing next week. No one looks to be out of it. The battle for 6th is tight and still includes Towson who has 2 tough games with Northeastern and Hofstra this week. While all paths are difficult, the best might be the #3 seed against someone other than Towson. The concept of Towson/Hofstra and Charleston all on the other side of the bracket is appealing. But, it might not matter since no one looks like an easy win this year in Charleston.

(02-18-2018 08:50 AM)TribePride91 Wrote:  Our best chance to play Elon is to win out. I think if we win out and Charleston gets the 1 seed, we still get the 3 if Hofstra loses one of their last 2 games. But Elon very likely could finish 7th.

If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, and Charleston finishes ahead of Northeastern, you have the tiebreaker. If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, and Charleston and Northeastern tie, you and Hofstra would be 1-3 vs. Charleston and Northeastern. If Towson gets sole possession of fifth, Hofstra would have the tiebreaker over you with at least 1 win over Towson, who swept you. Elon, UNCW, and James Madison can all catch Towson, but if you beat UNCW they can't catch Towson. If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, Charleston loses both, and Northeastern wins both to get sole first, Hofstra has the tiebreaker over you.

(02-19-2018 01:30 PM)EvanJ Wrote:  

(02-18-2018 08:50 AM)TribePride91 Wrote:  Our best chance to play Elon is to win out. I think if we win out and Charleston gets the 1 seed, we still get the 3 if Hofstra loses one of their last 2 games. But Elon very likely could finish 7th.

If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, and Charleston finishes ahead of Northeastern, you have the tiebreaker. If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, and Charleston and Northeastern tie, you and Hofstra would be 1-3 vs. Charleston and Northeastern. If Towson gets sole possession of fifth, Hofstra would have the tiebreaker over you with at least 1 win over Towson, who swept you. Elon, UNCW, and James Madison can all catch Towson, but if you beat UNCW they can't catch Towson. If you win out, Hofstra loses 1, Charleston loses both, and Northeastern wins both to get sole first, Hofstra has the tiebreaker over you.

Thanks Evan. I doubt it really matters to either teams ultimate prospects in Charleston since it really appears wide open. Will be watching Hofstra's game with Towson with some interest on Saturday. JMU is a total mystery right now as well. It would be amazing if they got the 6th seed.

I'm not sure why people think the conference is wide open. It's Northeastern, Charleston, then a big drop off to Towson, a drop off to Hofstra/W&M, then a gorge to the rest of the conference.

(02-19-2018 03:50 PM)Rocco Wrote:  I'm not sure why people think the conference is wide open. It's Northeastern, Charleston, then a big drop off to Towson, a drop off to Hofstra/W&M, then a gorge to the rest of the conference.

I am with you on Charleston and Northeastern, but having Towson next in line is more than a stretch, and I wonder if you based this ranking solely on the fact that they beat W&M twice. Take away the 2 wins over us and they are 6-8, with 2 losses to Elon, and additional home losses to Hofstra and JMU. Hofstra is a lot closer to the two big boys than Towson, and I would not be the least surprised if we beat Towson in Charleston if we have to play them again.

(02-19-2018 05:49 PM)WMTRIBE75 Wrote:  

(02-19-2018 03:50 PM)Rocco Wrote:  I'm not sure why people think the conference is wide open. It's Northeastern, Charleston, then a big drop off to Towson, a drop off to Hofstra/W&M, then a gorge to the rest of the conference.

I am with you on Charleston and Northeastern, but having Towson next in line is more than a stretch, and I wonder if you based this ranking solely on the fact that they beat W&M twice. Take away the 2 wins over us and they are 6-8, with 2 losses to Elon, and additional home losses to Hofstra and JMU. Hofstra is a lot closer to the two big boys than Towson, and I would not be the least surprised if we beat Towson in Charleston if we have to play them again.

Hofstra is W&M if W&M spent 3 minutes on defense in practice instead of 90 seconds. Towson plays defense.

(01-20-2018 02:18 PM)TribePride91 Wrote:  7 minutes in, Northeastern with 6 points and their best player on the bench with 2 fouls. What a difference a day makes. Hopefully, we will see a different day today as well.

(02-19-2018 06:28 PM)Rocco Wrote:  

(02-19-2018 05:49 PM)WMTRIBE75 Wrote:  

(02-19-2018 03:50 PM)Rocco Wrote:  I'm not sure why people think the conference is wide open. It's Northeastern, Charleston, then a big drop off to Towson, a drop off to Hofstra/W&M, then a gorge to the rest of the conference.

I am with you on Charleston and Northeastern, but having Towson next in line is more than a stretch, and I wonder if you based this ranking solely on the fact that they beat W&M twice. Take away the 2 wins over us and they are 6-8, with 2 losses to Elon, and additional home losses to Hofstra and JMU. Hofstra is a lot closer to the two big boys than Towson, and I would not be the least surprised if we beat Towson in Charleston if we have to play them again.

Hofstra is W&M if W&M spent 3 minutes on defense in practice instead of 90 seconds. Towson plays defense.

It's not wide open that anyone can win the whole thing. But it is wide open that almost any team is capable of a big upset. JMU, Drexel, Delaware, UNCW and Elon have all shown they can beat anyone. Drexel has wins against the top 3 teams. UNCW has beaten Hofstra, Towson and take NU to OT twice. Elon has beaten CofC. And JMU had taken CofC to OT. Besides Elon, the bottom half of the CAA are playing their best ball coming into the tourney.