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Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
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stever20 Offline
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Post: #111
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
It's close to over quite frankly. I mean USF and UCF both have 1 even remotely losable game before their clash end of season- meaning 1 of them guaranteed will be 10-1 worst case in the CCG. Memphis has 1 tough game left(SMU) and even if they lose that- they get in the CCG with 1 SMU loss(and SMU gets Navy and UCF late in the season).
Today 01:24 AM
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quo vadis Offline
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Post: #112
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
Yes, with SDSU losing again, it's a near certainty that the AAC champ will get the NY6 bid.
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goodknightfl Offline
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Post: #113
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
(Today 08:05 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  Yes, with SDSU losing again, it's a near certainty that the AAC champ will get the NY6 bid.

Agree, it would take a serious meltdown to change that.
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MWC Tex Offline
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Post: #114
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
When does the committee put out their top 25. I'll be curious to know how much SOS is going to be a factor for the AAC schools.
USF hasn't played a team with a .500 record until Tulane.
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msm96wolf Offline
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Post: #115
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
Unless the AAC totally meltdowns, the prize is theirs. Only team that has a prayer left currently is one loss Marshall. It probably would likely have to be a 2 and maybe a three loss AAC champ for them to have a shot. I just don't see that happening with UCF, Memphis and USF, still that is why the play the games.
Today 09:24 AM
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stever20 Offline
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Post: #116
RE: Top G5 Champ To Be in Either Peach or Fiesta
(Today 09:23 AM)MWC Tex Wrote:  When does the committee put out their top 25. I'll be curious to know how much SOS is going to be a factor for the AAC schools.
USF hasn't played a team with a .500 record until Tulane.

the problem though is that USF has only 1 more losable game before playing UCF. That's with Houston. So they would worst case be 9-1 heading into the UCF game. 11-1 for them they are a lock vs any MWC team(all of them have 2 losses right now).

Right now there's a 56.6% chance that 1 of UCF, USF, and Memphis win out. And while I don't know the exact number- the odds are probably very strong that UCF or USF could lose 1 of these next few games- but beat the other- and be a 1 loss AAC champion.

If Memphis wins out thru the CCG- it's almost impossible to see a scenario where the AAC doesn't get the spot. And their chances per game- 78.9%, 66.7%(@ Tulsa), 72%, 95%.
Today 09:45 AM
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