The latest FiveThirtyEight forecast gives Trump a 42% chance of becoming president.
-- @sahilkapur

FLIP A COIN

It's going to come down to PA. If trump flips PA he will be our next president

She's been in the high 70's all year. Trump should be leading coming out of his convention.

I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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Trump has a 89% unfavorable polling while Hillary is in the 60s.

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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He needs to give bonuses to all his employees in Nevada and Florida a week before the election!

(07-24-2016 06:40 AM)solohawks Wrote:  It's going to come down to PA. If trump flips PA he will be our next president

Hes getting zero percent of the black vote. It aint gonna happen.

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

In Nevada: Of the total eligible voting population, 17.2% are Hispanic.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...on-nevada/

In Florida: Of the total eligible voting population, 18.1% are Hispanic. 41% of the 18.1% are Republicans.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...n-florida/

Hispanics as an ethnic group are often wrongly assumed to think similarly and lumped as voting together as a block. They come from a wide variety of cultural, ethic, political backgrounds/histories. They do not all vote D especially Cubans.

I fully expect this to be a tight election.

(07-24-2016 12:10 PM)dawgitall Wrote:  I fully expect this to be a tight election.

Agreed. Tight and ugly.

(07-24-2016 12:01 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

In Nevada: Of the total eligible voting population, 17.2% are Hispanic.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...on-nevada/

In Florida: Of the total eligible voting population, 18.1% are Hispanic. 41% of the 18.1% are Republicans.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...n-florida/

Hispanics as an ethnic group are often wrongly assumed to think similarly and lumped as voting together as a block. They come from a wide variety of cultural, ethic, political backgrounds/histories. They do not all vote D especially Cubans.

I can tell you that he won't win FL. It's probably a blue state now with the massive number of Puerto Ricans moving in.

(07-24-2016 11:49 AM)Fitbud Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 06:40 AM)solohawks Wrote:  It's going to come down to PA. If trump flips PA he will be our next president

Hes getting zero percent of the black vote. It aint gonna happen.

Lmfao

(07-24-2016 12:01 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

In Nevada: Of the total eligible voting population, 17.2% are Hispanic.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...on-nevada/

In Florida: Of the total eligible voting population, 18.1% are Hispanic. 41% of the 18.1% are Republicans.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...n-florida/

Hispanics as an ethnic group are often wrongly assumed to think similarly and lumped as voting together as a block. They come from a wide variety of cultural, ethic, political backgrounds/histories. They do not all vote D especially Cubans.

Exactly! Trump got only 20K less votes than Hillary in Florida while going against 3 other candidates in the primary. Rubio couldn't even take Florida and he is Hispanic.


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Unless if Clinton can convince Floridians that she will do more to stop terrorism than Trump will, Florida is about to turn a darker shade of red than the Seminoles' home football jerseys.

Trump still needs to flip either Michigan and/or Wisconsin.


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(07-24-2016 02:05 PM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 12:01 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


Sent from #ClutchCity using Tapatalk

You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

In Nevada: Of the total eligible voting population, 17.2% are Hispanic.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...on-nevada/

In Florida: Of the total eligible voting population, 18.1% are Hispanic. 41% of the 18.1% are Republicans.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/fact-sheets/2...n-florida/

Hispanics as an ethnic group are often wrongly assumed to think similarly and lumped as voting together as a block. They come from a wide variety of cultural, ethic, political backgrounds/histories. They do not all vote D especially Cubans.

Exactly! Trump got only 20K less votes than Hillary in Florida while going against 3 other candidates in the primary. Rubio couldn't even take Florida and he is Hispanic.


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not to mention the closed primary which bars independents & party-switchers from participating ...

PARTY DOWN SOUTH

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

but How many are legal to actually vote.

(07-24-2016 06:02 PM)CardFan1 Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 10:26 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(07-24-2016 08:24 AM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote:  I still think Trump wins Nevada and Florida


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You do realize that there are lots of Hispanics in those states right?

but How many are legal to actually vote.

Doesn't matter.

A sizeable chunk of Florida Hispanics, many of them Cuban Americans, have typically been Republican-friendly because of the GOP's angst toward Castro.

Priorities change with each election and generation, of course, so that % could certainly be in flux.

(07-24-2016 07:28 PM)Motown Bronco Wrote:  A sizeable chunk of Florida Hispanics, many of them Cuban Americans, have typically been Republican-friendly because of the GOP's angst toward Castro.

Priorities change with each election and generation, of course, so that % could certainly be in flux.

Those that hate Castro will always hate Castro.