RE: Week 1 SBC Power Ranking
My take on the App game is this:
- Without the 24 yard fumble by Lamb, he is averaging 10 yards per carry on 9 carries against Georgia. Several times he could've kept the ball on the option but didn't and almost every time he did, he picked up positive yards.
- Discounting Michel's long run of 44 yards and Chubb's long of 24 yards, the two running backs combined for only 4.2 YPC. I know the long runs do count, however many of their carries resulted in 2 and 3 yard gains.
- If App can't stretch the field vertically, they aren't going to compete against top tier P5 opponents. They will continue to beat G5 programs using the ball control offense with a stingy defense, but the defense can only hold out for so long against team's like Georgia, Miami, and Clemson.
Moving forward, with the easy schedule, App is most likely to end up 11 - 1 or 10 - 2; winning 11 games depends upon how the offensive gameplan evolves for the Wake Forest game. The defense can compete with Wake Forest, however the offense needs to open up the passing game to get chunk plays. For these reasons, I believe App is still in the Top 3 of the Belt rankings.
1. Arkansas State - Beat Troy 35 - 3 to end last season. Defeated UCF in the Bowl game and took Nebraska to the wire to open the season.
2. Troy - They didn't look particularly good but I thought the receiver fumbled the ball at the 1/2 yard line. That play changed the outlook of the game and ultimately solidified Boise's win at home. Troy was ___ that close to pulling off what only 6 teams have done in Boise in 100 + games.
3. App State - App's defense looked good, and the offense looked capable at times. When they are able to sync their efforts, the ball control offense in tandem with a stingy defense will make this team one of the best in the G5, against other G5 programs. Against P5 teams, App has shown time and time against since the transition that the passing game is a non-factor. However, because App plays a G5 schedule and not P5, they are at number 3.
4. Idaho - Won with sound defense. Would be an improvement if the defense can continue the style of play from the weekend while the offense keeps clicking.
5. USA - The offense looked good at times, driving the field with chunk plays on the ground and in the air. Will they be less yin and yang this season?
6. CCU - I haven't seen an offense run the ball using the methods employed by CCU. Seems to be a shotgun variation of the wishbone, yet different from what was used by Fritz. I will be excited to see how effective it is against more athletic fronts.
7. ULM - Didn't get a chance to watch this game but from the box score, the game never was really in doubt. Memphis is a quality opponent however and ULM putting points on the board was an improvement.
8. NMSU - Same as with ULM, except the defense kept ASU below 40 points which is a huge improvement.
9. Texas State - I expect improvement but how much remains to be seen. Wither's is a quality coach.
10. UL - Gave up 40 + points to a middling FCS program
11. GS - 78 yards of offense. The defense looked good in spurts to begin the game but once again, the offense looked lost and incoherent. The offensive line was not moving in sync and the backfield paid dearly for it.
12. GSU - Treon Harris is a good running quarterback and I expect that GSU would have won this game going away if it weren't for him. It isn't easy to stop a quality athlete running a more traditional spread attack.
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