Well as some of you know I developed a simple formula which takes into account scoring production, possession type stats (Assist vs TO/Offensive Rebs), and also shooting percentage to come up with an Offensive Efficiency/Production stat (OEP). It is normalized so that number of minutes played is independent of ranking. Thus, if someone played 12 mins a game and was highly productive he might have the same score as someone who played 30 mins a game and was equally productive for the time played. I plugged the current season stats into my spreadsheet to come up with team rankings and individual player rankings. For individuals I only considered them if they logged 12 mins or more of playing time per game. What I have found is anything over 0.45 is good, and anything below 0.35 is getting bad with 0.35-0.45 kind of mediocre. Disclaimers: 1) Defense is not considered so this should only be taken as offensive production/efficiency and 2) SOS is not considered here. I am thinking of keeping a separate stat strictly for MAC play after 3 conference games or so.

Things I take out of this:
- Thompson IV may be the real deal, he ranks 6th in the MAC!
- Toledo ranks the best, but really has their production spread out among a limited number of players, really will be interesting to see how that unfolds and if there is any fatigue factor that sets in down the road. Their starters log TONS of minutes.
- Western Michigan should be worried, very low
- If you play Miami-OH only worry about the MAC's best OEP player Livingston Jr, Miami-OH has 3 of the 5 worst players in the conference for that stat.

MAC Team OEP Rankings

1. Toledo 0.63
2. Kent St. 0.52
3. NIU 0.50
4. CMU 0.50
5. Akron 0.45
6. EMU 0.41
7. Ohio 0.39
8. Buffalo 0.38
9. Ball St 0.37
10. BGSU 0.34
11. WMU 0.34
12. Miami-OH 0.29


MAC OPE Leaders (Minimum 12 mins/game)

1. Livingston Jr Miami-OH 1.46
2. Boothe Toledo 1.39
3. Garber Toledo 1.30
4. LaMont WMU 1.21
5. Kretzer Akron 1.20
6. Thompson IV EMU 1.20
7. Kozinski CMU 1.16
8. Spicer Kent 1.00
9. Iroegbu NIU 1.00
10. Vucica Miami-OH 0.94
11. Campbell Ohio 0.94
12. Maric NIU 0.91
13. House Ball St. 0.88
14. Johnson I. Akron 0.87
15. Meyer CMU 0.77
16. Edwin Kent St. 0.71
17. Wilder WMU 0.69
18. Calhoun Ball St 0.63
19. Baker NIU 0.63
20. Pollard Kent St. 0.61


MAC OPE Bottom 20 (Minimum 12 mins/game)

1. Harouna Miami-OH 0.03
2. Davis WMU 0.05
3. Perry WMU 0.08
4. Mills Miami-OH 0.10
5. Moore Miami-OH 0.10
6. Tisdale BGSU 0.11
7. Moore WMU 0.12
8. Wiggins BGSU 0.13
9. Williams Akron 0.13
10. Smith Ball St. 0.13
11. Orris NIU 0.14
12. Dugan WMU 0.14
13. Harley Ohio 0.16
14. Perkins Buffalo 0.16
15. Klein WMU 0.18
16. Alcegaire BGSU 0.19
17. Davis Ball St. 0.20
18. Cancer Kent St. 0.21
19. Price EMU 0.23
20. Armstead NIU 0.24

Very nice statistics. Just curious what Marshawn Wilson's number is?

(01-08-2016 06:01 PM)StevenNIU Wrote:  Very nice statistics. Just curious what Marshawn Wilson's number is?

Thanks Steven!!

Here are NIU's team stats

Iroegbu 0.996
Maric 0.912
Baker 0.631
Bradley 0.591
Wilson 0.562
Porter 0.392
Pauga 0.376
Key J 0.333
Armstead 0.237
Zelis 0.223
Thomas 0.156
Orris M 0.141
DeHaan J 0.014

Here is one thing that makes me optimistic

Number of players with a greater than 0.50 rating per team who log more than 12 mins of playing time per game

NIU 5 (Irogebu, Maric, Baker, Bradley, Wilson)
Kent 5 (Pollard, Edwin, Hall, Walker, Spicer)
Toledo 4 (Boothe, Garber, Sanford, Lauf)
CMU 3 (Kozinski, Simmons, Meyer)
Akron 3 (Forsythe, Kretzer, Johnson I)
WMU 3 (Lamont, Wilder, McCormick)
Buffalo 2 (Kadirl, Massinburg)
EMU 2 (Thompson IV, Nazione)
Miami-OH 2 (Livingston, Vucica)
BSU 2 (Calhoun, House)
Ohio 1 (Campbell)
BGSU 1 (Denny)

Here is a link to the stats along with the actual calculation at the bottom. I added a defensive efficiency equivalent. Taking a total index, I have NIU as number one in the power rankings. Totally unintentional!!

http://godawgz.com/MAC_bball_index.htm

Number 1 NIU faces Number 2 Toledo according to my power rankings on Tuesday
http://godawgz.com/MAC_bball_index.htm

Both teams arrive at these rankings differently, Toledo by far being the most efficient offense in the league, but also the 2nd worst defense just head of CMU.

NIU gets their number one ranking by having the best defensive score and the 3rd best offensive score behind Toledo and Kent.

This game also features 3 of the 6 top OEP score getters (Garber, Chuks, and Boothe)

In PER, NIU has the 6th best player in the MAC, Maric. Akron and Ohio both have 2 players in the top 7.

Other NIU players:
Iroegbu at 12th
Baker at 26th
Porter at 69th
Armstead at 73rd
Key at 84th
Bradley at 89th