(03-16-2016 12:29 PM)UConnHusky Wrote: If the research data indicates that the Big 12 should expand, then they would be foolish to dilly-dally for a year. The Big 12 is banking on no more departures. That is foolish since nobody has a crystal ball and schools like OU and Kansas could bolt in a heartbeat if they want to get away from Texas. That would kill the Big 12. Also, the Big 12 is banking on schools like UConn and Cincy still being available. That is also foolish as the ACC could end up snapping them up (or the B1G could take UConn if they become AAU). BYU, Boise, Houston, and Memphis would still be available, but only BYU gives them the academic prowess and a high number of television sets that they do not have yet.
It will be fitting if they miss out on adding certain schools the way that they missed out on adding Louisville the last time around.
"Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it."
1. none of the available teams will REMOTELY "save the Big 12" and
IF OU and KU desire to and could "leave in a heart beat" without taking a massive financial hit none of the available teams will prevent that
2. the ACC is not "snapping anyone up"
3. the AAU adds members about once a decade of that and the last round of booting NU and SU leaving was something they are looking to avoid in the future and they have also made it clear they are not looking to grow much larger of at all
and the metrics of UConn are not close to the metrics of the past public school admitted to the AAU which was GaTech
4.
if the Big 12 lost KU and OU they would not fall apart for sure.....there are PLENTY of teams that are available to be warm bodies so there is no need to add warm bodies out of the fear that teams might leave
that only serves to reduce the added income for teams in the conference from those leaving the conference when the teams that would be remaining could just as easily split exit fees smaller ways and offer lesser deals to any and all available teams
5.
if the Big 12 was to lose OU and KU and The Sugar Bowl decided they no longer wanted any part of the Big 12 it is not as if the Big 12 would be able to add members now and retain that contract....The Sugar Bowl is going to exit that contract if they want out of it
and if the NCAA/Playoffs decide that the Big 12 is no longer worthy of $50 million they are not going to avoid that decision because the Big 12 added warm bodies and then watched OU and KU leave
and even IF the Big 12 could retain those contracts and payments with OU and KU leaving that will ONLY happen until the end of those contracts and after that they will be done for
so it would make more sense for the Big 12 to WAIT until teams leave (which is very unlikely to happen) and then make bad offers to available warm bodies and the remaining teams in the Big 12 make all the money they can while they still can and that is that when it is over they move on
the only contract that would be at risk AND saved by two warm bodies would be the media contract and it just needs warm bodies to replace the number of teams leaving
the Sugar Bowl and NCAA Playoff money is not going to stick around for the ACC 2.0 or MWC on Steroids they will be gone if they want to be gone and warm bodies NOW will not stop that