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dan10 Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 09:00 AM)CoastGuardHawk06 Wrote:  Doesn't matter. Beating down Campbell and Radford, and averaging 100 pts in our last four games... We won't get a vote in the T-25. As a matter of fact, we'll probably be the only team in the history of the polls to get a negative vote. At least one voter will write down, "absolutely did not vote for UNCW or UNC-Wilmington".

And Jay Bilas will mention us in another article, probably referencing our "almost" last year in the tourney to Duke, and maybe even find a way to reference Maryland.




You're welcome.
(This post was last modified: 12-19-2016 11:54 AM by dan10.)
12-19-2016 11:53 AM
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Seahawkhoops Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 11:53 AM)dan10 Wrote:  
(12-19-2016 09:00 AM)CoastGuardHawk06 Wrote:  Doesn't matter. Beating down Campbell and Radford, and averaging 100 pts in our last four games... We won't get a vote in the T-25. As a matter of fact, we'll probably be the only team in the history of the polls to get a negative vote. At least one voter will write down, "absolutely did not vote for UNCW or UNC-Wilmington".

And Jay Bilas will mention us in another article, probably referencing our "almost" last year in the tourney to Duke, and maybe even find a way to reference Maryland.




You're welcome.

Dan i've always liked you but holy hell dude!

CG- This is grounds for having his posting rights to our boards banned~!
12-19-2016 12:20 PM
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jumpinmullet Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Kenpom Ratings
If you go 27-2, lose the CAA final, it could be a way to get 2 CAA teams in the NCAA or a way to get snubbed. Playing the D2's would be part of the discussion by the committee of fools-best win the CAA and leave all the other crap to some other team.
12-19-2016 12:25 PM
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82hawk Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Kenpom Ratings
With only 2 losses on the board, and wins at Clemson and St. Bonaventure it would be hard to keep us out. That would mean our only losses would be to MTSU on the road and CofC on the road(I presume). That's at-large stuff if ever there was at-large.
12-19-2016 02:36 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 02:36 PM)82hawk Wrote:  With only 2 losses on the board, and wins at Clemson and St. Bonaventure it would be hard to keep us out. That would mean our only losses would be to MTSU on the road and CofC on the road(I presume). That's at-large stuff if ever there was at-large.

It sure is. But dont forget what happened to Drexel in '12 with their 27-6 record and winning like 24 straight before the loss in the CAAT. The big hit that year against Drexel was the OOC schedule and the loss to Norfolk State (who happened to pull the 15/2 upset over Missouri that year). The committee is always glad to leave out deserving mids for middling major conference teams. Don't give them the excuse.
12-19-2016 02:54 PM
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solohawks Online
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Post: #26
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 02:54 PM)dan10 Wrote:  
(12-19-2016 02:36 PM)82hawk Wrote:  With only 2 losses on the board, and wins at Clemson and St. Bonaventure it would be hard to keep us out. That would mean our only losses would be to MTSU on the road and CofC on the road(I presume). That's at-large stuff if ever there was at-large.

It sure is. But dont forget what happened to Drexel in '12 with their 27-6 record and winning like 24 straight before the loss in the CAAT. The big hit that year against Drexel was the OOC schedule and the loss to Norfolk State (who happened to pull the 15/2 upset over Missouri that year). The committee is always glad to leave out deserving mids for middling major conference teams. Don't give them the excuse.

yall got hosed that year.
12-19-2016 03:05 PM
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82hawk Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Kenpom Ratings
6 losses v. 2 losses for a full season is a marked difference. Also, we would have zero bad losses and two very good away wins.
12-19-2016 03:23 PM
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70shawk Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Kenpom Ratings
The fly in the ointment in this whole thread is you first actually have to WIN those theoretical Ws. The David Robinson Navy team was the only one that I can recall that finished the CAA regular season with only one loss.
12-19-2016 03:33 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 03:23 PM)82hawk Wrote:  6 losses v. 2 losses for a full season is a marked difference. Also, we would have zero bad losses and two very good away wins.

I am not disagreeing. But Drexel had no real bad losses that year {Virginia (22 wins team made ncaat), Norfolk State (26 win team made ncaat), St Joes (20 win team made NIT), Delaware (worst loss in rivalry game but 18 win team made CBI, Georgia State (22 win team made CIT), and of course the finals loss to VCU (29 win team made ncaat). My point was unless your OOC is flawless and at least average SOS it can create doubt regardless how many wins you rack up. Any doubt given to a committee about a mid is usually enough to have them looking at the NIT

I also know the womens game and mens game is vastly different, but Pricenton (in '14-'15) went 30-0 and the committee still wanted to exclude them and gave them an 8 or 9 seed.
12-19-2016 03:37 PM
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jumpinmullet Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Kenpom Ratings
Every year some team has a great record and all their fans are convinced that they will get in but they get the shaft. It happens every year,so don't be that team that leaves it up to the deciders in the dog house. If UNCW loses at Clemson that would be the excuse they need to leave you out. I can hear Bilas now saying that UNC-Wilmington lost to the only real program they played-blah,blah,blah.
12-19-2016 04:14 PM
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jumpinmullet Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 02:36 PM)82hawk Wrote:  With only 2 losses on the board, and wins at Clemson and St. Bonaventure it would be hard to keep us out. That would mean our only losses would be to MTSU on the road and CofC on the road(I presume). That's at-large stuff if ever there was at-large.

That's right-we agree on this! That does mean anything to the NCAA stooges,they can wipe your season out in a heartbeat and don't have to answer to anybody it. If UNCW lose in the tourney-I doubt they get in.
Don't leave in the hands of people without a clue.
12-19-2016 04:18 PM
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bricksnivy Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-19-2016 12:20 PM)Seahawkhoops Wrote:  
(12-19-2016 11:53 AM)dan10 Wrote:  
(12-19-2016 09:00 AM)CoastGuardHawk06 Wrote:  Doesn't matter. Beating down Campbell and Radford, and averaging 100 pts in our last four games... We won't get a vote in the T-25. As a matter of fact, we'll probably be the only team in the history of the polls to get a negative vote. At least one voter will write down, "absolutely did not vote for UNCW or UNC-Wilmington".

And Jay Bilas will mention us in another article, probably referencing our "almost" last year in the tourney to Duke, and maybe even find a way to reference Maryland.




You're welcome.

Dan i've always liked you but holy hell dude!

CG- This is grounds for having his posting rights to our boards banned~!

I'm going to respect board rules and not threaten another poster with physical violence 04-chairshot
12-19-2016 04:27 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-18-2016 08:15 PM)82hawk Wrote:  Warren Nolan predictions as of 12-18-2016. Sign me up!

Record 27 - 2
Conf Record 17 - 1

RPI 34
SOS 313
http://www.rpiforecast.com/confs/CAA.html expects you to have an SOS of 132nd.
12-21-2016 08:23 AM
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Seahawkhoops Offline
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Post: #34
RE: Kenpom Ratings
(12-21-2016 08:23 AM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(12-18-2016 08:15 PM)82hawk Wrote:  Warren Nolan predictions as of 12-18-2016. Sign me up!

Record 27 - 2
Conf Record 17 - 1

RPI 34
SOS 313
http://www.rpiforecast.com/confs/CAA.html expects you to have an SOS of 132nd.

That's more in line with what i would expect
12-21-2016 08:33 AM
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