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RCP 2018 senate model
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RCP 2018 senate model
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/article..._tool.html

Based on presidential approval.

Based on current results, Republicans pick up 2 or 3 seats. You can set your own parameters.
05-15-2017 08:40 AM
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solohawks Offline
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Post: #2
RE: RCP 2018 senate model
per model (not including safe seats):
GOP Defending AZ, TX, WY

GOP picking up WV and ND

Dems Defending FL, IN, ME, MO, MT, NJ, OH, PA, VA, WI

Dems picking up NV
05-15-2017 09:01 AM
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ODUsmitty Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia. We've turned into Maryland. I'd gladly embrace DC representation in the Senate if the deal included annexing Northern Virginia and PG and Howard countries in Maryland. They can create their own little entitled liberal paradise, and the remaining territory in Virginia and Maryland would be better represented. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner are like herpes, once they gain a foothold, you can never get rid of them.
05-15-2017 03:28 PM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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Post: #4
RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia. We've turned into Maryland. I'd gladly embrace DC representation in the Senate if the deal included annexing Northern Virginia and PG and Howard countries in Maryland. They can create their own little entitled liberal paradise, and the remaining territory in Virginia and Maryland would be better represented. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner are like herpes, once they gain a foothold, you can never get rid of them.

Having driven up I-95 that far for the first time last year, I can confirm that the South ends at Richmond. And every agency and muni involved in running speed traps in VA can take a long walk off a short pier. A felony for 10 over? That's California grade crazy.
05-15-2017 04:13 PM
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MplsBison Offline
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Post: #5
RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia.

I guess, like many other places, more people prefer to live closer (or directly within) urban centers.

Those who stay out in the rural areas should have to accept less representation, and stop complaining.
05-15-2017 04:24 PM
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stinkfist Online
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 04:24 PM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia.

I guess, like many other places, more people prefer to live closer (or directly within) urban centers.

Those who stay out in the rural areas should have to accept less representation, and stop complaining.

you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

wow, even I didn't think you were that ignorant.....
05-15-2017 05:59 PM
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ODUsmitty Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 04:24 PM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia.

I guess, like many other places, more people prefer to live closer (or directly within) urban centers.

Those who stay out in the rural areas should have to accept less representation, and stop complaining.
Bite me. None of your damned business to tell me how to feel or where I should live.
05-15-2017 07:44 PM
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MplsBison Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 05:59 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

Not sure what you're saying, or if you're making a point?


(05-15-2017 07:44 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  tell me how to feel or where I should live.

Complaining isn't a feeling, it's an action.

You can and should live where you choose. I'm merely pointing out that if you choose to live in a place where far fewer Americans choose to live, relative to other places, then your area should receive relatively less representation in state and federal government. And that you shouldn't complain about that, because you made the decision to live there.
05-16-2017 09:28 AM
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stinkfist Online
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-16-2017 09:28 AM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 05:59 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

Not sure what you're saying, or if you're making a point?

that I agree you're not sure of anything and are ignorant how things work in the real world.....here's the original post in it's entirety as a reminder....

Quote:you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

wow, even I didn't think you were that ignorant.....
05-17-2017 06:06 AM
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MplsBison Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
So you make a cryptic statement about -- I guess -- urban centered being "designed", and expect a grand political point to be extrapolated?
05-17-2017 10:08 AM
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Tom in Lazybrook Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 04:13 PM)georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia. We've turned into Maryland. I'd gladly embrace DC representation in the Senate if the deal included annexing Northern Virginia and PG and Howard countries in Maryland. They can create their own little entitled liberal paradise, and the remaining territory in Virginia and Maryland would be better represented. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner are like herpes, once they gain a foothold, you can never get rid of them.

Having driven up I-95 that far for the first time last year, I can confirm that the South ends at Richmond. And every agency and muni involved in running speed traps in VA can take a long walk off a short pier. A felony for 10 over? That's California grade crazy.

Virginia has been like that for decades. Radar Detectors were illegal. I was a legal resident in Virginia when I was in college. As such, I didn't need to register my car there or get plates. I had my car illegally booted in my driveway for too many days in an out of state tag. I would get stopped repeatedly for no front license plate (my state only provided one license plate). I had to get my home state's AG office involved to stop the harassment. And that was decades before Virginia switched.
05-17-2017 02:31 PM
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Hood-rich Offline
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Post: #12
RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-16-2017 09:28 AM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 05:59 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

Not sure what you're saying, or if you're making a point?

[Image: 16a01494a76f84fca860397e2a7b8ba4.jpg]
05-17-2017 02:34 PM
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TigerBlue4Ever Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 05:59 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 04:24 PM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 03:28 PM)ODUsmitty Wrote:  It absolutely breaks my heart what has happened to Virginia.

I guess, like many other places, more people prefer to live closer (or directly within) urban centers.

Those who stay out in the rural areas should have to accept less representation, and stop complaining.

you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

wow, even I didn't think you were that ignorant.....

she doesn't mind a little social engineering now and again. the less she has to think about anything substantive the better she can sleep at night, knowing Uncle Nanny is watching out for and over her.
05-17-2017 03:03 PM
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Tom in Lazybrook Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-15-2017 09:01 AM)solohawks Wrote:  per model (not including safe seats):
GOP Defending AZ, TX, WY

GOP picking up WV and ND

Dems Defending FL, IN, ME, MO, MT, NJ, OH, PA, VA, WI

Dems picking up NV

I think that Heitkamp hangs on in ND.
Manchin is probably toast. WV is Trumpland writ large. Not that Manchin is much of a Democrat

I think Arizona and Texas could get interesting. Dems pick up Nevada.

Trump will lose another 10 percent by September in the polls. And God forbid health care blows up.

My prediction...Dems will have 51 seats in the Senate and around 240 in the House in January 2019.
05-17-2017 03:19 PM
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-17-2017 02:34 PM)Hood-rich Wrote:  
(05-16-2017 09:28 AM)MplsBison Wrote:  
(05-15-2017 05:59 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  you haven't figured out urban centers are by design???

Not sure what you're saying, or if you're making a point?

[Image: 16a01494a76f84fca860397e2a7b8ba4.jpg]

LOL!!! he knew XACLY! what I was saying.....

he doesn't get under my skin.....I know how to fight....
05-18-2017 07:54 AM
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MplsBison Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
Oh, was it a reference to Brokeback Mountain?

Are you saying you're a gay cattle rancher?
(This post was last modified: 05-18-2017 10:00 AM by MplsBison.)
05-18-2017 09:59 AM
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Hood-rich Offline
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Post: #17
RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-18-2017 09:59 AM)MplsBison Wrote:  Oh, was it a reference to Brokeback Mountain?

Are you saying you're a gay cattle rancher?

I wouldn't know if that's where that photo is from tbh. It doesn't take away from the imagery I was using to drive home his point.
05-18-2017 10:24 AM
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MplsBison Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
He wasn't making a point ... that was the point.

Just stating a semi-random, cryptic sentence.
05-18-2017 10:27 AM
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stinkfist Online
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-18-2017 09:59 AM)MplsBison Wrote:  Oh, was it a reference to Brokeback Mountain?

Are you saying you're a gay cattle rancher?

You really don't understand the residual of subsidized economics....it's okay, we already knew
05-18-2017 10:30 AM
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MplsBison Offline
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RE: RCP 2018 senate model
(05-18-2017 10:30 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  residual of subsidized economics

Is this actual gibberish ... or did you read it on a .org website?
05-18-2017 10:31 AM
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