Racinejake
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 01:45 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: We'll likely be 4-2 at the Bye Week, but there is a chance we could run it after and end up 10-2. I think the most realistic expectation is 8-4 (losses to Houston, USF, BYU, and some random stinker from the away slate), but that's without seeing this offense at all.
We've been a poor road team under Tuberville. None of the road games will be easy (our two road wins this year were on the last offensive possession against one bad team and one really bad team). Tulsa, Temple and UConn won't be easy. I'd even throw Purdue in there. I could see losses in three of those four but wins against 2 of Houston/USF/BYU @ home.
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 02:08 PM by Racinejake.)
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02-09-2016 02:08 PM |
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djaphone
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 02:07 PM)CliftonAve Wrote: (02-09-2016 01:45 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: We'll likely be 4-2 at the Bye Week, but there is a chance we could run it after and end up 10-2. I think the most realistic expectation is 8-4 (losses to Houston, USF, BYU, and some random stinker from the away slate), but that's without seeing this offense at all.
8-4 is where I peg us as well. Watch out for Temple and Tulsa. Temple had a lot of young talent that will be back next year and Tulsa brings back their entire team sans one guy IIRC.
A lot is going to depend on how well the offense picks up the new coaching staff, terminology and formations. The receiving corps is brand new and hopefully the transfers live up to their hype. Our young defense SHOULD be better. If the offense struggles to adjust to the new staff it could be a very long year.
We did not replace our (Not So) Special Teams Coach either did we? Something has to change there.
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02-09-2016 02:10 PM |
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rosewater
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
I think the schedule is as favorable as it can get. We have USF after their Fla State game; ECU after our buy; Temple after they play USF; Memphis after they play USF; and Conn. after Houston and we have to just be able to beat Tulsa and UCF. Houston after Lamar is the only real obstacle, schedule wise. I think it lines up well. The real test will be the usual problem. Can the coach have his team ready to play from the start of the season. Unfortunately, we are breaking in a new offensive coordinator. I cannot wait for the spring game in order to get an idea of the direction of the offense.
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02-09-2016 02:15 PM |
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BearcatJerry
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
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02-09-2016 02:42 PM |
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geef
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
I think you're being facetious, but I honestly can't tell. It looks like a good schedule to me, and likely better than our nonconference schedule.
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02-09-2016 02:51 PM |
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doss2
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
True the AAC has again not done us any favors. I do not like late Nov. night games unless playing a FL team. 11/19 at night can be real cold which is OK but cold and wet sucks, unless it is USF.
I am happy to see the schedule every year because then I can plan the annual fall trip or trips. Normally it is Europe, but I will no longer go to Europe because the Muslimes are ruining it. Oct 2 - 21 is a nice slot to experience Spring in Australia/NZ.
UT Martin and Miami should be as close to guaranteed wins as possible. Yes Miami will be better but it is still Miami MAC. Purdue is the bottom of B1G so it needs to be a win. Assume a BYU loss.
That is 3-1 OOC so anything less than 5-3 IC is BS. Thus 8-4 should be considered a bare minimum for Tubby to keep his job.
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02-09-2016 02:57 PM |
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fiveONEthree
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
I'm self-admittedly slightly biased since I'm currently getting a graduate degree through Memphis... but I think if you asked the majority of the US who has a more difficult OOC schedule:
Miami (OH), BYU, Purdue and UT Martin
vs.
SEMO, Kansas, BGSU, Ole Miss
Pretty sure the vast majority would go with the schedule including Ole Miss being more difficult.
Pound for pound, USF and (maybe) Tulsa have the only "pretty legit" OOC schedules in my eyes in the entire AAC... I'd say maybe everyone will be strut and swagger at the start of the year, but I'm sure a few will blow some bad games early.
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 03:21 PM by fiveONEthree.)
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02-09-2016 03:20 PM |
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bearcatmark
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:20 PM)fiveONEthree Wrote: (02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
I'm self-admittedly slightly biased since I'm currently getting a graduate degree through Memphis... but I think if you asked the majority of the US who has a more difficult OOC schedule:
Miami (OH), BYU, Purdue and UT Martin
vs.
SEMO, Kansas, BGSU, Ole Miss
Pretty sure the vast majority would go with the schedule including Ole Miss being more difficult.
Pound for pound, USF and (maybe) Tulsa have the only "pretty legit" OOC schedules in my eyes in the entire AAC... I'd say maybe everyone will be strut and swagger at the start of the year, but I'm sure a few will blow some bad games early.
For some reason you left BYU off of UC's nonconference schedule there.
I agree, Memphis has a solid (not great) nonconference schedule. Really good SEC program, one of the best MAC programs in recent years, low tier BCS program (in the case of Kansas probably lowest BCS team) and then the crap FCS game so many teams play.
Cincinnati has an OK nonconference schedule. One of the best non-P5 programs, low tier Big Ten program, low tier MAC program, crap FCS game.
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 03:24 PM by bearcatmark.)
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02-09-2016 03:24 PM |
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fiveONEthree
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:24 PM)bearcatmark Wrote: (02-09-2016 03:20 PM)fiveONEthree Wrote: (02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
I'm self-admittedly slightly biased since I'm currently getting a graduate degree through Memphis... but I think if you asked the majority of the US who has a more difficult OOC schedule:
Miami (OH), BYU, Purdue and UT Martin
vs.
SEMO, Kansas, BGSU, Ole Miss
Pretty sure the vast majority would go with the schedule including Ole Miss being more difficult.
Pound for pound, USF and (maybe) Tulsa have the only "pretty legit" OOC schedules in my eyes in the entire AAC... I'd say maybe everyone will be strut and swagger at the start of the year, but I'm sure a few will blow some bad games early.
For some reason you left BYU off of UC's nonconference schedule there.
I agree, Memphis has a solid (not great) nonconference schedule. Really good SEC program, one of the best MAC programs in recent years, low tier BCS program (in the case of Kansas probably lowest BCS team) and then the crap FCS game so many teams play.
Cincinnati has an OK nonconference schedule. One of the best non-P5 programs, low tier Big Ten program, low tier MAC program, crap FCS game.
I think I snuck my edit in right before you quoted it :) (adding BYU).
I agree with what you said.
Ole Miss > BYU
Kansas and Purdue are both a wash IMO... both "name" schools that are and have been terrible for a while
BGSU > Miami (OH)
FCS=FCS - a wash
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02-09-2016 03:28 PM |
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BearcatMan
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 02:08 PM)Racinejake Wrote: (02-09-2016 01:45 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: We'll likely be 4-2 at the Bye Week, but there is a chance we could run it after and end up 10-2. I think the most realistic expectation is 8-4 (losses to Houston, USF, BYU, and some random stinker from the away slate), but that's without seeing this offense at all.
We've been a poor road team under Tuberville. None of the road games will be easy (our two road wins this year were on the last offensive possession against one bad team and one really bad team). Tulsa, Temple and UConn won't be easy. I'd even throw Purdue in there. I could see losses in three of those four but wins against 2 of Houston/USF/BYU @ home.
I don't know, the same could be said on the opposite side of the coin as well. We were two terrible officiating blunders away from winning at Houston and at Memphis this past year as well. The only truly poor away performances we've put in the book over the last three years were at Illinois in '13 after a legs was quite nearly ripped off and two officiating mistakes pretty much destroy our chances, and at Miami (FL) and USF each time we've played in Tampa. Maybe he's scouting retirement property and not focusing on the game?
We've had just as many poor home performances under Tubs (Temple in '15 and Memphis and Miami (OH) in '14)
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 03:31 PM by BearcatMan.)
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02-09-2016 03:29 PM |
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uccheese
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
Harder than ours IMO
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02-09-2016 03:35 PM |
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BearcatMan
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:35 PM)uccheese Wrote: (02-09-2016 02:42 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote: Wow... Memphis certainly scheduled a tough non-conference schedule:
FCS SE Missouri State
Kansas
Bowling Green (who, no fault of Memphis, has a new coaching staff...)
Mississippi
The Memphis guys are all set to strut and swagger until bowl time again...
Harder than ours IMO
It's probably about even this year...
SEMO St. = UT-Martin
Kansas = Miami (OH)
Purdue > BGSU (Matt Johnson and Dino Babers were the only reason that team wasn't 5-7 last year)
BYU < Mississippi (this could be equal with all that Ole Miss lost)
If I were to rank all of the OCSs it would end up like this:
1. SMU
2. Houston
3. ECU
4. Tulsa
5. UCF
6. UConn
7. Memphis
8. USF
9. Cincinnati
10. Navy
11. Temple
12. Tulane
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 03:44 PM by BearcatMan.)
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02-09-2016 03:39 PM |
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ucdsk
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
It is awesome just to have 7 home games. Hopefully this year was Tub's equivalent of BJ's first year and the winning ways returns. Off topic how many, if any of the just graduating seniors make it to an NFL/CFL camp?
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02-09-2016 03:59 PM |
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Racinejake
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:29 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: (02-09-2016 02:08 PM)Racinejake Wrote: (02-09-2016 01:45 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: We'll likely be 4-2 at the Bye Week, but there is a chance we could run it after and end up 10-2. I think the most realistic expectation is 8-4 (losses to Houston, USF, BYU, and some random stinker from the away slate), but that's without seeing this offense at all.
We've been a poor road team under Tuberville. None of the road games will be easy (our two road wins this year were on the last offensive possession against one bad team and one really bad team). Tulsa, Temple and UConn won't be easy. I'd even throw Purdue in there. I could see losses in three of those four but wins against 2 of Houston/USF/BYU @ home.
I don't know, the same could be said on the opposite side of the coin as well. We were two terrible officiating blunders away from winning at Houston and at Memphis this past year as well. The only truly poor away performances we've put in the book over the last three years were at Illinois in '13 after a legs was quite nearly ripped off and two officiating mistakes pretty much destroy our chances, and at Miami (FL) and USF each time we've played in Tampa. Maybe he's scouting retirement property and not focusing on the game?
We've had just as many poor home performances under Tubs (Temple in '15 and Memphis and Miami (OH) in '14)
I won't go there because I really don't care what his mindset is, only that he's not getting results. I put bowl games in the category of 'away' games as well. We clearly play better in front of our home crowd. We've had some stinkers at home but Temple '15 was a good team (close game at least) and Memphis '14 was co-champion (but still inexcusable loss at home). But we've had some embarrassing losses away from home (all 3 bowl games, 2-10 USF in '13, 4-8 Illinois in '13, blowout @ Miami in '14, USF again this year, not to mention our last two games @ Miami (OH)). I'd say that's a pretty good trend in a 3 yr stretch.
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02-09-2016 04:09 PM |
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Bruce Monnin
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
Dang, just saw a Saturday home game against USF on Oct. 1.
So much for having a good chunk of the UC Band staying at my house during Minster Oktoberfest this year. Maybe that game moves to a Thursday?
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02-09-2016 04:24 PM |
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BearcatMan
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 04:09 PM)Racinejake Wrote: (02-09-2016 03:29 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: (02-09-2016 02:08 PM)Racinejake Wrote: (02-09-2016 01:45 PM)BearcatMan Wrote: We'll likely be 4-2 at the Bye Week, but there is a chance we could run it after and end up 10-2. I think the most realistic expectation is 8-4 (losses to Houston, USF, BYU, and some random stinker from the away slate), but that's without seeing this offense at all.
We've been a poor road team under Tuberville. None of the road games will be easy (our two road wins this year were on the last offensive possession against one bad team and one really bad team). Tulsa, Temple and UConn won't be easy. I'd even throw Purdue in there. I could see losses in three of those four but wins against 2 of Houston/USF/BYU @ home.
I don't know, the same could be said on the opposite side of the coin as well. We were two terrible officiating blunders away from winning at Houston and at Memphis this past year as well. The only truly poor away performances we've put in the book over the last three years were at Illinois in '13 after a legs was quite nearly ripped off and two officiating mistakes pretty much destroy our chances, and at Miami (FL) and USF each time we've played in Tampa. Maybe he's scouting retirement property and not focusing on the game?
We've had just as many poor home performances under Tubs (Temple in '15 and Memphis and Miami (OH) in '14)
I won't go there because I really don't care what his mindset is, only that he's not getting results. I put bowl games in the category of 'away' games as well. We clearly play better in front of our home crowd. We've had some stinkers at home but Temple '15 was a good team (close game at least) and Memphis '14 was co-champion (but still inexcusable loss at home). But we've had some embarrassing losses away from home (all 3 bowl games, 2-10 USF in '13, 4-8 Illinois in '13, blowout @ Miami in '14, USF again this year, not to mention our last two games @ Miami (OH)). I'd say that's a pretty good trend in a 3 yr stretch.
Oh I completely agree, but to be fair, I was simply lending some credence to the argument that we've had some very good performances away from home as well. To be honest, it has gotten to the point where a team who is 2+ games over .500 feels like it'll be a loss with Tubs at the helm, which is an extremely sobering thought considering where we have been.
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02-09-2016 04:36 PM |
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BearcatMan
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:59 PM)ucdsk Wrote: It is awesome just to have 7 home games. Hopefully this year was Tub's equivalent of BJ's first year and the winning ways returns. Off topic how many, if any of the just graduating seniors make it to an NFL/CFL camp?
I'd set an O/U of 7.5 and be happy with the money on either side.
I think you have to assume the following are fairly assured:
Parker Ehinger
Mckale McKay (Probably getting a combine invite)
Chris Moore (Probably getting a combine invite)
Johnny Holton (May get a combine invite)
Shaq Washington (May get a combine invite)
Silverberry Mouhon
Then there are the questionables:
Justin Murray
Hosey Williams
Max Morrison
Alex Chisum
Kevin Brown
Levi Payne
It is insane to look at that list of likely campers and see 4 WR's...we sure had the offensive talent
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2016 04:54 PM by BearcatMan.)
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02-09-2016 04:51 PM |
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doss2
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:59 PM)ucdsk Wrote: It is awesome just to have 7 home games. Hopefully this year was Tub's equivalent of BJ's first year and the winning ways returns. Off topic how many, if any of the just graduating seniors make it to an NFL/CFL camp?
No extra cost for a 7th game!
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02-09-2016 06:56 PM |
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Cataclysmo
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
(02-09-2016 03:59 PM)ucdsk Wrote: It is awesome just to have 7 home games. Hopefully this year was Tub's equivalent of BJ's first year and the winning ways returns. Off topic how many, if any of the just graduating seniors make it to an NFL/CFL camp?
Hoping for the same. But man, I'm dreading coming in here after the first loss.
Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
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02-09-2016 07:22 PM |
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UCGrad1992
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RE: 2016 Football Schedule Announced
No game against Navy for the second year? Other than that nothing stands out to me other than home games (thank the Lord) against Houston, BYThugU and Memphis. Hard to think too much about football and year 4 riding the CTT train when Mick and Company are in a fight for a 6th consecutive tourney.
[Sniff][Sniff]
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02-09-2016 09:47 PM |
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