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How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
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CougarRed Offline
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Post: #21
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-11-2017 10:26 PM)BullsFanInTX Wrote:  I'm going with 3. Houston seems to be on the verge of making bubble noise. Especially if they can beat SMU at home.

SMU
UConn
@ Memphis
@ Cincy
East Carolina

Houston is projected at a mid-40s RPI with 3 wins and 2 losses. Mid-30s RPI with four wins and a loss to Cincy.

There's a chance but we have to earn it.
02-12-2017 01:49 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #22
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-10-2017 05:55 PM)Stugray2 Wrote:  Should be 2, but wouldn't assume that. The P6 will get 28-30 at large, 32 others are conference champions. So a 2nd bid is competing for one of 6-8 slots. St.Mary's (assuming Gonzaga gets the WCC) has one of those. A10, MVC, MWC, Ivy will also have solid 2nd candidates. Probably 1 or 2 lower conferences get a bail out for a conference tourney upset.

Yeah, that kind of looks like 2.
Top 2 RPI teams in each:
CAA: UNC Wilmington 44th and College of Charleston 73rd
Ivy: Princeton 71st and Yale 108th

The CAA is much more likely than the Ivy League to get an at-large bid. What could help Princeton is that they're one of three teams undefeated in their conference. The other two are Gonzaga and Vermont.
02-12-2017 07:23 PM
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_C2_ Offline
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Post: #23
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-10-2017 10:56 AM)stever20 Wrote:  Houston is interesting. If they could go 5-1 in last 6 games, with their great advanced metric numbers and what would then be a top 40 RPI, I think they would probably get in and actually fairly easily.

Houston could have three games against Cincinnati and SMU. They need to win at least one, if not two to have any chance, let alone not losing again. This is a flawed team with limited depth and little inside game, so while Sampson has done a great job, it will be tough sledding. Hope I'm wrong. Go Coogs.
02-12-2017 08:38 PM
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_C2_ Offline
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Post: #24
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-10-2017 10:59 AM)BullsFanInTX Wrote:  Yeah, Houston's looking strong in some of the numbers, so I was thinking they could get in, even if they don't win AAC tourn. Not sure why, but Memphis numbers seem to be really low, despite their good overall record.

The problem is that their best win is over Rhode Island, another bubble team, as well as a couple bad losses to LSU and Harvard. The numbers are strong but the resume is lacking imo. Until they beat SMU or Cincinnati, it's a mute point. Yes, it's a mute point.
02-12-2017 08:56 PM
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ken d Offline
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Post: #25
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-12-2017 08:56 PM)_C2_ Wrote:  
(02-10-2017 10:59 AM)BullsFanInTX Wrote:  Yeah, Houston's looking strong in some of the numbers, so I was thinking they could get in, even if they don't win AAC tourn. Not sure why, but Memphis numbers seem to be really low, despite their good overall record.

The problem is that their best win is over Rhode Island, another bubble team, as well as a couple bad losses to LSU and Harvard. The numbers are strong but the resume is lacking imo. Until they beat SMU or Cincinnati, it's a mute point. Yes, it's a mute point.

Is it "mute" because nobody says it out loud, or because they say it with the volume turned off? 07-coffee3
02-13-2017 02:48 PM
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ken d Offline
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Post: #26
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-12-2017 07:23 PM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(02-10-2017 05:55 PM)Stugray2 Wrote:  Should be 2, but wouldn't assume that. The P6 will get 28-30 at large, 32 others are conference champions. So a 2nd bid is competing for one of 6-8 slots. St.Mary's (assuming Gonzaga gets the WCC) has one of those. A10, MVC, MWC, Ivy will also have solid 2nd candidates. Probably 1 or 2 lower conferences get a bail out for a conference tourney upset.

Yeah, that kind of looks like 2.
Top 2 RPI teams in each:
CAA: UNC Wilmington 44th and College of Charleston 73rd
Ivy: Princeton 71st and Yale 108th

The CAA is much more likely than the Ivy League to get an at-large bid. What could help Princeton is that they're one of three teams undefeated in their conference. The other two are Gonzaga and Vermont.

I really doubt either the CAA or the Ivy League would get an at-large bid if their top team isn't their champion. Same goes for the MWC. Far more likely that the A10 and AAC get two at-large bids, with the WCC and MVC getting one each. That won't leave much room for anyone else, and would most likely mean the P6 get 30 at-large bids.
02-13-2017 03:36 PM
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_C2_ Offline
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Post: #27
RE: How many teams does AAC get in NCAA tourn
(02-13-2017 02:48 PM)ken d Wrote:  
(02-12-2017 08:56 PM)_C2_ Wrote:  
(02-10-2017 10:59 AM)BullsFanInTX Wrote:  Yeah, Houston's looking strong in some of the numbers, so I was thinking they could get in, even if they don't win AAC tourn. Not sure why, but Memphis numbers seem to be really low, despite their good overall record.

The problem is that their best win is over Rhode Island, another bubble team, as well as a couple bad losses to LSU and Harvard. The numbers are strong but the resume is lacking imo. Until they beat SMU or Cincinnati, it's a mute point. Yes, it's a mute point.

Is it "mute" because nobody says it out loud, or because they say it with the volume turned off? 07-coffee3

Umm, yeah, that was the joke. As opposed to a moot point.
02-13-2017 08:58 PM
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