Win5002
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RE: If We Had to Merge to 4 Conferences What Would You Think of Something Like This:
(01-14-2016 02:09 AM)CintiFan Wrote: (01-13-2016 12:00 AM)JRsec Wrote: Big 10
East: Indiana, Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers
Central: Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Wisconsin
West: Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Rice, Texas
SEC
East: Duke, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia
Central: Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
West: Arkansas, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M
New ACC/Big 12
North: Boston College, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, West Virginia
South: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, N.C. State
West: Baylor, Brigham Young, Iowa State, Kansas State, T.C.U., Texas Tech
PAC
North: Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, Washington, Washington State, Utah
South: Arizona, Arizona State, California, Colorado, U.C.L.A., U.S.C.
I agree that Texas will want to take a top rival with it if it goes to the B1G, but I don't see the B1G taking Rice (Private school, too small, quirky). Texas and the B1G would prefer Oklahoma instead. Oklahoma is not AAU, but it might get the 'Nebraska' exception in order to rekindle the annual Oklahoma/Nebraska game as a B1G match-up. I also don't see the B1G taking both Kansas and Missouri and, if the ACC starts to break apart, the B1G will certainly be focused on getting ACC schools rather than adding another western school.
The PAC will not want to get shut out. So I think they'll add a couple too.
I don't think the new ACC/Big 12 is viable unless there's another alpha dog in it. With both FSU and Notre Dame as anchors, I would think it is a more attractive alternative for Texas than the B1G.
The SEC seems to be the least likely to expand because they don't need additional geography and don't need more alpha dog football programs. Academically minded schools like Duke and Virginia would not choose the SEC if there was an alternative, and the B1G will be the choice. It may be that North Carolina follows Duke and Virginia rather than the other way around.
So with that, here's how I'd see realignment into 4 conferences, with each conference containing 3 or 4 divisions:
Big 10 (20)
Penn State, Syracuse, Rutgers, North Carolina, Duke,
Ohio State, Indiana, Maryland, Virginia, Georgia Tech
Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, Northwestern
Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas
SEC (16)
Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, N.C. State,
Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech
Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, Mississippi
Arkansas, Louisiana State, Texas A&M, Missouri
New ACC/Big 12 (16)
Notre Dame, Boston College, U. Conn,
Pittsburgh, West Virginia, Louisville, Cincinnati
Florida State, Clemson, Miami,
Texas, Baylor, Houston
Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, BYU
PAC (16)
Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State,
California, Stanford, USC, UCLA,
Arizona, Arizona State, Texas Tech, TCU
Colorado, Utah, Iowa State, Kansas State
This all depends from what vantage point you are looking at:
1.) Is it from college football/sports having 4 equally strong leagues competitive wise and revenue wise? Do they somehow come together and bid their tv contract as one organization or simply do leagues realize they don't want to create murder's row for their teams to get into the CFP.
2.) Is it letting market forces determine by a war of ESPN vs. FOX, or B1G vs SEC?
3.) Are we going to worry about travel and expense(because I don't get the feel anymore the Big 12 schools want to go west to the PAC 12)?
4.) Are we fitting it into a 64 team model or are we looking at 72(which I hope they do)
5.) Will the Power leagues force ND's hand in some way to join a league?
The B1G & SEC are at the top and the PAC 12 is probably only safe due to geography.
If you analyze the Big 12 vs the ACC straight up, maybe the markets in the ACC win but they don't have the bell cow for football. FSU & Clemson are nice but they are not the brands at the top of the league to drive a conference, but they could bring the Big 12 to close to on par with the B1G & SEC if added to the Texas/OU rivalry in the Big 12. Also, there are more markets in the ACC for the B1G & the SEC to choose from and to come away winners, not so much if they are choosing from 10 teams in the Big 12.
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