(10-23-2016 06:19 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote:  

(10-23-2016 11:28 AM)msm96wolf Wrote:  The stars would have to fall in place. Need to go 11-1. Have Boise, WMU and Navy all lose in their CCG. Troy would be the choice.

Depends on who Navy loses to..if its USF, they could get in before Troy at 11-2. USF will have the same number of wins and a win over a G5 OOC.

If SDSU runs the table and beats Boise in the final, they'd have a better record as Troy (12-1). Sure they have a loss to USA, but they also have a win over Cal. Good news. Both have to travel to a surprisingly good Wyoming team. Best case scenario. Wyoming beats SDSU then SDSU wins the CCG.

WMU has to lose either two games or lose its' CCG. And WMU isn't likely to lose in the CCG. If Toledo wins out, or wins at WMU and then wins the CCG....they might go over Troy. The best case scenario: Toledo upsets WMU then loses the CCG.

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So, I see the possibilities as follows

AAC - Navy, USF, Houston, and Memphis.

MWC - Boise and SDSU.

MAC - Toledo and WMU.

SBC - Troy

Barring family events, I would be in attendance for a Troy new years six game. Only GS in a huge bowl can override family functions.

(10-23-2016 11:30 PM)trojanbrutha Wrote:  

(10-23-2016 06:38 PM)Hemi Man Wrote:  

(10-23-2016 11:32 AM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  Anywhere but Montgomery. I'd love to go to Orlando. NY6 talk is cool, but it's an extremely long shot. I'm just happy we're going bowling.

I'm not anti Montgomery having missed out the last 5 years. I can drink and celebrate in any town!!

I'll drink to that!

sent from my HTC using Tapatalk

I will too!!!

(10-23-2016 09:00 AM)geauxcajuns Wrote:  No shot. Boise has it locked up.

Boise still has to play Craig Bohl, Air Force, and in a conference championship game. Their fate is far from assured. Last week I posted on this topic regarding the teams in front of Troy (there aren't many) and that they all have difficult games they very well could lose. Houston is now out, WMU still has Toledo and a conference championship game, and the AAC will likely knock the leader of that conference down.

That leaves Troy who has to navigate Arkansas State, App, and Georgia Southern. While it isn't easy, it's certainly within the realm of possibility and outside of App, is more favorable than anyone currently ranked above Troy.