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LegacyDuke08 Offline
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Post: #21
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 02:31 PM)Duke Dawg Wrote:  4 cusa opponents.

No way that is a coincedence

Is that a joke or nah?
08-05-2016 03:19 PM
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ODUBB35 Offline
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Post: #22
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 02:31 PM)Duke Dawg Wrote:  4 cusa opponents.

No way that is a coincedence

I only see three, ODU, Rice, and Charlotte.

This is your test to see if you are worthy...
08-05-2016 03:29 PM
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JMU_Degenerate Offline
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Post: #23
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
original post updated - including picture from twitter @JMUMBasketball

post 2 with other CAA schedules updated too.
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2016 04:00 PM by JMU_Degenerate.)
08-05-2016 03:50 PM
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NJDuke97 Offline
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Post: #24
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
I've always wondered is that Blaine Taylor in that picture?
08-05-2016 03:50 PM
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NJDuke97 Offline
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Post: #25
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(07-14-2016 03:15 PM)JMU_Degenerate Wrote:  11/11 at Old Dominion (Game 1 of 3 game series)
11/13 RICE
11/18 at Montana St
11/21 TEXAS SOUTHERN
11/23 LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
11/26 at George Mason (Game 2 of 2 game series)
11/30 at Charlotte (Game 1 of 2 game series)
12/3 at Longwood
12/10 at Western Michigan
12/17 at Appalachian State
12/20 RICHMOND
12/23 UMBC
12/28 EASTERN MENNONITE (D3 - speculation of ongoing series vs EMU or Bridgewater each year)

Final 2015/16 Sagarin Predictor Rankings:
JMU 77.2
ODU 77.1
Rice 64.1
Montana State 66.1
Texas Southern 69.4
Louisiana-Lafayette 75.3
George Mason 69.5
Charlotte 68.8
Longwood 61.9
Western Michigan 70.17
Appalachian State 64.9
Richmond 77.9
UMBC 58.8
Eastern Mennonite - NR

[Image: CpHdqkFWcAA930q.jpg:small]

How do the Sagarin predictor rankings work- scale of 1-100- higher the score the better?
08-05-2016 03:52 PM
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JMU_Degenerate Offline
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Post: #26
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 03:52 PM)NJDuke97 Wrote:  How do the Sagarin predictor rankings work- scale of 1-100- higher the score the better?

Explanation from Sagarin:
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.

In layman speak: Higher numbers are better. You can use the predictor number to compare two teams on a neutral court* and get a rough 'vegas' line. The numbers I provided are obviously based on 2015/16 and are not valid for 2016/17 because of coaching changes, player changes, etc. They do however give you a rough feel for where the teams were at the end of last year. Obviously, there are a million other trends, data points, and statistics to look at before betting your hard earned money on a team, but this is a great starting point.

*to account for home court advantage last year you would have added 3.31 points to the home team's rating and then compared the two teams.

Example: If, at the end of last season, JMU had played Richmond on a neutral court in a postseason tournament, then this metric would support JMU being a 1 pt underdog.
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2016 04:23 PM by JMU_Degenerate.)
08-05-2016 04:06 PM
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JMU_Degenerate Offline
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Post: #27
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 03:52 PM)NJDuke97 Wrote:  How do the Sagarin predictor rankings work- scale of 1-100- higher the score the better?

Also, in the final ratings last year the highest rated team in PREDICTOR was Villanova at 93.65 and the lowest was Central Connecticut State at 52.49.

If CCSU had played at Villanova (accounting for 3.31 Home Court) then this metric would suggest that Nova might have been a 44.5 favorite.
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2016 04:21 PM by JMU_Degenerate.)
08-05-2016 04:13 PM
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AssyrianDuke Offline
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Post: #28
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
Thanks for the info, Degen! I was wondering that myself. 04-cheers
08-05-2016 04:33 PM
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JMU_Degenerate Offline
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Post: #29
RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 04:33 PM)AssyrianDuke Wrote:  Thanks for the info, Degen! I was wondering that myself. 04-cheers

04-cheers
08-05-2016 04:42 PM
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CISDuke2014 Offline
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Post: #30
Re: RE: MBB Schedule 2016/17
(08-05-2016 04:06 PM)JMU_Degenerate Wrote:  
(08-05-2016 03:52 PM)NJDuke97 Wrote:  How do the Sagarin predictor rankings work- scale of 1-100- higher the score the better?

Explanation from Sagarin:
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.

In layman speak: Higher numbers are better. You can use the predictor number to compare two teams on a neutral court* and get a rough 'vegas' line. The numbers I provided are obviously based on 2015/16 and are not valid for 2016/17 because of coaching changes, player changes, etc. They do however give you a rough feel for where the teams were at the end of last year. Obviously, there are a million other trends, data points, and statistics to look at before betting your hard earned money on a team, but this is a great starting point.

*to account for home court advantage last year you would have added 3.31 points to the home team's rating and then compared the two teams.

Example: If, at the end of last season, JMU had played Richmond on a neutral court in a postseason tournament, then this metric would support JMU being a 1 pt underdog.

So basing it off last year's final ratings JMU SHOULD be favorites in every OOC game except the season opener in Norfolk.
08-05-2016 04:56 PM
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