RE: Preseason Event Schedule
Sorry, had other responsibilities afterwards. Very busy day today and I'm worn out, so this'll likely be shorter than it would otherwise be...
First, overall impressions, team-wise, then player-by-player.
Unlike last year, our defense seems to be WAY ahead of our offense. *Really* getting after it all up and down the line. I got the strong impression PT was on the line and they were trying to impress with their effort. Nothing wrong with that, obviously, but it almost seemed a bit forced, as oxymoronic as that may sound. More about this when I discuss players.
Of note, Forbes seemed really in a bad, aggravated mood. Not sure I've ever seen him quite like this, and certainly not often. He got on several players from time-to-time. Not in any kind of abusive way - just strong coaching. Harrison was on the receiving end of (at least) two of those encounters. Seems like he's (Forbes) lost a few more pounds, so maybe he just needed a meal. Seriously, this was one of my overarching impressions. He seemed genuinely displeased with how things were going a lot of the time.
On the other hand, with some of the longer live-game scenarios, he let Slay and McKie run the two competing teams, and kept his hands off. That was interesting. I'll have to say I was impressed with how McKie seemed to handle "teaching moments". He would literally use his own body to demonstrate nuances of positioning, or stance, etc. Hard to convey, really, but I was impressed with his apparent attention to detail.
Let me just get this out of the way right now..................I don't think we'll have quite the success we had last year. Would LOVE to be wrong, of course, but I just don't see the same full team with few weaknesses (at the SoCon level). Definitely weaker inside (more on this later, too). Are we a poor team? No, of course not. We should definitely be considerably above .500 in conference play, but I just don't see the horses to challenge for the championship. Could I be wrong? Certainly. There's LOTS of room to improve, and let me emphasize how much the D kept the O out of rhythm, and flustered a lot of the time. I'll make a case later, maybe at the end, with how we will be pretty decent (unless I forget).
Now......on to the players.........
I'll have to say I didn't have a single "WOW" moment. None of the newcomers shocked me in a positive way. There was no DAVID BURRELL! moment like last year. Like the team as a whole, there's LOTS of room for improvement.
Of the new guys, Bo Hodges. He of the Justin Tubbs body, but with a "penetrate-first; penetrate-second; and-then-consider-passing-or-more-unlikely, shooting-outside-last" mentality. Fearless to the hole. Eager to the hole. Just a bit too much so, but that's WAY better than the other way around. If we can keep him here 4 years we'll be very happy with that. The real deal, but unclear what his role will be. Perhaps he'll be a bit like Merriweather, but with more aggressiveness directly at the hole, whereas A.J. would tend to pick his spots. Seemed to have the demeanor of a sophomore or even a junior, rather than a freshman. Must have been playing some tough AAU ball this summer. No disappointment with Mr. Basketball. He'll have a learning curve, but it may be small. He'll make mistakes, but don't they all. Again, I didn't go "WOW", but absolutely as advertised. It may be a challenge for Forbes to figure out how best to use him, but I don't think any of us were disappointed in how he used A.J. And although that's the closest comparison, they're far from identical in style.
I can't ignore the dynamic between Overstreet and Mladden. I'll have to say that Overstreet impressed quite a bit. No doubt (in my mind) that Overstreet is ahead of Mladden. They *both* have good sealing skills inside; *neither* are elegant in movement, and would never be confused with Glass or HMP in that way. Overstreet's hands were good, and demonstrated a pretty good shooting touch and stroke - even out to about 15 ft. (Not that Forbes will likely want him taking those shots.) Mladden perhaps was able to seal even better than Overstreet, but as Bucs06 wrote, he's raw. Don't be shocked to see Overstreet getting serious minutes. I mean like "serious minutes".
So...advantage Overstreet, and mild positive surprise. He absolutely is not a waste. Likewise, mild negative surprise for Mladden.
The 'twins' of Harrison and Rodriguez.....
I give the edge to Harrison - maybe even more so than one would think - but that's because Rodriguez came with much more hype. Really couldn't tell if Rodriguez was holding back or not. Seemed like he wasn't. Both of them, and this was true of all the juco guys.....were getting beat inside from time to time, and were using their hands to try and make up for it - and the *real refs* were calling them for it. I'm going to say that how they perform will in large part depend on their speed of development, and very much on who we're playing. They'll likely get eaten alive at UK, but will hold their own in the SoCon, I suspect. Think a MUCH-less-developed Kris Acox (and I realize that's an unfair comparison). Harrison definitely a mild positive surprise. Really too early to tell on these guys.
Guards.......
Jalan McCloud. See what Bucs06 said. I agree. He's our true point guard. That said, I'm not projecting Forbes will let him run it and move Bradford off the ball. That *will* happen some, but I think Forbes likes Bradford running the show. McCloud is no Guyn (I don't think), but he's indeed "crafty", wily, etc. Will definitely see serious playing time.
On the "2017-18 Roster" thread, "PreacherPurl" states that he's expecting Williams to red-shirt. I kept thinking about that as I was watching. I can see, with McCloud there, how that makes good sense. However........Williams *does* have something intangible - and tonight he was an absolute ball-hawk. He was just like, well, pick your own favorite metaphor on D. Just oppressive and relentless. Really liked how he laid on the pressure. Was he trying to impress Forbes enough to not red-shirt him? Who knows, but he was all effort all the time.
As was Obi. He's about what I expected - much hustle, good hands, good instincts, good D, eager, quick, and moderately successful outside shot. Can play, but will likely not be a starter. Can he get 12 a game like at Longwood? I don't see that because he won't get 25-30 minutes (I don't think). But I can easily see 7-10, with enough PT.
With Bradford, Payne, and McCloud clearly the top guards, time will be precious for Obi, Williams, and Long. Long, again, is a guy who's hard to find the best role for. He had some of the same great looks as last year, and I don't think he threw one bad pass. He had one beautiful inside dish, but didn't seem to force stuff like he was wont to do last year. On the other hand, he may have had less ball-in-hand time than anyone there (not counting Reppart - who when he had the opportunity, could still stroke it).
Bucs06 states he doesn't know that we have a reliable three point weapon. Well, unless Payne, Bradford, and Burrell (not to mention Reppart), we have the same top 3-ball threats as last year, minus A.J. and Cromer, of course. Yes, big losses, but we'll make some threes. As many as last year? Not likely. There wasn't much successful 3-ball shooting tonight, but that was mostly because of the oppressive D, *and* because Forbes was clearly working hard on entry passes. He, to my mind, has seen the need for that. Early in the practice, he spent a LOT of time on that, and the big guys positioning and sealing.
I don't need to say much about Burrell, Payne, and Bradford - because, well, they're Burrell, Payne, and Bradford. Burrell seems ready to take off right where he was last season. Bradford the same - but let me add that indeed there seemed to be *just* a hint of swagger. Kinda like Bucs06 put it - he seemed like the clear captain and leader of the team. He just seemed to 'wear' that persona. And although McCloud is closer to a true PG, I don't think he can break ankles like Bradford can, nor does he have that enormously long first step.
Jurkin looked pretty good. Expect to see him with more time this year. Maybe quite a bit more, depending on how Overstreet handles true comp. I can't quite, at this moment, see Rodriguez or Harrison playing center. That said, some opponents we don't need a true center.
[LOL - just now saw that Bucs06 also said that J-Rod looked like Acox. I guess it's pretty clear, then.]
Andre Edwards was Mr. Quiet, until the last 10-15 minutes or so, when he had a great steal and length-of-the-court difficult finish. He's smooth (think a poor man's Keith Wilkes), but I think has deceptive quickness. Forbes really congratulated him on that breakaway play. Mild positive surprise there, but too little to go on, really. Not sure how he'll get PT, or who'll he'll replace.
I guess that's more than enough for now. As to how we may be able to be successful.....I think some players will have to learn/grow into roles that they may not have had to fill before. Either Harrison or Rodriguez will have to become solid and dependable inside, sort of filling the role of what Glass did for us. Did I see that tonight? Frankly, no, but it's early and they didn't come from Wichita St. McCloud will have to live up to his apparent promise. I don't think he possesses all-conference abilities, BUT.....he may be exactly the kind of guy who can maximize the skills of those around him. I can see him being able to get the ball to those who need it in the correct time and space. If *somebody* else (Williams, Long, Obi, Edwards, or Hodges?) develops more of an outside shot, it should open up whoever's occupying the 4 and 5 slots to have more success. (Yeah, I know, that's a "duh" thing, but I'm putting it in the context of 'allowing' us to be a team with a more varied scoring repertoire.) But my money says we'll score more from penetration than last year, and less via Cromer-esque bombing. In summary, we'll be "ok", but will need at least 2 of the new guys to show and develop more quickly than was apparent in order to challenge. IMO. But there's *plenty* of room for that to actually happen. And.....our D could turn out to be exceptional. Further, we still have great team speed, outside of the 5 position, of course. McCloud, Obi, Payne, Long, and Williams are quick on quick. Not to mention Bradford, Burrell, and others. Speed and solid, up-and-down-the-line team D will win some games.
Don't be shocked to see us get shellacked early on (even beyond UK), as we clearly will be exposed. We all know Forbes is a good coach; this year will likely tell us even more than last year - and whether or not we'll get to keep him a bit longer. Going WAY WAY out on a limb, I would guess 20-22 wins, but maybe more towards the 20 with our inexperience and road games early. But if that exceptional D is there from the get go, we could well exceed that prediction.
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