The Buffs would obviously need an impressive performance to even be considered over the other B1G schools vying for that coveted 4th spot but don't underestimate how much a convincing victory over Washington would do for their cause.

http://www.espn.com/blog/ncfnation/post/...or-playoff

"...hope isn't extinct for Colorado should the Buffs manage to upset the Huskies. The road would obviously be tougher for a two-loss Pac-12 champion, but Colorado's projected strength of record figure -- 11 percent -- would be the best among teams fighting for the fourth and final spot come Sunday.

The Buffs' ultimate problem may come because of their sheer distance from the final four: A surge up from No. 8 in just week -- including a leapfrog over the No. 5 Michigan team that beat them 45-28 earlier this season -- might be too much to ask. But Colorado led in that road game until quarterback Sefo Liufau was hurt, and the committee certainly will consider that nugget if the Buffs manage to beat Washington.

Regardless of Friday's result, the Pac-12 will remain in the College Football Playoff committee's discussions until the final rankings are delivered. The fact that two league teams remain alive at this point is a first in the playoff's three-year history, making the Pac-12 championship game's stakes higher than ever before."

Colorado cannot get in.

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it's almost impossible for Colorado to get in unless Clemson loses as well.

They'd need a blowout and PSU/Wisconsin to look ugly as hell (which will hurt UM), plus they'd need Clemson to lose.

Then you go head up with UM, in which case, I didn't see the game to know what happened. It was in Ann Arbor and the injuries will factor in. Honestly don't see how you leap over UM, but I didn't watch that game.

B1G champ gets in at 3, Buffaloes slip in at 4 but a near impossibility. The fact that UM took OSU to OT seals the deal for them to move into the 4 with Clemson/Husky losses.

(11-29-2016 11:14 PM)stever20 Wrote:  it's almost impossible for Colorado to get in unless Clemson loses as well.

^This^
It would take a dominant win over UW and a Clemson loss to even be considered.

Even then it would be tough considering that Michigan who beat them head to head and whoever was to win the B1G championship is in front of them

I could be reading the tea leaves wrong, but I believe it is difficult for either Colorado or Michigan to get into the playoff. You can run through almost every scenario and you end up with both being left out.

Ohio State doesn't have another game, so they are assumed to be in. And Alabama could lose to Florida and still be included in the playoff, unless they are blown out, which is unlikely. So IMO, you are looking at Clemson, Washington and the winner of the Wisconsin/Penn State game jostling for two spots. I think Clemson and Washington would have to lose for either Michigan or Colorado to have a shot.

(11-29-2016 11:55 PM)SouthEastAlaska Wrote:  

(11-29-2016 11:14 PM)stever20 Wrote:  it's almost impossible for Colorado to get in unless Clemson loses as well.

^This^
It would take a dominant win over UW and a Clemson loss to even be considered.

Even then it would be tough considering that Michigan who beat them head to head and whoever was to win the B1G championship is in front of them

Michigan will get in over Colorado. They probably would lose out to Wisconsin, if Wisconsin wins big over Penn State.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...edictions/

Percentage chances that team makes playoff:

Alabama 92%
Ohio State 92%
Clemson 66%
Wisconsin 30%
Penn State 21%
Colorado 10%
Oklahoma 6%
Okla State 1%
Michigan 1%

(11-30-2016 07:15 PM)B easy Wrote:  http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...edictions/

Percentage chances that team makes playoff:

Alabama 92%
Ohio State 92%
Clemson 66%
Wisconsin 30%
Penn State 21%
Colorado 10%
Oklahoma 6%
Okla State 1%
Michigan 1%

small problem with this. you add these up and it gets to 319. The number should be 400- 4 * 100%. So where's the other 81%....

(11-30-2016 07:39 PM)stever20 Wrote:  

(11-30-2016 07:15 PM)B easy Wrote:  http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...edictions/

Percentage chances that team makes playoff:

Alabama 92%
Ohio State 92%
Clemson 66%
Wisconsin 30%
Penn State 21%
Colorado 10%
Oklahoma 6%
Okla State 1%
Michigan 1%

small problem with this. you add these up and it gets to 319. The number should be 400- 4 * 100%. So where's the other 81%....

Washington?

actually he didn't have it right...
Alabama 92%
Ohio St 92%
Clemson 80%
Washington 66%
Wisconsin 30%
Penn St21%
Colorado 10%
Oklahoma 6%
Oklahoma St 1%
Michigan 1%

now looking at their things....
Alabama, Clemson, Washington, and Penn St win- Alabama, Clemson, Washington, Ohio St. PSU at 13%
Alabama, Clemson, Washington, and Wisconsin win- Alabama, Clemson, Washington, Ohio St Wisc at 23%
Alabama, Clemson, Colorado, Penn St win- Alabama, Clemson, Ohio St, Penn St. Colorado 26%
Alabama, Clemson, Colorado, Wisconsin win- Alabama, Clemson, Ohio St, Wisconsin. Colorado 15%
Alabama, Va Tech, Washington, Penn St win- Alabama, Washington, Ohio St, Penn St- Okla/Okla St winner 14%
Alabama, Va Tech, Washington, Wisconsin win- Alabama, Washington, Ohio St, Wisconsin. Okla/Okla St winner 8%
Alabama, Va Tech, Colorado, Penn St win- Alabama, Ohio St, Penn St, Colorado. Okla at 33% with win(with Mich at 8%), Okla St 19% with win(with Mich at 11%)
Alabama, Va Tech, Colorado, Wisconsin win- Alabama, Ohio St, Wisconsin, Colorado. Okla at 31% with win(with Mich at 6%), Okla St at 24% with win(with Mich at 9%)