ESPN RPI has us at #83 tonight. Realtime RPI has us at #54. Can't understand the big discrepancy. ESPN does not include last night's game. Doubt that makes a 29 spot difference, but maybe it does.

Regardless a 54 RPI would be within at-large consideration for the NCAA tournament. Tulsa (#56) and San Diego State (#64) are playing well and moving up. UTA is now #87. We have some nice road wins on our resume. Still, I doubt we can lose more than 1 (or at the very most 2) more regular season games to have any shot at an at-large bid if we lose in the tournament final. Still would probably need Tulsa and SDSt to move into the Top 50, so we would have 2 really good road wins on our resume.

All it takes is a cold shooting half.

We are getting the breaks this year like the 23 win year. Beard is a good floor coach. I think that is why we are winning the close ones.


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One good break against ASU, and we could have won that game. Didn't get it. But 17-2 ain't too shabby!

(01-25-2016 07:59 AM)insideualr Wrote:  All it takes is a cold shooting half.

We are getting the breaks this year like the 23 win year. Beard is a good floor coach. I think that is why we are winning the close ones.


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Other than obvious things like making free throws, a good floor coach makes all the difference in a team winning and losing a tight game.

(01-25-2016 12:06 AM)mjs Wrote:  ESPN RPI has us at #83 tonight. Realtime RPI has us at #54. Can't understand the big discrepancy. ESPN does not include last night's game. Doubt that makes a 29 spot difference, but maybe it does.

Regardless a 54 RPI would be within at-large consideration for the NCAA tournament. Tulsa (#56) and San Diego State (#64) are playing well and moving up. UTA is now #87. We have some nice road wins on our resume. Still, I doubt we can lose more than 1 (or at the very most 2) more regular season games to have any shot at an at-large bid if we lose in the tournament final. Still would probably need Tulsa and SDSt to move into the Top 50, so we would have 2 really good road wins on our resume.

Warren Nolan has us at 57, UTA at 90, Tulsa at 56, and San Diego State at 60. I think your analysis of At Large chances is pretty accurate.

It all depends on what happens from now on. If we can win the next three games, we'll have 20 wins, and I don't think there will be many 20 win teams at that time. At least not 50 of them. I believe we'll be in the Top 40 if we win the next three.

(01-25-2016 10:10 AM)outsideualr Wrote:  It all depends on what happens from now on. If we can win the next three games, we'll have 20 wins, and I don't think there will be many 20 win teams at that time. At least not 50 of them. I believe we'll be in the Top 40 if we win the next three.

Think again. That is just not how the RPI works. The only opponent left, other than the home game against UTA, that is even close to the top 100 of the RPI is Georgia State at 123. The other two of our next three opponents are Georgia Southern at 317, and Troy at 293. We win all three of those home games and we still will drop in the RPI.

Life in the Sun Belt.

(01-25-2016 10:49 AM)PTJR Wrote:  

(01-25-2016 10:10 AM)outsideualr Wrote:  It all depends on what happens from now on. If we can win the next three games, we'll have 20 wins, and I don't think there will be many 20 win teams at that time. At least not 50 of them. I believe we'll be in the Top 40 if we win the next three.

Think again. That is just not how the RPI works. The only opponent left, other than the home game against UTA, that is even close to the top 100 of the RPI is Georgia State at 123. The other two of our next three opponents are Georgia Southern at 317, and Troy at 293. We win all three of those home games and we still will drop in the RPI.

A loss against anyone but maybe GaSt or UTA would be devastating to our RPI. Realistically, we probably can only lose one more regular season game to stay on the NCAA bubble. It will be really tough to get through the Louisiana swing without a loss. ULL is playing better and ULM would have beaten us here if not for a missed lay-in at the buzzer. Regardless, it is still fun being able to discuss these issues in a realistic manner. If our W-L record continues to be outstanding, the committee will focus on our OOC schedule. A 2-1 record vs. RPI Top 50 teams, all on the road, would be a real feather in our cap.