(12-31-2015 12:52 PM)Buho00 Wrote: You can be effective at this level if you have decent speed with good size. You can't be too successful being small and having only decent speed. DB seems to favor size, perhaps for this reason, but I think it has more to do with what we can get. Speed is the most coveted attribute in college football. By the time we get to pick, so to speak, most of the speediest guys are gone. The academics make the pool even smaller. How many of UH's speedsters would even qualify for Rice? Seems like schools like Stanford, Northwesterm, Vandy aren't exactly known for their speed. But they're P5 so they can get adequate speed easier than Rice. That's not to say we don't have speed, but not as much, and the way it's spread out on our roster is not very helpful. Our fastest WR is likely to be a QB next season. Walter and Stewart have very good speed but they're too good to be moved to defense. I don't think speed will be a strength of Rice most years. It's jut not the way we're built, and I don't mean DB, it'll be like that always unless Rice makes some drastic changes in their admissions and/or football budget.
This is not an excuse. I feel we can be successful but in other ways. I just wouldn't count on out-speeding other teams.
I'm sorry, but that still sounds too much like, "Losing is okay if you have a good enough excuse." Rice is not going to make drastic changes in admissions or football budget. We need someone who can find a way to win in spite of that. I just got through watching a team that we beat not that long ago, and by all rights should have beaten two years ago, put a serious beating on a team that was in the national playoff semi-final a year ago. It can be turned around. That's what we need to do. As for blaming it on admissions and recruiting, Navy doesn't get better athletes than we do, but they are a top-20 team. And that's top 20 in the nation, whereas we are top-20 in the second 100.
Fred really stressed speed in recruiting. He had at least one class where every player, including the o-linemen, ran better than a 5.0 40. Under Bailiff, we've recruited several big o-linemen that run 5.2 or 5.3 or slower. Fred liked to recruit excess d-linemen, who tend to be faster and more athletic, and move the slower or less athletic ones over to the o-line. That's a difference in philosophy to some extent, and a difference in no longer being P5 to some extent. We're not going to get 5-stars, and probably not 4-stars, unless and until we can establish our program to the extent that Tom Herman has established UH. So we are looking for 3-stars at best and mostly 2-stars. Guys who are big and fast are going to the P5's. We have a choice of guys who are big enough but not fast enough, or fast enough but not big enough. I take speed every time. Given a choice between two 2-stars, one who is bigger and the other who is faster, I'd take the faster one. Given a choice between a 2-star who is faster and a 3-star who is slower, that would come down to our evaluation on other points. Obviously, we should do our own evaluations, and not rely on somebody else's star rankings, but here I am using stars as surrogates for ability in order to illustrate points.
As far spreading speed around the roster, my general rule of thumb would be speed to defense, size to offense. You make exceptions for people with special skills, like quarterbacks, but in general that's the way I would go, particularly when you don't have enough speed to go everywhere. You can make an offense work without great speed or great athleticism. Ruowls certainly believes he can. You need speed and athleticism to play defense.
The fact that Stewart and Walter are, in your words, "too good to be moved to defense" is exactly why I'd take a look at both of them on defense. Of course, I'm still not at all convinced that our defensive speed problems are more reading and reacting speed than foot speed. That is hard to explain. The only options would seem to be 1) the players are stupid (highly unlikely), 2) the coaches are incompetent, or 3) as owl40 has suggested, the schemes are simply demanding things that we can't.
I think we need a change of schemes on both sides of the ball. On offense, I think we need to use some sort of contrarian scheme that presents preparation problems for a defense, instead of simply lining up in the same shotgun spread and running the same plays as 75% of the teams in D-1. That makes it nothing but a game of who has the best athletes, and that's not going to be us most of the time. On defense, we need more speed on the field and a more aggressive approach. I'm not a fan of the 4-2-5, I prefer the 3-3-5 to get more speed on the field. As ruowls noted, the 4-2-5 is nothing but the old 4-4 with faster tandems replacing two of the LBs. By the same token, the 3-3-5 is just the old 5-3 with the tandems replacing two defensive ends. But if we played the 4-2-5 the way TCU does, which is attack and read on the run, instead of our read-and-react approach, I think we would get better results. That seems strange to me because Bailiff was supposedly in on the development of TCU's 4-2-5. But I think we would do better if instead of having so many reads, we have one assignment and execute it flawlessly.