...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY...
THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS STILL APPEARS MOST CERTAIN WITHIN A SWATH
EAST NORTHEAST OF THE ARKLATEX THROUGH THE NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
DELTA REGION. THIS IS WHERE A DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT...IN
ADVANCE OF AN AREA OF ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WAVE...MAY ALLOW INSOLATION TO
CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK TO MODERATE BOUNDARY LAYER CAPE BY MID-DAY. WITH
THE ONSET OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...APPEARS POSSIBLE. LARGE
HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ALL
APPEAR POSSIBLE...WITH ACTIVITY SPREADING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD...PERHAPS INTO AND THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

Very strong dynamics with this system, and a lot of folks will be traveling for the holidays around this time.

I realize this isn't Memphis sports-related, but it's a pretty dangerous setup. Make sure you have a working weather radio!

UPDATED DAY 2 OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:

...SUMMARY...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION ON WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
FORECAST FROM PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH REGION TO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...WHERE TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT...ALONG WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

We had a tornado in Lindale, TX just a few days ago. Crazy.

Most folks around here know that these warm temps in Dec. are not a good thing. Hopefully this situation passes without any nasty stuff. It has been relatively calm since April 2011 with a few exceptions. One goal for '16 for me is a below ground storm shelter inside the garage.

Merry Christmas!

Thanks for posting. Merry Christmas and stay safe!

Didn't Houston High School take a hit the first week in December back in the 90s?

(12-22-2015 09:51 AM)fsquid Wrote:  Didn't Houston High School take a hit the first week in December back in the 90s?

Yes. On the same day as a Tiger game at The Pyramid. My daughter was a student at Houston at the time. They had to go to Germantown HS for a half a day the rest of the year while Houston was repaired.

Nothing says "Winter's Here" like Christmas and Tornadoes

Highest STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) in northern AL/MS for tomorrow.....



Extremely dangerous situation.

Also updated post 1 with the updated Day 2 convective outlook from SPC. Buy a weather radio, or download a good smart phone app... MyWarn is a good one.

sheesh, I'm precisely dead center of the highest probability.

we were going to do starry nights, guess that's out.

MT.org - where I come for weather. Miss J lives on.

I got bees in my yard in December. It's nuts

(12-22-2015 11:34 AM)80sTiger Wrote:  MT.org - where I come for weather. Miss J lives on.

Where the hell did she go, haven't seen her on here in some time

(12-22-2015 11:53 AM)T.I.G.E.R.S Wrote:  

(12-22-2015 11:34 AM)80sTiger Wrote:  MT.org - where I come for weather. Miss J lives on.

Where the hell did she go, haven't seen her on here in some time

she donned a grass skirt and coconut bikini top and moved someplace warm.

(12-22-2015 11:08 AM)Montgomery Blazer Wrote:  Highest STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) in northern AL/MS for tomorrow.....



Extremely dangerous situation.

Right on cue...the 20/59 corridor has the highest probability of tornado activity.

(12-22-2015 02:29 AM)eltigre Wrote:  Most folks around here know that these warm temps in Dec. are not a good thing. Hopefully this situation passes without any nasty stuff. It has been relatively calm since April 2011 with a few exceptions. One goal for '16 for me is a below ground storm shelter inside the garage.

We had one installed in our garage early 2012 and haven't had any bad storms since. You're welcome.

(12-22-2015 03:34 PM)UofMTigers1 Wrote:  

(12-22-2015 02:29 AM)eltigre Wrote:  Most folks around here know that these warm temps in Dec. are not a good thing. Hopefully this situation passes without any nasty stuff. It has been relatively calm since April 2011 with a few exceptions. One goal for '16 for me is a below ground storm shelter inside the garage.

We had one installed in our garage early 2012 and haven't had any bad storms since. You're welcome.

Better have one and not need it than need it and not have it

I guess I won't be driving back to Memphis tomorrow.