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The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
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EigenEagle Offline
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The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
1. Wake Forest @ App State: Could it really be any other game? Mountaineers ought to be able to chop down Weak Forest.

2. South Alabama @ Ole Miss: Ole Miss is in disarray, no longer has Chad Kelly and rebuilding, and South has certainly shown up in some non-conference games. Why not #2?

3. Idaho @ Missouri: Mizzou is going to stink. Not sure if I'm sold on Idaho, but if they play like they did last year they can make a game of it.

4. Georgia Southern @ Indiana: Call me a homer if you want, but we'll have 3 weeks to get things polished to get ready for this team.

5. Louisiana @ Ole Miss: See the above about Ole Miss

6. Miami @ Arkansas State: Mark Richt has problems when he has a green QB. The beatdown they gave App State notwithstanding, I don't think this one will be that ugly.

8. Troy @ LSU: Count me as an Ed Orgeron skeptic. I am really glad LSU is not my team as they passed over Tom Herman for more pro-style mediocrity. The teams might be more evenly-matched than 2008.

7. Arkansas State @ Nebraska: Rebuilding year for Nebraska. If Ark State actually comes out at full throttle it could be interesting.

8. Appalachian State @ Georgia: UGA will be tough on defense. Their offense is mediocre and pedestrian by Power 5 standards. I expect UGA will win in a 24-10 type score, but their chances are decent.

9. Oklahoma State @ South Alabama: Oklahoma State should be primed for a good season.

10. Georgia Southern @ Auburn: Not buying into the Auburn hype after getting fooled by them in 2015. Still, this will be a tough one without a doubt to open up with such a young team.

11. Louisiana @ Texas A&M
12. New Mexico State @ Arizona State
13. Texas State @ Colorado
14. New Mexico State @ Arkansas
15. ULM @ Auburn
16. Georgia State @ Penn State
17. ULM @ Florida State

If I left any out, my apologies.
(This post was last modified: 08-01-2017 09:12 PM by EigenEagle.)
08-01-2017 09:11 PM
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Tealblood Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
CCU at Arkansas
08-01-2017 09:28 PM
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Fanof49ASU Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-01-2017 09:28 PM)Tealblood Wrote:  CCU at Arkansas

That's winnable!!!
08-01-2017 10:14 PM
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TrueBlueAlum Offline
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The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
Not that I anticipate it affecting the final outcome drastically, but the Auburn DC in an interview today admitted they had no idea what to prepare for in our game. They are basically preparing for GT, Cal Poly, and Tulane all at once.


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08-01-2017 10:41 PM
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Florida RedWolf Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.
(This post was last modified: 08-02-2017 06:38 AM by Florida RedWolf.)
08-02-2017 04:21 AM
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BRtransplant Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-01-2017 09:11 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  1. Wake Forest @ App State: Could it really be any other game? Mountaineers ought to be able to chop down Weak Forest.

2. South Alabama @ Ole Miss: Ole Miss is in disarray, no longer has Chad Kelly and rebuilding, and South has certainly shown up in some non-conference games. Why not #2?

3. Idaho @ Missouri: Mizzou is going to stink. Not sure if I'm sold on Idaho, but if they play like they did last year they can make a game of it.

4. Georgia Southern @ Indiana: Call me a homer if you want, but we'll have 3 weeks to get things polished to get ready for this team.

5. Louisiana @ Ole Miss: See the above about Ole Miss

6. Miami @ Arkansas State: Mark Richt has problems when he has a green QB. The beatdown they gave App State notwithstanding, I don't think this one will be that ugly.

8. Troy @ LSU: Count me as an Ed Orgeron skeptic. I am really glad LSU is not my team as they passed over Tom Herman for more pro-style mediocrity. The teams might be more evenly-matched than 2008.

7. Arkansas State @ Nebraska: Rebuilding year for Nebraska. If Ark State actually comes out at full throttle it could be interesting.

8. Appalachian State @ Georgia: UGA will be tough on defense. Their offense is mediocre and pedestrian by Power 5 standards. I expect UGA will win in a 24-10 type score, but their chances are decent.

9. Oklahoma State @ South Alabama: Oklahoma State should be primed for a good season.

10. Georgia Southern @ Auburn: Not buying into the Auburn hype after getting fooled by them in 2015. Still, this will be a tough one without a doubt to open up with such a young team.

11. Louisiana @ Texas A&M
12. New Mexico State @ Arizona State
13. Texas State @ Colorado
14. New Mexico State @ Arkansas
15. ULM @ Auburn
16. Georgia State @ Penn State
17. ULM @ Florida State

If I left any out, my apologies.

Games:
1-4. SBC Wins

5-18. SBC Losses

Not too bad overall, considering the opponents.
08-02-2017 05:40 AM
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balanced_view Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
Most likely:
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State
South Alabama @ Ole Miss
Idaho @ Missouri
Georgia Southern @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss
Arkansas State @ Nebraska

Long shots:
Troy @ LSU
Appalachian State @ Georgia
Georgia Southern @ Auburn
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Coastal @ Arkansas
Miami @ Arkansas State
New Mexico State @ Arkansas
New Mexico State @ Arizona State

No Shots:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM @ Florida State
(This post was last modified: 08-02-2017 05:57 AM by balanced_view.)
08-02-2017 05:54 AM
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USAJag2011 Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
I think App over Wake is the one game I would be willing to put money on, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple upsets this year.

Possible Wins (best chances):
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State
South Alabama @ Ole Miss
Idaho @ Missouri
Georgia Southern @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss

Long shot wins:
Arkansas State @ Nebraska
New Mexico State @ Arizona State

No chance:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM @ Florida State
Troy @ LSU
Appalachian State @ Georgia
Georgia Southern @ Auburn
Coastal @ Arkansas
New Mexico State @ Arkansas
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Miami @ Arkansas State
08-02-2017 11:00 AM
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Georgia_Power_Company Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 11:00 AM)USAJag2011 Wrote:  I think App over Wake is the one game I would be willing to put money on, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple upsets this year.

Possible Wins (best chances):
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State
South Alabama @ Ole Miss
Idaho @ Missouri
Georgia Southern @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss

Long shot wins:
Arkansas State @ Nebraska
New Mexico State @ Arizona State

No chance:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM @ Florida State
Troy @ LSU
Appalachian State @ Georgia
Georgia Southern @ Auburn
Coastal @ Arkansas
New Mexico State @ Arkansas
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Miami @ Arkansas State

While I would say "there's always a chance" this breakout is pretty darn close to how I feel as well.
08-02-2017 11:19 AM
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WinstonTheWolf Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 05:54 AM)balanced_view Wrote:  Most likely:
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State -1.5
South Alabama +24.5 @ Ole Miss
Idaho +16.5 @ Missouri
Georgia Southern +16.5 @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss
Arkansas State +16 @ Nebraska

Long shots:
Troy +23 @ LSU
Appalachian State +14 @ Georgia
Georgia Southern +34.5 @ Auburn
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Coastal @ Arkansas
Miami @ Arkansas State +17
New Mexico State +23.5 @ Arkansas
New Mexico State +24.5 @ Arizona State

No Shots:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama +27
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM +41.5 @ Florida State

Other early odds:

stAte -3.5 vs Georgia Southern ON THE ROAD
stAte -8.5 vs ULL @ Jonesboogie
ULL -15.5 vs Texas State
Troy +11.5 @ Boise
(This post was last modified: 08-02-2017 07:45 PM by WinstonTheWolf.)
08-02-2017 07:42 PM
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slycat Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 04:21 AM)Florida RedWolf Wrote:  Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.

It is TXST not TSU. TSU is Texas Southern.
08-02-2017 07:49 PM
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CC Eagle Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 07:42 PM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 05:54 AM)balanced_view Wrote:  Most likely:
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State -1.5
South Alabama +24.5 @ Ole Miss
Idaho +16.5 @ Missouri
Georgia Southern +16.5 @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss
Arkansas State +16 @ Nebraska

Long shots:
Troy +23 @ LSU
Appalachian State +14 @ Georgia
Georgia Southern +34.5 @ Auburn
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Coastal @ Arkansas
Miami @ Arkansas State +17
New Mexico State +23.5 @ Arkansas
New Mexico State +24.5 @ Arizona State

No Shots:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama +27
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM +41.5 @ Florida State

Other early odds:

stAte -3.5 vs Georgia Southern ON THE ROAD
stAte -8.5 vs ULL @ Jonesboogie
ULL -15.5 vs Texas State
Troy +11.5 @ Boise

Where did you get those lines? It remains to be seen what Southern's offense will look like, but if it's what we're hoping for, I'd love to catch 3.5 points for a prime time home game.
08-02-2017 08:21 PM
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TrueBlueDrew Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 07:49 PM)slycat Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 04:21 AM)Florida RedWolf Wrote:  Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.

It is TXST not TSU. TSU is Texas Southern.

That sounds like an excellent model for the state of Georgia to follow
08-02-2017 08:55 PM
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WinstonTheWolf Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 08:21 PM)CC Eagle Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 07:42 PM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 05:54 AM)balanced_view Wrote:  Most likely:
Wake Forest @ Appalachian State -1.5
South Alabama +24.5 @ Ole Miss
Idaho +16.5 @ Missouri
Georgia Southern +16.5 @ Indiana
Louisiana @ Ole Miss
Arkansas State +16 @ Nebraska

Long shots:
Troy +23 @ LSU
Appalachian State +14 @ Georgia
Georgia Southern +34.5 @ Auburn
Louisiana @ Texas A&M
Coastal @ Arkansas
Miami @ Arkansas State +17
New Mexico State +23.5 @ Arkansas
New Mexico State +24.5 @ Arizona State

No Shots:
Oklahoma State @ South Alabama +27
Texas State @ Colorado
ULM @ Auburn
Georgia State @ Penn State
ULM +41.5 @ Florida State

Other early odds:

stAte -3.5 vs Georgia Southern ON THE ROAD
stAte -8.5 vs ULL @ Jonesboogie
ULL -15.5 vs Texas State
Troy +11.5 @ Boise

Where did you get those lines? It remains to be seen what Southern's offense will look like, but if it's what we're hoping for, I'd love to catch 3.5 points for a prime time home game.

5dimes . . . and stAte is going to smoke you clowns . . .
08-02-2017 09:13 PM
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southjag09 Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 04:21 AM)Florida RedWolf Wrote:  Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.
FYI, it's South Alabama. Not Southern. That's Southern Miss.

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08-02-2017 10:44 PM
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ericsaid Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-01-2017 10:41 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  Not that I anticipate it affecting the final outcome drastically, but the Auburn DC in an interview today admitted they had no idea what to prepare for in our game. They are basically preparing for GT, Cal Poly, and Tulane all at once.


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Don't worry, neither does Summers.
08-03-2017 02:00 PM
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-02-2017 10:44 PM)southjag09 Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 04:21 AM)Florida RedWolf Wrote:  Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.
FYI, it's South Alabama. Not Southern. That's Southern Miss.

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You guys seem to get that a lot. I've heard several ESPN3 commentators make that mistake.
08-03-2017 02:18 PM
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TrueBlueDrew Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-03-2017 02:00 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(08-01-2017 10:41 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  Not that I anticipate it affecting the final outcome drastically, but the Auburn DC in an interview today admitted they had no idea what to prepare for in our game. They are basically preparing for GT, Cal Poly, and Tulane all at once.


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Don't worry, neither does Summers.

Luckily Summers doesn't run the offense, Cook does.
08-03-2017 02:22 PM
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TrueBlueAlum Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-03-2017 02:00 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  Don't worry, neither does Summers.

03-yawn
08-03-2017 03:10 PM
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southjag09 Offline
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RE: The Power 5 games, ranked from most winnable to least
(08-03-2017 02:18 PM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 10:44 PM)southjag09 Wrote:  
(08-02-2017 04:21 AM)Florida RedWolf Wrote:  Counting the CCU vs Ark game, that is 18 games with only three games at SBC stadiums. Taking wins will be App over Wake and Georgia Southern at Ind.. Southern Alabama wins one somewhere making three total. We will have five competitive games that fall within 3-9 points (questionable calls will doom three of our teams here), and six games being lost by 14-17. Four games lost by 27 plus with the most likely candidates being CCU, ULM, UNM and TSU.
FYI, it's South Alabama. Not Southern. That's Southern Miss.

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You guys seem to get that a lot. I've heard several ESPN3 commentators make that mistake.
I have too, and yeah it does happen a lot. It doesn't help that Southern Miss is just up the road from South!

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