Will the Sunbelt have enough eligible team to meet the 5 sunbelt tie ins?

I think we may only have 4.
App
Troy
Georgia State
Ark State

If so witch bowl will not be filled? Arizona Bowl maybe?

We have to hope one of these 3 teams make it to 6 wins: NMSU, ULM or Louisiana. Here's their remaining schedules:

NMSU 3-4 current record
AstAte - probably a loss
@ Texas State - win
@ Louisiana - probably a win
Idaho - toss up
USA - toss up
* I think NMSU finds at least 3 wins and goes to Arizona Bowl

ULM 3-4 current record
@ Idaho - toss up
App State - probably loss
@ Auburn - loss
Astate - probable loss
* Not sure is ULM can find 3 wins

Louisiana 3-4 current record
@ USA - toss up
@ Ole Miss - probable loss
NMSU - I give the edge to NMSU
Ga Southern - win
@ App St - probable loss
* I think Louisiana finishes with 4 or 5 wins

(10-27-2017 09:12 AM)JSinLR Wrote:  We have to hope one of these 3 teams make it to 6 wins: NMSU, ULM or Louisiana. Here's their remaining schedules:

NMSU 3-4 current record
AstAte - probably a loss
@ Texas State - win
@ Louisiana - probably a win
Idaho - toss up
USA - toss up
* I think NMSU finds at least 3 wins and goes to Arizona Bowl

ULM 3-4 current record
@ Idaho - toss up
App State - probably loss
@ Auburn - loss
Astate - probable loss
* Not sure is ULM can find 3 wins

Louisiana 3-4 current record
@ USA - toss up
@ Ole Miss - probable loss
NMSU - I give the edge to NMSU
Ga Southern - win
@ App St - probable loss
* I think Louisiana finishes with 4 or 5 wins

I guess New Mexico State has the best shot. but i think its going close.

You think there is chance for 5 win sunbelt team to make one this year? Like ULM since they canceled one of there games?

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

Team Rankings Bowl Eligibility Probablities

Troy 100.0%
APP 99.9%
stAte 98.4%

Georgia St 81.2%
NMSU 77.8%

USA 29.3%

ULL 11.5%
ULM 5.0%
Idaho 3.7%

GSU 0.1%
CC 0.0%
TXST 0.0%

New Mexico State should be favored in all remaining games after this week, and could win out per Team Rankings and ESPN FPI.

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-foo...rojections

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

(10-27-2017 09:34 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

Team Rankings Bowl Eligibility Probablities

Troy 100.0%
APP 99.9%
stAte 98.4%

Georgia St 81.2%
NMSU 77.8%

USA 29.3%

ULL 11.5%
ULM 5.0%
Idaho 3.7%

GSU 0.1%
CC 0.0%
TXST 0.0%

So your saying theirs a chance!
GSU 0.1%

Projected Wins by ESPN FPI, in order of FPI Ranking

stAte 7.6
Troy 9.0
APP 8.9

NMSU 6.6

ULM 4.1
USA 4.8
GSU 6.4

ULL 4.5
Idaho 3.7

CC 3.0
GS 1.5

TXST 1.6

GaSt and ULM could be hurt by not picking up that 12th game. Those cancelations are going to come back and haunt someone.

We'll have enough teams.

(10-27-2017 09:54 AM)Usajags Wrote:  GaSt and ULM could be hurt by not picking up that 12th game. Those cancelations are going to come back and haunt someone.

Why haven't they done anything about that I wonder?

(10-27-2017 09:41 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Projected Wins by ESPN FPI, in order of FPI Ranking

stAte 7.6
Troy 9.0
APP 8.9

NMSU 6.6

ULM 4.1
USA 4.8
GSU 6.4

ULL 4.5
Idaho 3.7

CC 3.0
GS 1.5

TXST 1.6

??? ESPN FPI has you going 10-2...

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

(10-27-2017 09:58 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:41 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Projected Wins by ESPN FPI, in order of FPI Ranking

stAte 7.6
Troy 9.0
APP 8.9

NMSU 6.6

ULM 4.1
USA 4.8
GSU 6.4

ULL 4.5
Idaho 3.7

CC 3.0
GS 1.5

TXST 1.6

??? ESPN FPI has you going 10-2...

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Nah - that would only be if they had each projected win at 100% probable.

If we had 3 games left at 66.666% probable for a win, then that would be 2-1 projection.

Look up higher to the right and it has 7.6-3.4 for stAte.

(10-27-2017 10:13 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:58 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:41 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Projected Wins by ESPN FPI, in order of FPI Ranking

stAte 7.6
Troy 9.0
APP 8.9

NMSU 6.6

ULM 4.1
USA 4.8
GSU 6.4

ULL 4.5
Idaho 3.7

CC 3.0
GS 1.5

TXST 1.6

??? ESPN FPI has you going 10-2...

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Nah - that would only be if they had each projected win at 100% probable.

If we had 3 games left at 66.666% probable for a win, then that would be 2-1 projection.

Look up higher to the right and it has 7.6-3.4 for stAte.

I think you guys win 9 or 10 for what it's worth. Interestingly, they have NMSU with a better chance to beat you guys than Troy, which is understandable considering the locations.

(10-27-2017 09:54 AM)Usajags Wrote:  GaSt and ULM could be hurt by not picking up that 12th game. Those cancelations are going to come back and haunt someone.

AState didn't pick one up either, though its worth noting that as soon as Florida State is eliminated from ACC Title contention, they'll announce a game with ULM in Talahassee for Dec 2nd.

From Georgia State's perspective, it's not cost productive to schedule a 2nd FCS like that. The only FCS schools available are likely located thousands of miles away and would require huge guarantees to make the trip on short notice. You have to pay staff to work the game on short notice, and then you have to hope enough fans are interested that you get an okay crowd.

When we looked at our options, South Carolina State was one of the only FCS we could find that shared an open date with us and had an opening. We still haven't gotten Miami's buyout yet (That's probably going to end up in court this Spring) and having just paid a pretty nice guarantee to UAPB, we decided it was not cost productive enough to schedule a game that none of our fans would care much about anyway. Asking for like a 10-12K attendance.

stAte doesn't have to worry about getting to 6 wins, and that is all that extra game is for. ULM and GaSt could be both sitting at 5 wins, and could have petitioned the NCAA for a waiver with a 2nd FCS win. Although for GaSt, it would have only been one FCS win and no need to petition.

Not sure if FSU will reschedule ULM, they may not only be out of ACC contention, but also out of bowl contention. If FSU gets to 5 wins, a rescheduled ULM game may be for a bowl birth, could be an interesting back story to that game.

(10-27-2017 11:06 AM)Usajags Wrote:  stAte doesn't have to worry about getting to 6 wins, and that is all that extra game is for. ULM and GaSt could be both sitting at 5 wins, and could have petitioned the NCAA for a waiver with a 2nd FCS win. Although for GaSt, it would have only been one FCS win and no need to petition.

Not sure if FSU will reschedule ULM, they may not only be out of ACC contention, but also out of bowl contention. If FSU gets to 5 wins, a rescheduled ULM game may be for a bowl birth, could be an interesting back story to that game.

Keep in mind that South never actually got the waiver you were talking about last year. What the NCAA said was that you would be next in line AFTER all the 6-6 teams had been taken. Wasn't a big deal because we had plenty of open bowls

That same guarantee doesn't exist this year. There are likely going to be 6 win teams left out this year.

(10-27-2017 11:06 AM)Usajags Wrote:  stAte doesn't have to worry about getting to 6 wins, and that is all that extra game is for. ULM and GaSt could be both sitting at 5 wins, and could have petitioned the NCAA for a waiver with a 2nd FCS win. Although for GaSt, it would have only been one FCS win and no need to petition.

Not sure if FSU will reschedule ULM, they may not only be out of ACC contention, but also out of bowl contention. If FSU gets to 5 wins, a rescheduled ULM game may be for a bowl birth, could be an interesting back story to that game.

Looking through our schedule, we have Georgia Southern, TXST, App, and Idaho. Georgia State can win 3 more games to go 7-4

(10-27-2017 09:57 AM)CardinalBlackTrojan Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:54 AM)Usajags Wrote:  GaSt and ULM could be hurt by not picking up that 12th game. Those cancelations are going to come back and haunt someone.

Why haven't they done anything about that I wonder?

We’re most likely playing FSU First weekend of December .

When the Memphis game was canceled, which would have presumably been the point in time when our administration looked most seriously into scheduling a new 12th game, I don't doubt that there was also some concern that we could be embarrassed if we found another FCS opponent only to lose that one too. Even with the Charlotte win, it was pretty unclear whether our team had much life in them at that point.

(10-27-2017 10:34 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 10:13 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:58 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  

(10-27-2017 09:41 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Projected Wins by ESPN FPI, in order of FPI Ranking

stAte 7.6
Troy 9.0
APP 8.9

NMSU 6.6

ULM 4.1
USA 4.8
GSU 6.4

ULL 4.5
Idaho 3.7

CC 3.0
GS 1.5

TXST 1.6

??? ESPN FPI has you going 10-2...

http://www.espn.com/college-football/tea...&year=2017

Nah - that would only be if they had each projected win at 100% probable.

If we had 3 games left at 66.666% probable for a win, then that would be 2-1 projection.

Look up higher to the right and it has 7.6-3.4 for stAte.

I think you guys win 9 or 10 for what it's worth. Interestingly, they have NMSU with a better chance to beat you guys than Troy, which is understandable considering the locations.

I watched NMSU play Arkansas and APP and their skill players are legit. They really pass the eye test. I've very concerned that NMSU could hand APP the SBC championship tomorrow.