(01-11-2017 12:46 AM)CarlSmithCenter Wrote: If the Big 12 implodes at the end of the GOR I still don't think ND will necessarily be forced to join the ACC for football which is the only scenario where the league would need to backfill with a 16th team. Assuming the ACC did need a 16th football member I still think Texas would be the first target (long shot). When that doesn't work WVU, UConn and a hybrid of Navy football and Georgetown hoops et al. would still be way ahead of Cincy precisely because there is no benefit that UC could deliver (no way ESPN will be able to foist an ACC network on all OH consumers in 7-8 years given their declining power) that would outweigh the prejudice to teams in the league that can out recruit the Bearcats in Ohio now. ND may be different, but Pitt, VT, Louisville and Virginia will not outrecruit Ohio State in Ohio but once in a blue moon; however, they should regularly do so against a G5 school like Cincy, particularly after we have 7-8 more years of ramped up inequality in media rights revenue which will further allow the P5 to outspend the G5 on facilities. As the Big 12 decided with Houston this fall, the default position is that there is no reason to legitimize a potential regional recruiting adversary by bringing them out of the G5 wilderness and into your league.
You are correct on ND. Texas may be a long shot but
it was Texas that initiated contact with the ACC back in 2010(?).
The ACCN is going to use BOTH Cable and digital delivery. Conference networks are not subscription based. If you are a cable customer in a state and they carry the conference network, you are paying the conference a small fee (say $0.25/month). If the conference has a school in that state the number jumps significantly (say $1.50).
WVU - some of the older members don't like them and the new members aren't supporting them. Using the numbers above, WV could add $3 million/year to the ACCN
Uconn - most of the older members don't like them and the new members aren't supporting them. Using the numbers above, Uconn could add $6 million/year to the ACCN
Navy/Georgetown - I like this because it is a poke at Maryland. It's still a hybrid and I would say no. Using the numbers above, Navy/GT could add $12 million/year to the ACCN
Cincinnati - It's not about delivering Ohio or Ohio residents subscribing to the ACCN. Using the numbers above, Cincinnati could add $21 million/year to the ACCN. As long as Cincinnati doesn't move out of Ohio, they have value.
5 years ago, Pitt, ND and Syracuse each added $2 million/year/school to the broadcast contract. Add that to the ACCN number and Cincinnati could be worth $50+ million to the ACC.
