TodgeRodge
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RE: Boren says media reports about OU opposing expansion are false
(09-28-2016 12:31 PM)stxrunner Wrote: (09-28-2016 10:12 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (09-28-2016 09:43 AM)Carolina Stang Wrote: (09-28-2016 04:12 AM)DavidSt Wrote: (09-28-2016 01:12 AM)HawaiiMongoose Wrote: They had to conduct months of due diligence and pay expensive consultants to figure that out? I would have been happy to explain that to them at a much lower price.
Then, they should help grow those schools to be equals to the ones lost. Many of these schools on the list have growing research and academics, and some faster than others.
Let's examine schools that have been thought of as G5 who have moved to P5:
TCU
Louisville
Utah
All successful programs.
B12 is shortsighted. Take any 2 of UH, Cincy, Memphis, UConn, SMU, USF, UCF, Tulane, ECU, et al and see what those schools do within 3-5 years with B12 financial resources. They kick @ss
This is a perfect snapshot of the greed within P5 conference expansion, and the incredible idiocracy of this process:
To be sure, the expansion standard is NOT whether a school would do well with Big 12 financial resources. Instead, the expansion standard is whether a school would ADD to the Big 12 financial resources. Neither the Big 12 nor any of the other P5 leagues need to expand for the sake of helping any G5 schools; it's incumbent upon those G5 schools to show what they can do for the Big 12 or the applicable P5 league as opposed to the other way around.
Now, on the flip side, I've said for several years that the Big 12 was completely delusional if they thought for one second that schools like Florida State and Clemson would ever seriously consider joining them (and completely bats**t crazy to think that any school that actually left the Big 12 would ever think for one second of coming back). It's frustrating as a neutral observer in seeing that, at least in Barry Tramel's latest piece, there is STILL that delusion.
If the Big 12 ultimately believes that any G5 additions won't make them more money at the end of the day, then that's fine. That may very well be the case and they shouldn't be running a charity for G5 schools. However, if they're holding out on expansion because of continued delusions of grandeur of getting some bigger names from another P5 league, then that's idiotic. The Big 12 has been raided by the Big Ten, SEC and Pac-12 during this decade. I know Big 12 administrators and fans don't want to hear it, but they are LAST in the pecking order of P5 conferences when it comes to realignment power. FSU, Nebraska, Texas A&M, et. al are NEVER coming through that door and the Big 12 needs to get over it. The Big 12 still doesn't seem to understand their place in the college sports world (which is weaker than all of the other P5 leagues regarding realignment), and until they do so, they can't move on (and it might be too late by the time that they figure it out).
I agree with your whole premise. This isn't a charity, so even if the Big 12 was made up of 10 IUPUI's, if they are paid their current deal, then they want people who bring some value to that deal or the Big 12 as a whole.
The thing that confuses me, is that all the data that's been released so far has been positive for Big 12 expansion. In the VERY worst case, adding 2 teams is revenue neutral (and that's a case without much room for growth or vision), and improves the chances of current teams of making the playoffs, etc. There is obviously more data they paid for, so maybe there is more hiding in there. But the Big 12 seems incredibly stubborn.
So, unless they are just fighting over who to invite or still holding out hope for an FSU/Clemson type school (delusional), an administrator saying that adding teams from their interview pool doesn't make sense, quite frankly, doesn't make sense.
adding two teams is not revenue neutral though that is what you are missing out on
current Big 12 schools are set to average $36.5 million per year over the final 8 years of their contract if the CCG pays $30 million per year
new teams would bring in $22.5 million on average per year over that same 8 years
that is not revenue neutral
and when you talk about "scaling ip payments" you have to understand that new teams will be paying about $15 million each with the exception of BYU to leave their current conference and that combined with the very very small payments you would have to give them for the first 5 years before they even start getting a half share or more in year 6 working to a full share in year 8 means those new members would basically e making about the same money as they make in their current conferences for the first 5 years or so
then they finally have a big revenue jump in years 6, 7 and 8 that they are suppose to use to rapidly improve or sustain success so they can look like a "big boy" for the contract negotiations
so there is a major revenue issue and a long term competitiveness issue with revenues for all but POSSIBLY BYU or POSSIBLY UConn and each of those schools has issues (and my opinion on that has ZERO to do with the religious aspects of BYU) it has to do with the fact that is basically two more islands in the Big 12 to contend with and UConn is terrible at football
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