(03-02-2016 10:51 AM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  3 of the last 4 Virginia polls had Trump up by 6, 13, and 14. The "he blew a 20 point lead" is a false narrative. Rubio did get most of the late deciders as he has done in majority of contests. Fading slightly but winning is better than closing late and losing.

Rubio tells so many stories. "Trump's numbers are falling, ours are rising". "Cruz didn't meet expectations because he didn't win Arkansas"

(03-02-2016 10:51 AM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  3 of the last 4 Virginia polls had Trump up by 6, 13, and 14. The "he blew a 20 point lead" is a false narrative. Rubio did get most of the late deciders as he has done in majority of contests. Fading slightly but winning is better than closing late and losing.

Last 3 polls on RCP
Roanoke (2/16 to 24)-Trump 38, Cruz 15, Rubio 13 + 23
Monmouth (2/22 to 24)-Trump 41, Rubio 27, Cruz 14 +14
CBS (2/22 to 26)-Trump 40, Rubio 27, Cruz 22 +13

(03-02-2016 11:20 AM)firmbizzle Wrote:  

(03-02-2016 10:51 AM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  3 of the last 4 Virginia polls had Trump up by 6, 13, and 14. The "he blew a 20 point lead" is a false narrative. Rubio did get most of the late deciders as he has done in majority of contests. Fading slightly but winning is better than closing late and losing.

Rubio tells so many stories. "Trump's numbers are falling, ours are rising". "Cruz didn't meet expectations because he didn't win Arkansas"

his ruse is on tilt.....

The only news that can really be taken from yesterday is that Rubio has fallen to distant third.

(03-01-2016 07:11 PM)Kronke Wrote:  VA and GA called for Hilldawg. Probably both ~40 pt wins. Bernie is done.

Drumph wins GA. VA still too close to call which is interesting.

Bernie is a movement. He has raised valid issues. I am voting for Hillary in Florida, but his issues are not going away. Even Trump is stealing some of them.

(03-01-2016 09:24 PM)Niner National Wrote:  Bernie getting worked tonight.

What is up with Oklahoma? I'm shocked they're swinging Sanders at the moment. I figured their breakdown would look similar to that of Texas.

Ok has closed primaries. And has fewer rich suburbs, and less of an ethnic mix. Plus rural areas that tend to vote republican only survive due to government subsidies.

I am with Owl that if all roads should be toll roads, you should start in rural areas. (Owl never said start in rural areas, just that all roads should be toll roads).

(03-01-2016 10:43 PM)WKUApollo Wrote:  At the moment, based on this site, Delegate Count, Trump will likely finish around 250 delegates. Before tonight, he was expected to finish from 300-350.

Per Flopping Aces:

Trump has 285 delegates and earned 34.54% of the votes cast. Those 285 delegates however represent 50.35% of the delegates pledged.

Cruz has 161 delegates and earned 24.17% of the votes cast. Those 171 votes represent 28.45% of the delegates pledged.

Rubio has 87 delegates and earned 22.27% of the votes cast. Those 87 delegates represent 15.37% of the delegates pledged.

So unless I'm missing something, Trump is right where he should be, correct? 50%+ a little more. It does mean he's definitely gotta fight in the upcoming primaries harder than usual though.

(03-02-2016 12:01 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(03-02-2016 10:51 AM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  3 of the last 4 Virginia polls had Trump up by 6, 13, and 14. The "he blew a 20 point lead" is a false narrative. Rubio did get most of the late deciders as he has done in majority of contests. Fading slightly but winning is better than closing late and losing.

Last 3 polls on RCP
Roanoke (2/16 to 24)-Trump 38, Cruz 15, Rubio 13 + 23
Monmouth (2/22 to 24)-Trump 41, Rubio 27, Cruz 14 +14
CBS (2/22 to 26)-Trump 40, Rubio 27, Cruz 22 +13

Virginia has no party registration, plus the "Republican Establishment" mostly lives in NOVA or Richmond suburbs. Was checking the VA SBOE elections results last night & Rubio did well in NOVA & Henrico County. Need to check on York County, Poquoson city & Henrico county. Checked Hidenwood precinct in Newport News & Rubio carried it. Cruz did good in lynchburg suburbs, Trump carried the Valley & southwestern mountains which dates back to GOP during the civil war. Plus I read that a lot of non republicans voted for Rubio.

Will check absentee ballots by county to see how they they split when I have the time.

(03-02-2016 01:08 PM)dcCid Wrote:  

(03-02-2016 12:01 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(03-02-2016 10:51 AM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  3 of the last 4 Virginia polls had Trump up by 6, 13, and 14. The "he blew a 20 point lead" is a false narrative. Rubio did get most of the late deciders as he has done in majority of contests. Fading slightly but winning is better than closing late and losing.

Last 3 polls on RCP
Roanoke (2/16 to 24)-Trump 38, Cruz 15, Rubio 13 + 23
Monmouth (2/22 to 24)-Trump 41, Rubio 27, Cruz 14 +14
CBS (2/22 to 26)-Trump 40, Rubio 27, Cruz 22 +13

Virginia has no party registration, plus the "Republican Establishment" mostly lives in NOVA or Richmond suburbs. Was checking the VA SBOE elections results last night & Rubio did well in NOVA & Henrico County. Need to check on York County, Poquoson city & Henrico county. Checked Hidenwood precinct in Newport News & Rubio carried it. Cruz did good in lynchburg suburbs, Trump carried the Valley & southwestern mountains which dates back to GOP during the civil war. Plus I read that a lot of non republicans voted for Rubio.

Will check absentee ballots by county to see how they they split when I have the time.

That was my precinct up until 2007! My parents still vote there and I vote at Hilton.