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OsageJ Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.
10-10-2016 08:49 PM
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Post: #22
RE: Week 7 Predictions
Happy Appy in Lafayette. Critical game for UL. Reminds me of year 3 and the start of year 4 for Hollis at AState. Close losses shook the confidence of the players in the staff. Two crazy losses with some big season ending injuries. Going with the Mountaineers.

Idaho only has one woulda/coulda/shoulda loss (UNLV). Aggies are riding a seesaw, up down up down. Like the Vandals.

Texas State underachieved last year (hell they quit at the end) ULM had more fight in them. I like the TXST roster better than the ULM roster right now so I go TXST.

Eagles will give the jalopies more than they want before fading. GT wins.

I've been high on Troy ever since the coaching change, pre-season picked them to be the team to end our conference win streak. Georgia State has a hiccup offense and cannot afford the usual dry spell that seems to hit every game. Troy by a couple scores.

AState is four quarters deep into reinventing who they are. USA I think has a good enough defense to temper what AState will do and is built to attack the weakness of the AState defense. Jags pull it out.
10-10-2016 09:55 PM
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T-Dog Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Week 7 Predictions
App State at ULL - The Cajuns' secondary is their weak point. 45-13 App

NMSU at Idaho - Idaho has too much offense. 44-41 Vandals

Texas State at ULM - Before last Saturday I would have taken the Bobcats. Now, it's a toss-up. 21-20 Warhawks

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - For some reason, I like GS to keep this interesting. 35-32 Jackets

USA at Arkansas State - USA doesn't make sense. A-State has too many athletes. 27-13 A-State

Georgia State at Troy - This could be a slugfest in the trenches. Good match-up for the Panthers, but Troy is too much. 38-28 Troy
10-11-2016 07:43 AM
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JCGSU Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Week 7 Predictions
I just want to apologize in advance for the GT game. Its a four year contract with this HC so....maybe by the end of year two we can buy it out. Or we can bring in a competent OC by then but I got a feeling just like Coach Sewak he would rather be fired than replace his good ole boys on the staff.
10-11-2016 07:49 AM
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TrueBlueAlum Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Week 7 Predictions
One of these weeks we might magically learn to block again on the OL. This is not one of those weeks I don't think.
10-11-2016 08:59 AM
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TrueBlueDrew Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

We don't acknowledge that Eric guy anymore. He knows little to nothing about teams outside App. He's is what you would call a nutcase homer.
10-11-2016 09:27 AM
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trueeagle98 Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

We suck. Nothing to get upset about from other fans stating the obvious.
GS should have beat Arky, but the coaching is so bad that we have almost 0 offense and aside from the kicking all aspects have taken a giant step backwards.
10-11-2016 10:20 AM
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Eagle22 Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

As much as some seem to think that ericsaid is a troll, he occasionally stumbles into some accurate commentary. I think some of the App/stAte ire is clouding your perception here.

He's not running us down ... in this case, I think he's absolutely correct.

A typical Georgia Southern offense would have easily left Jonesboro with 40+ points on the board after being gifted all of those turnovers. Our ineptitude (characterized by ericsaid as "schizophrenic") that prevented us from several 1st down conversions is not characteristic of our usual prowess on offense.

Now I'm not going to sit here and suggest that the Arkansas State defense is incapable of making defensive stops ... that is not my point. But historically we are quite strong at converting short yardage situations.
10-11-2016 10:35 AM
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JCGSU Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

He is right a typical team with just +2 in turn overs usually wins a game by more the 14 points. Teams with just +1 in turn overs win the game 60-70% of the time from what I found online. In 2013 teams with +5 in turn overs won by 30+ points. It should have been a blow out with any semblance of the offense we ran last year. Troy would win by 50+ they way they are playing right now with 5 turnovers handed to them.
10-11-2016 01:44 PM
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ericsaid Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-11-2016 09:27 AM)TrueBlueDrew Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

We don't acknowledge that Eric guy anymore. He knows little to nothing about teams outside App. He's is what you would call a nutcase homer.

Is that so? Aside from the Tennessee game and the Southern game, 5 turnovers almost always correlates to a loss. There is nothing "nut case" homerish about that statement. I understand it would irk State fans to be told they should've lost after 5 turnovers and pains Southern fans to know that their team blew at least 5 opportunities to steal points away to win. However, after watching 3 of Southern's games this season, it's clear that the offense has regressed, as I predicted it would under a defensive minded coach.

State fans aren't possibly delusional enough to forget that at times last season, they required spurts of scoring after a two quarter dry spell at any point in the game (see USA as example). They were also terrible out of conference once again, leading me to believe that Anderson uses the OOC schedule to tinker with the play calling.

I also suggested throughout the offseason that Troy would be back. I have been nearly the only person who isn't affiliated with ULL saying that they are better than many have them (ranging from 6-9) in many power rankings, yet I don't pay attention to anyone other than App.

The truth hurts. Southern is flailing, State is regaining their usual in-conference swagger, and State fan's will slowly file in to the board as the dissonance of poor OOC play fades and Southern fans will fall into the dissonance as their relatively poor play on offense continues.
10-11-2016 02:03 PM
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ericsaid Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

It doesn't burn my butt. You all went 0-4 OOC with a loss to UCA and turned the ball over FIVE times to Southern. That isn't defined as playing well in anyone's book. Hansen stepped up 4th and 16 and made some big throws on that final drive to dig you out of the hole, otherwise you'd agree with my assessment.

As for the USA comment; they win at Mississippi State and beat SDSU yet lose to ULL and Southern. It is quite obvious that their team puts their best foot forward depending on competition and instead of finding ways to win conference games, finds ways to lose them. (See 2015 against Arkansas State)

It's pretty simple. Southern has regressed on offense with the departure of Fritz (as I said would happen due to the new HC being a defensive mind) and Arkansas State is one loss worse than most would've expected with the loss to Central Arkansas.

It isn't rocket science, it's football. Coaching personalities show through in a football team and don't change that much year over year. Other than the loss to UCA, your record y/y proves that.
10-11-2016 02:10 PM
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OsageJ Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-11-2016 02:10 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 12:46 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  App State at ULL - App wins in ugly and boring fashion as has been the status quo this year. The defense is set up to stop G5 teams and teams like ULL in particular.

NMSU at Idaho - NMSU looks like they have finally gotten over the hump.

Texas State at ULM

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech - With Fritz, Southern is the favorite to win this game. Without Fritz, Southern looks schizophrenic on offense and the players have no idea what they are doing.

USA at Arkansas State - No matter how bad State plays, USA will find a way to lose an in-conference game.

Georgia State at Troy - Upset special. GSU's defensive back field may be able to keep them in the game for long enough to pull off the upset. (I know it is unlikely to happen).

We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

It doesn't burn my butt. You all went 0-4 OOC with a loss to UCA and turned the ball over FIVE times to Southern. That isn't defined as playing well in anyone's book. Hansen stepped up 4th and 16 and made some big throws on that final drive to dig you out of the hole, otherwise you'd agree with my assessment.

As for the USA comment; they win at Mississippi State and beat SDSU yet lose to ULL and Southern. It is quite obvious that their team puts their best foot forward depending on competition and instead of finding ways to win conference games, finds ways to lose them. (See 2015 against Arkansas State)

It's pretty simple. Southern has regressed on offense with the departure of Fritz (as I said would happen due to the new HC being a defensive mind) and Arkansas State is one loss worse than most would've expected with the loss to Central Arkansas.

It isn't rocket science, it's football. Coaching personalities show through in a football team and don't change that much year over year. Other than the loss to UCA, your record y/y proves that.

Yep....burnt.
10-11-2016 03:32 PM
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ericsaid Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-11-2016 03:32 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-11-2016 02:10 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 05:39 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  We had some turnovers but we did not play badly. Defense shut GS down and offense did some good things.

5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

It doesn't burn my butt. You all went 0-4 OOC with a loss to UCA and turned the ball over FIVE times to Southern. That isn't defined as playing well in anyone's book. Hansen stepped up 4th and 16 and made some big throws on that final drive to dig you out of the hole, otherwise you'd agree with my assessment.

As for the USA comment; they win at Mississippi State and beat SDSU yet lose to ULL and Southern. It is quite obvious that their team puts their best foot forward depending on competition and instead of finding ways to win conference games, finds ways to lose them. (See 2015 against Arkansas State)

It's pretty simple. Southern has regressed on offense with the departure of Fritz (as I said would happen due to the new HC being a defensive mind) and Arkansas State is one loss worse than most would've expected with the loss to Central Arkansas.

It isn't rocket science, it's football. Coaching personalities show through in a football team and don't change that much year over year. Other than the loss to UCA, your record y/y proves that.

Yep....burnt.

I'm actually confused as to where I got the "troll" title other than during Miami week when I was clearly far too excited based on the end result. The end doesn't justify the means and me trolling would've been considered me being knowledgeable had the outcome of that game been any different.

Being at the App State - Arkansas State game last season and then rewatching it three times resulted in the same conclusion as I had initially, the center going down impacted the outcome. Did it matter? No. Arkansas State's offense would've likely taken off regardless yet App being able to move the ball would have resulted in fewer opportunities. Was I burnt about it? Other than the initial shock factor of the second half wore off on the way home, no I wasn't. State has the best athletes in the conference and that showed through in the second half.

Making objective observations about a program doesn't make you a troll or burnt no matter how much the fan with the inability to be anything other than subjective wants you to be.

Now run along, enjoy your 7 conference wins and decent bowl game, further dragging down the conference rankings due to the loss to UCA.
10-12-2016 01:49 PM
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VandalBasher Offline
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Post: #34
RE: Week 7 Predictions
How close were your picks?
10-16-2016 01:12 AM
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arkstfan Away
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Post: #35
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-12-2016 01:49 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-11-2016 03:32 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-11-2016 02:10 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 08:49 PM)OsageJ Wrote:  
(10-10-2016 06:41 PM)ericsaid Wrote:  5 turnovers would result in a drubbing against teams with a good offense.

To all APP fans this next statement is just for this guy Eric.

Really burns your butt we beat you last year in your place...huh. Oh and GS you gonna let this guy run you down...Wow.

It doesn't burn my butt. You all went 0-4 OOC with a loss to UCA and turned the ball over FIVE times to Southern. That isn't defined as playing well in anyone's book. Hansen stepped up 4th and 16 and made some big throws on that final drive to dig you out of the hole, otherwise you'd agree with my assessment.

As for the USA comment; they win at Mississippi State and beat SDSU yet lose to ULL and Southern. It is quite obvious that their team puts their best foot forward depending on competition and instead of finding ways to win conference games, finds ways to lose them. (See 2015 against Arkansas State)

It's pretty simple. Southern has regressed on offense with the departure of Fritz (as I said would happen due to the new HC being a defensive mind) and Arkansas State is one loss worse than most would've expected with the loss to Central Arkansas.

It isn't rocket science, it's football. Coaching personalities show through in a football team and don't change that much year over year. Other than the loss to UCA, your record y/y proves that.

Yep....burnt.

I'm actually confused as to where I got the "troll" title other than during Miami week when I was clearly far too excited based on the end result. The end doesn't justify the means and me trolling would've been considered me being knowledgeable had the outcome of that game been any different.

Being at the App State - Arkansas State game last season and then rewatching it three times resulted in the same conclusion as I had initially, the center going down impacted the outcome. Did it matter? No. Arkansas State's offense would've likely taken off regardless yet App being able to move the ball would have resulted in fewer opportunities. Was I burnt about it? Other than the initial shock factor of the second half wore off on the way home, no I wasn't. State has the best athletes in the conference and that showed through in the second half.

Making objective observations about a program doesn't make you a troll or burnt no matter how much the fan with the inability to be anything other than subjective wants you to be.

Now run along, enjoy your 7 conference wins and decent bowl game, further dragging down the conference rankings due to the loss to UCA.

Arkansas State winning doesn't drag the conference down. The conference not beating AState is the problem. You have your focus wrong. If the league finds AState's early season struggles trying to find a QB and adjusting to a new OC and big changes by the OL coach embarassing, keep us from winning league games.

As for last year, I go back to a text a friend sent at half. "Their QB has had one of his best halves this year and we are down 4. We got this."
10-16-2016 01:57 AM
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Saint3333 Online
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Post: #36
RE: Week 7 Predictions
Neither Ark St winning conference games nor SBC programs not beating Ark St drags down the conference. That's not how conferences are measured. Losing OOC games including bowl games however does drag the conference down. If Ark St goes 2-2 in OOC and we win a couple others the SBC would be 2nd behind only the AAC.
10-16-2016 07:09 AM
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Post: #37
RE: Week 7 Predictions
(10-16-2016 07:09 AM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Neither Ark St winning conference games nor SBC programs not beating Ark St drags down the conference. That's not how conferences are measured. Losing OOC games including bowl games however does drag the conference down. If Ark St goes 2-2 in OOC and we win a couple others the SBC would be 2nd behind only the AAC.

If someone doesn't dig up three more wins against AState, the Red Wolves will get another OOC opportunity.

There are two teams undefeated in Pac-12 play. One of them lost to an FCS and a G5.

I don't believe in the transitive property in football but the FCS that beat AState in Hansen's first start just shut out McNeese State 35-0 in Lake Charles, a McNeese State team that dropped an 8 point decision in Lafayette.
Not like we lost to a chump, UCA boasts the same FCS record as Eastern Washington who beat Pac-12 co-leader Washington State.
10-16-2016 01:13 PM
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Saint3333 Online
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RE: Week 7 Predictions
My point stands
10-16-2016 06:19 PM
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