green
Hall of Famer
Posts: 11,507
Joined: May 2014
Reputation: 391
I Root For: Miami
Location:
|
Nate Silver: Trump Winning
TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. http://53eig.ht/2aq4w6p
-- Nate Silver
GULP
(This post was last modified: 07-25-2016 10:42 AM by green.)
|
|
07-25-2016 08:01 AM |
|
UofMstateU
Legend
Posts: 39,293
Joined: Dec 2009
Reputation: 3589
I Root For: Memphis
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
but derp derp nate silver derp 538 derp dot com derp
|
|
07-25-2016 08:04 AM |
|
bullet
Legend
Posts: 66,967
Joined: Apr 2012
Reputation: 3320
I Root For: Texas, UK, UGA
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:01 AM)green Wrote:
TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. http://53eig.ht/2aq4w6p
-- Nate Silver
GULP
Starting to look more and more like the last 4 elections.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:06 AM |
|
CardFan1
Red Thunderbird
Posts: 15,155
Joined: Oct 2011
Reputation: 647
I Root For: Louisville ACC
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
As the HillDawg turns, America becomes a Beautiful shade of Red !
|
|
07-25-2016 08:06 AM |
|
Owl 69/70/75
Just an old rugby coach
Posts: 80,853
Joined: Sep 2005
Reputation: 3214
I Root For: RiceBathChelsea
Location: Montgomery, TX
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:09 AM |
|
UofMstateU
Legend
Posts: 39,293
Joined: Dec 2009
Reputation: 3589
I Root For: Memphis
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
What? Hillary's Taco Bowl in Florida isnt putting their chimichangas on Hillary?
And what about North Carolina? Where have all the good gays gone?
|
|
07-25-2016 08:10 AM |
|
uofmcamaro
Hall of Famer
Posts: 18,321
Joined: Mar 2006
Reputation: 415
I Root For: Consistency
Location: Memphris
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Wikileaks could release an email from Hillary herself stating that her entire voting block is full of morons that should all die and they would still vote for her. Nothing Wikileaks can do will slow her support.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:11 AM |
|
Hood-rich
Smarter Than the Average Lib
Posts: 9,300
Joined: May 2016
I Root For: ECU & CSU
Location: The Hood
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Plenty more to come.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:11 AM |
|
Hood-rich
Smarter Than the Average Lib
Posts: 9,300
Joined: May 2016
I Root For: ECU & CSU
Location: The Hood
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:10 AM)UofMstateU Wrote: What? Hillary's Taco Bowl in Florida isnt putting their chimichangas on Hillary?
And what about North Carolina? Where have all the good gays gone?
NC won't be as close as this map indicates.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:12 AM |
|
Owl 69/70/75
Just an old rugby coach
Posts: 80,853
Joined: Sep 2005
Reputation: 3214
I Root For: RiceBathChelsea
Location: Montgomery, TX
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:11 AM)uofmcamaro Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Wikileaks could release an email from Hillary herself stating that her entire voting block is full of morons that should all die and they would still vote for her. Nothing Wikileaks can do will slow her support.
Among democrats, yes, absolutely.
Among independents, a different story. And nobody is winning this without independents.
The interesting question is if Wikileaks comes up with some seriously damaging stuff, how long will the mainstream media ignore it in their effort to give cover to Hillary?
|
|
07-25-2016 08:13 AM |
|
bullet
Legend
Posts: 66,967
Joined: Apr 2012
Reputation: 3320
I Root For: Texas, UK, UGA
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:13 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:11 AM)uofmcamaro Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Wikileaks could release an email from Hillary herself stating that her entire voting block is full of morons that should all die and they would still vote for her. Nothing Wikileaks can do will slow her support.
Among democrats, yes, absolutely.
Among independents, a different story. And nobody is winning this without independents.
The interesting question is if Wikileaks comes up with some seriously damaging stuff, how long will the mainstream media ignore it in their effort to give cover to Hillary?
Paul Krugman is actually seriously running with this Trump being a Russian spy bit. There is no length they will go in making themselves look stupid. This Russian bit is pushing me closer to voting for the jerk clown reality star. How bad can Hillary get? I thought I knew. But I severely over-estimated her.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:16 AM |
|
200yrs2late
Resident Parrothead
Posts: 15,364
Joined: Jan 2010
Reputation: 767
I Root For: East Carolina
Location: SE of disorder
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
I imagine she will probably draw even unless this week is a complete disaster. Tone is everything for the DNC. The RNC was overwhelmingly positive and despite the lack of a 100% unified convention, everybody left with a good feeling. A negative tone at the DNC coupled with protests by Bernie supports could limit her bump
|
|
07-25-2016 08:17 AM |
|
DaSaintFan
Dum' Sutherner in Midwest!
Posts: 15,879
Joined: Mar 2010
Reputation: 411
I Root For: Southern Miss
Location: Stuck in St. Louis
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
I still think the Wikileaks stuff has more to do with the DNC than Hillary this time around... but we'll see
|
|
07-25-2016 08:20 AM |
|
CardFan1
Red Thunderbird
Posts: 15,155
Joined: Oct 2011
Reputation: 647
I Root For: Louisville ACC
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
How is it the DNC immediately blames the Russians hacking this very secured server but Hillary's unsecured private server could never be hacked by anyone. Amazing isn't it ?
|
|
07-25-2016 08:20 AM |
|
UofMstateU
Legend
Posts: 39,293
Joined: Dec 2009
Reputation: 3589
I Root For: Memphis
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:16 AM)bullet Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:13 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:11 AM)uofmcamaro Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Wikileaks could release an email from Hillary herself stating that her entire voting block is full of morons that should all die and they would still vote for her. Nothing Wikileaks can do will slow her support.
Among democrats, yes, absolutely.
Among independents, a different story. And nobody is winning this without independents.
The interesting question is if Wikileaks comes up with some seriously damaging stuff, how long will the mainstream media ignore it in their effort to give cover to Hillary?
Paul Krugman is actually seriously running with this Trump being a Russian spy bit. There is no length they will go in making themselves look stupid. This Russian bit is pushing me closer to voting for the jerk clown reality star. How bad can Hillary get? I thought I knew. But I severely over-estimated her.
Th establishment, on both sides, have yet to figure out that american is mad and fed up with the system being rigged. Which is why attacks on Trump have failed so far. The last thing they should be doing, when proof that the system is actually rigged is presented, is to attempt to quell it with some tinfoil hat nonsense. Thats like pouring gasoline on a fire.
What they should be doing is trying to demonize DWS. Because, if more bad sh*t comes out, they need to point at her and say she's the bad one.
This is also why it was a bad move for Hillary to make DWS an honorary chair of her campaign. They have now directly linked anything further coming out as being attached diretly to their campaign.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:21 AM |
|
QuestionSocratic
Banned
Posts: 8,276
Joined: Jul 2013
I Root For: Buffalo
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:16 AM)bullet Wrote: Paul Krugman is actually seriously running with this Trump being a Russian spy bit. There is no length they will go in making themselves look stupid. This Russian bit is pushing me closer to voting for the jerk clown reality star. How bad can Hillary get? I thought I knew. But I severely over-estimated her.
Well history shows how the Vatican called the shots during Kennedy's administration.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:24 AM |
|
Hood-rich
Smarter Than the Average Lib
Posts: 9,300
Joined: May 2016
I Root For: ECU & CSU
Location: The Hood
|
Re: RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:20 AM)CardFan1 Wrote: How is it the DNC immediately blames the Russians hacking this very secured server but Hillary's unsecured private server could never be hacked by anyone. Amazing isn't it ?
Hillary gave the Russians uranium so I dou t it was them. They love her.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:26 AM |
|
Hood-rich
Smarter Than the Average Lib
Posts: 9,300
Joined: May 2016
I Root For: ECU & CSU
Location: The Hood
|
Re: RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:21 AM)UofMstateU Wrote: The establishment, on both sides, have yet to figure out that american is mad and fed up with the system being rigged.
That must explain why my facebook feed had several "Christians" all up in arms over Trump. One even shares stuff like a vote for Hillary is better. Of course that cuck WORKS FOR the GOP.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:28 AM |
|
UofMstateU
Legend
Posts: 39,293
Joined: Dec 2009
Reputation: 3589
I Root For: Memphis
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:26 AM)Hood-rich Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:20 AM)CardFan1 Wrote: How is it the DNC immediately blames the Russians hacking this very secured server but Hillary's unsecured private server could never be hacked by anyone. Amazing isn't it ?
Hillary gave the Russians uranium so I dou t it was them. They love her.
Good point.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:28 AM |
|
Crebman
Heisman
Posts: 9,407
Joined: Apr 2007
Reputation: 552
I Root For:
Location:
|
RE: Nate Silver: Trump Leads
(07-25-2016 08:13 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:11 AM)uofmcamaro Wrote: (07-25-2016 08:09 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: Hillary should get a bump out of the democrat convention, which will probably put her back in front. Unless, of course, Wikileaks has more damage to do.
Wikileaks could release an email from Hillary herself stating that her entire voting block is full of morons that should all die and they would still vote for her. Nothing Wikileaks can do will slow her support.
Among democrats, yes, absolutely.
Among independents, a different story. And nobody is winning this without independents.
The interesting question is if Wikileaks comes up with some seriously damaging stuff, how long will the mainstream media ignore it in their effort to give cover to Hillary?
....as long as they can - and if there isn't a long and loud cry about them being in the tank, they will ignore it all together.....
Face it, Obama has generally been the most divisive President in our lifetimes and they still have yet to take him to task for it. I mean, stuff can be obvious to anyone with half a brain and the media ignores it because it's their dunce doing it.
|
|
07-25-2016 08:29 AM |
|