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Who goes bowling?
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JCGSU Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Who goes bowling?
(10-08-2017 10:34 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Team Rankings Bowl Eligible Probability for Sun Belt
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

100% Troy
99.7% APP
88.9% stAte
66.1% NMSU

49.7% ULM
38.0% GSU
22.9% ULL
15.9% Idaho

8.5% USA
5.8% GS
0.1% TXST
0.0% Coastal

[Image: a-chance.gif]
10-12-2017 02:42 PM
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Golota Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Who goes bowling?
(10-12-2017 02:24 PM)chiefsfan Wrote:  
(10-08-2017 10:43 AM)Golota Wrote:  
(10-07-2017 10:47 PM)chiefsfan Wrote:  
(10-07-2017 10:23 PM)Michael in Raleigh Wrote:  Troy for sure.
App and ULM in all likelihood.
Ark. State, NMSU, and maybe one other.

ULM isn't a sure thing. They only have 3 wins, and still have to play Auburn, App, and AState. If they don't win one of those 3, they will have to beat all 3 of Georgia State, South Alabama, Idaho to get to 6 wins.

I think they can do it, but winning at South and Idaho isn't easy.
South will be 1-5 ready to throw in the towel on JJ. Idaho will be 2-5 and they’re not the same team they were last year. If ULL can beat Idaho there so can ULM. You’re right it’s not a sure thing but it’s pretty realistic that we get those 6 wins next 3 games.

About that South being 1-5 and ready to turn on JJ thing...

Welp lol
it’s not like I am the only one who thought they would lose. Hopefully they’ll be 2-5 after we play them.
(This post was last modified: 10-12-2017 05:00 PM by Golota.)
10-12-2017 04:55 PM
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arkstfan Away
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Post: #23
RE: Who goes bowling?
Massey Ratings project the following to become bowl eligible.
Appalachian State
Troy
AState
NMSU
USA

Bubble
Idaho (comes down to NMSU which Massey picks as a 50% chance win for Idaho)
10-12-2017 05:10 PM
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WinstonTheWolf Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Who goes bowling?
Updated Team Rankings Bowl Eligible Probabilities after Troy debacle:

99.7% APP
99.6% Troy
88.9% stAte

60.5% NMSU

46.1% ULM
38.1% GSU
34.5% USA

20.5% ULL
18.9% Idaho

6.2% GS

0.1% TXST
0.0% Coastal
(This post was last modified: 10-12-2017 06:23 PM by WinstonTheWolf.)
10-12-2017 06:22 PM
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Check Yosef Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Who goes bowling?
(10-12-2017 02:03 PM)_x_ Wrote:  
(10-08-2017 10:34 AM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Team Rankings Bowl Eligible Probability for Sun Belt
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

0.1% TXST

So you're telling me there's a chance...
Updated after last game now 0.0% I'm sorry for your loss

Sent from my LGLS992 using CSNbbs mobile app
10-13-2017 12:19 PM
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WinstonTheWolf Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Who goes bowling?
(10-12-2017 06:22 PM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  Updated Team Rankings Bowl Eligible Probabilities after Troy debacle on left, after ULL TXST on right:

99.7% APP 99.7%
99.6% Troy 99.6%

88.9% stAte 88.8%

60.5% NMSU 61.0%

46.1% ULM 46.2%

38.1% GSU 38.5%
34.5% USA 33.3%

20.5% ULL 23.6%
18.9% Idaho 19.2%

6.2% GS 6.0%

0.1% TXST 0.0%
0.0% Coastal 0.0%
10-13-2017 01:01 PM
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chiefsfan Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Who goes bowling?
Texas State lost and our bowl chances went down a 10th of a point.
10-13-2017 01:04 PM
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