I saw that thread about Big Ten basketball scheduling and it reminded me of an idea I had a while back. Now that we've got the P5 Discussion board, I feel safe in offering it to everybody
I know not everyone will agree with me, but I figured it would be interesting to discuss nonetheless. Also of note, I fully understand the Mid-majors will hate this idea, but it will probably never happen anyway.
So here goes...
1. Problems with current college basketball system:
-I think we all know the NCAA Tournament is a great event, but that most of the money ends up in the NCAA's pockets. I know the NCAA has to be funded somehow, but I think maybe a membership tax would be more appropriate rather than that monstrous bureaucracy controlling money-making events. I guess that's another thread though.
-All in all, college basketball does not generate as much money as college football. To some degree, that could never be rectified, but any difference in the level of value should be purely market-based. As it is, the NCAA is artificially capping the value of college basketball, inadvertently of course.
-The regular season has become virtually meaningless for all except the most ardent college basketball fans. Not that the games aren't fun, but the stakes aren't very high generally.
-Compelling non-conference games aren't played very often either. Outside of a few preseason tournaments, non-conference rivalries, and made for TV events like the Big Ten/ACC challenge; there isn't a lot in the way of important games that draw eyeballs. This is true despite the fact that about 1/3 of the schedule is dedicated to non-conference games. So many games...so few that matter.
-Non-conference scheduling is not only a huge gamble, but is hopelessly disorganized.
2. Solutions on a grand scale!
What I'm going to propose is influenced heavily by my observation of European soccer leagues. Let's go ahead and get that out of the way. If you're not familiar with how the top leagues in Europe function or how UEFA brings clubs together from countries all over the continent in one big tournament then some of this will see a little foreign. Literally!
First, let's assume that we're going to end up with a P4 sooner than later. Let's assume each major league has 16 teams. Some of the G5 leagues or Mid-Major leagues might have fewer, but I imagine some of them will go to 16 eventually.
What you find standard in European soccer leagues is that each league allows for each club to play all the others twice...once home and once away. What if we did that in college basketball?
Instead of worrying about 18 or 20 game schedules and whether or not we're playing all of our rivals frequently enough, why not just extend the regular season to 30 games for 16 teams? Everyone plays everyone else twice...once home and once away. Not only are you guaranteeing that you schedule all your rivals frequently, but there's no longer such a thing as imbalance within the schedule.
What about the non-conference games?
Set aside a few games for out of conference rivalries, preseason tournaments, and made for TV events. Other than that? Scrap it. For one, that will save everyone in travel costs because they won't have to fly all over the country playing non-conference games that hardly anyone is going to watch. Now obviously, you'd have to extend the season a fair bit to make it all work...especially when you include postseason games. Think of this however, the NBA plays 82 regular season games plus a boatload of playoff games. I'm not advocating college basketball try to duplicate that because it's an insane number, but I don't think it's unreasonable to say that the college kids could play half as many games as the pros. They do much more than that in football.
The point is this, the conference games are the ones the fans really care about anyway. Right now, it's not necessarily that there are too few of them. It's that they don't have the adequate importance competitively.
As it stands, conference regular seasons are basically used to seed teams for conference tournaments. The conference tourneys, while fun, actually help devalue the regular season. Basketball needs to learn one very important lesson from football...scarcity. Scarcity brings value if the scarce commodity is in demand.
I would not only play 30 conference games, but I would cap the conference tournaments to maybe 4 teams from each league. Basically, each conference gets their own version of a final four and it's a much more significant TV event. While the leagues might not make as much off the conference tournaments because of their pared down size, there will be many other offsetting benefits. First of all, the regular season will be much more valuable to TV networks and with each team playing 30 the number of league games will far outweigh any value a conference tourney could have ever produced in the current environment. Second, you won't have teams playing less than their best in conference tourneys because there will only be 2 games max and so there's no way the event can wear down a team looking to make a Big Dance run. Finally, the conference championship will be truly special again because the regular season will determine a limited number of participants rather than being an elongated display of seeding.
Is that crazy enough for you? No? Good! It's about to get crazier!
Ultimately, the Power leagues are going to have to take over the Big Dance from the NCAA. Necessarily, this will result is some limitation of access to Mid-majors. But all is not lost!
One of the more creative features of UEFA(the European soccer federation) is that they use a coefficient to determine the participants in their tournament? "Huh" you say? It's a little unAmerican, but think of it in these terms...
What if the conference regular season determined your participation in the Big Dance rather than your overall RPI and SOS as determined by a committee? In major soccer leagues, the only time you play a club from another league is if you're meeting in your continent's major tournament. Forget the international aspect for a moment and hone in on the fact that your finish in your league is the sole determinant in whether or not you play in the larger tournament. Let's apply this to college basketball...
Let's say that all 4 Power leagues were guaranteed 4 entrants into the Big Dance...no less and no more. Let's say those 4 entrants were determined by how you finished during the conference regular season. Let's say the top 4 teams not only make the conference tournament, but the top 4 also make the national tournament. Yeah, but that seems a little unfair right? How could you possibly guarantee that conference standings will directly determine who the best 4 teams are in any league? But remember, we already solved that problem! Every league is now playing round robin...once home and once away. At this point, the only reasonable way to determine the best 4 teams in a league is to go by the conference standings.
So not only have we increased the value of the regular season by expanding the conference schedule and seeing to it that conference champions are more reasonably selected, but we've managed to magnify the importance of the regular season even more by tying results into whether or not you make the Big Dance. Rather than allowing a committee to subjectively determine who has the best SOS and RPI, we've eliminated the middle man and brought all the stakes down onto where they should be...the court. It's all about wins and losses baby!
See how this all comes together? :jaw drop:
Now the hard part is determining whether or not each D1 conference still gets to participate. There are 32 leagues and so there's no way to guarantee each conference gets 4 teams in without massively expanding the size of the Big Dance. No need to do that and ultimately it would devalue the event if it was too big.
Here's my solution...
Much like there is a subdivision within college football, there should be one within college basketball. Let's be honest here, while some of these upsets are fun to watch, a large number of these lower rung teams have no business in the tournament.
Cap the national tournament at 48 teams...
Power leagues get 4 each. In basketball, however, that constitutes more than the P5.
SEC, ACC, B1G, PAC, Big East, Atlantic 10, AAC, MWC
I'm assuming the Big 12 has been absorbed by this time.
So far we've got 32 entrants.
The next tier get 2 entrants each...
MVC, OVC, Horizon, West Coast, Big West, MAC, CUSA, Sun Belt
That's 16 additional entrants and 48 overall. You seed the teams from there and the top teams will get a 1st round bye.
Now you've got your subdivision within D1. The vast majority of quality basketball programs will be included and I'm betting there will be some expansion from some of the above leagues so that they all end up with about 16 each.
I don't think a good argument can be made that the bottom 15 leagues will deserve equal access to the Big Dance. Much like FCS, they can have their own national tournament to determine their own champion within their ranks.
Ultimately, if the conferences take more control over the NCAA Tournament then they can create a behemoth that is much more marketable and will help college basketball ascend to a better place competitively and financially.