RE: Questions about gambling.
1. THESE DAYS those that "run" the casino industry as in those with an actual financial stake probably gamble at a slightly lower % than the general population which means they do not gamble a great deal
there are defiantly examples of those that do like Kerry Packer (although it is his son that is the casino owner, but Kerry had gambling interest as well)
but generally for those that are higher up in casinos or in ownership they are "gambling" every day with their business plus what fun is it to win or lose money to yourself from yourself
for those in higher management generally they will not be gambling much because it is not going to be allowed at their properties because of the issues that presents and I doubt most of them enjoy spending their free time in a casino after spending all day/all night in a casino plus there is the issue of doing business with a competitor and also the fact that lower level employees might have switched properties and the potential for "insider dealing" with that as well so a known casino exec is going to be watched much closer than others......it will simply not be fun for them
now lower level casino employees often at lower level properties probably gamble well above the average population that will decline in frequency as the quality of the property goes up
2. the games with the best odds would be 9-5 JoB which is 9-5 Jacks or Better (the game that the Vegas shooter liked to play)
you need the correct pay table for that game and you need to play the proper strategy as well which will sometimes mean you play differently than you would in live poker because you are trying to get the BEST winning hand possible each time not just a "winning hand"......some of those games can be break even or near break even or sometimes even slightly better than break even if they have something else associated with them
the next would be Black Jack using 100% proper strategy AND being able to count cards and being at a single deck (almost non existent) or a double deck (rare) game or a 6 deck game WITHOUT auto shuffle
playing that properly and counting cards properly AND with a large enough bank roll you can at some points get to where the odds are in your favor....BUT that can take infinitely long
after that a roulette wheel with a single 0 (vs 0 and 00) and betting red or black
after that baccarat and that will depend on the % you pay for each banker bet the lower the % you pay on a banker bet the better the odds get to being even
after that it is Craps betting pass no pass AND making use of the "backer" odds with the higher the amount you can "back" with the better AND paying attention to the odds of making each "point" number
it is all downhill from there
3. there really are no "sure things", but in general you will probably do the best betting on horses that are favored and betting to win, place and show
but like anything the "odds" are not about what horse (or sports team) the casino or race book EXPECTS to win they can care less who wins the odds are designed to get the amount of money bet on each horse or each team as even as possible so that the casino or race book breaks even on the actual beta and they make money on the "juice" or "vig"
it makes no sense for a casino or race book to actually GAMBLE on who or what wins when they can simply even the money on each side and collect their 10% from the losers
you would have to be a fool to actually GAMBLE when you can simply make 5% on the total dollars bet (10% on half the money bet IE 10% of the losers bets)....trying to do anything else is a great way to go broke especially when there is still so much corruption in sports and gambling
4. someone stated above that you are trying to bet to end the year 51% winning an 49% losing well if you did that you would go broke because of the 10% juice
if you bet $1,100 on 100 games that is $110,000 and you would be betting to win $100,000 because you bet WITH THE JUICE IE if you want to win $1,000 well you have to bet $1,000 PLUS 10% THE JUICE which would be an additional $100 dollars so you are betting $1,100 to win $1,000
if you bet 100 games and you games to win $1,000 then you will BET $110,000 to win $100,000 over those 100 games
if you go 51% to 49% well you will lose 49% X $1,100 = $53,900 that you lose and if you win 51% X 1,000 or $51,000 so you would lose $2,900 on that betting outcome over 100 games
if you went 52% to 48% you are losing $52,800 and winning $52,000 or a total loss of $$800
so you have to go at least 54% to 47% losing $51,700 and winning $53,000 or a net win of $1.300
4. at some point if you want to make any actual real money you will need to win some more exotic bests like a parlay or moneyline or the like
the reality is the casino does not care if YOU as an individual win 100% of your best with them because their goal is to make sure that someone else had an equal amount of money placed on the opposite side of your bet so they can pay your win with the losers bet and keep the losers juice
so really you are not "picking against the casinos odds experts" as much as you are picking against all those that are making best and trying to be on the right side of that general sentiment each time
that is what makes it so hard is because you are not competing against a "few odds makers" you are competing against the overall general public at large and the overall sentiment that large groups of people are going to be "manipulated" (for lack of a better term) to place even money on each side of the bet as an overall population
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