(03-09-2016 10:58 PM)Villecard Wrote: We spoke to Wes Durham of the ACC Network/Fox Sports South on our program tonight. He told us that if there is no ACC Network agreement by July 1st, that 'reportedly' ESPN would owe the ACC $45 million. I'll post the podcast tomorrow.
Not counting that, the
ACC makes on $260 million per year on average between 2013/2014 until 2027. Given that the contract is back-loaded, the average is actually slightly higher now, but for the sake of being conservative, I'll stick with $260 million per year. There are 14 full members and 1 partial member, which receives 20% of a share. Assuming that the $45 million increase is the worst case scenario (which is a pretty safe assumption), the ACC could expect to collect a conservative $305 million (once again, the real number is actually slightly higher, but this is conservative). $305,000,000/14.2 shares comes out to a conservative $21.5 million per school ($20 million after the conference gets a full share cut).
The
Big XII deal started in 2013 and goes to 2025. Over that time, it's worth $200 million per year on average. Like the ACC deal, the average remaining payout is actually slightly higher than $200 million per year because the deal is back-loaded. Since there are 10 schools in the Big XII, the average per school payout over the deal's life is $20 million. Additionally, the Big XII schools were able to retain more tier 3 rights than their ACC counterparts. As I understand it, those rights are worth about $2 million for most schools. More specifically, it's my understanding that Texas, probably Oklahoma, and possibly KU get more, but everyone else is in the ~$2 million range. That brings the per school payout for the median Big XII school to $22 million. However, once the conference gets a full share cut, the per school payout falls to $18.2 million, plus the ~$2 million of retained rights, equaling $20.2 million.
The
Pac 12 deal began in 2012-2013 and continues until 2025. Over that time, it averages $20.83 per school and grows at 4% per year. Assuming that the PACN revenue grows at the same rate, it should average to be about $1 million per school over that time, moving the total Pac 12 payout to $21.83 million, or $20.15 after the conference takes a full share. However, it's also worth noting that the conference had to spend money to launch the network AND schools had to buy back their rights. I'm not sure how much the network launch cost, I know that the B1G has a HUGE buy-in that's at least $45 million (it's 6 years and I assume a $30 million per school distribution, of which the entering school only gets an estimated 75% on average over that time). If the PACN only cost half of that, it would be $22.5 million per school. Beyond that, as noted earlier, the schools had to buy back their rights. Obviously the exact numbers vary, but according to CBS, Stanford and Oregon State each spent $1.3 million buying back rights, and those schools are apparently representative. That means that the Pac spent $23.75 million per school launching their network (
I'll revise numbers if I can find better network launch sources). Most endowments get about an 8% return. So, using 8% as the opportunity cost, the PACN's opportunity cost is $1.8 million per year. After that $1.8 million opportunity cost that only the Pac incurred* is netted against the conference's per school yearly media earnings, the Pac makes $18.3 million per school per year over the course of that deal (and is subject to more market volatility than either the ACC or the Big XII equivalent, which is a bad thing for the Pac). Now, it's worth noting that as above, this number is a little conservative because the contracts are back-loaded and they've already begun.
*
i.e the ACC and the Big XII schools were able to keep the money in their endowments
So as a brief summary, by my calculations:
*The ACC makes $20 million per school in media money
*The Big XII makes $20.2 million per school in media money (including school-managed rights)
*The Pac makes
the equivalent of $18.3 million per school in media money
**
The Big XII and the Pac are slightly understated relative to the ACC because the ACC deal ends sooner, but given a 4% yearly increase rate and the length of the deals, that understatement is minimal - especially since they have to deal with more volatility than the ACC.
Does anyone know bowl payouts and/or NCAAT credits?
[EDIT: Another way of looking at the media payouts would be to keep the Pac number at $20.15 million, but add $1.8 million to both the ACC and the Big XII because not having a network let each school keep about $23.8 million in their endowments, which are earning about 8% per year. That would give you:
ACC - $21.9 million per school per year
Big XII - $22 million per school per year
Pac - $20.15 million per school per year]