(12-08-2015 06:25 AM)BruceMcF Wrote: (12-08-2015 01:23 AM)NoDak Wrote: Mizzou and Vanderbilt are 1c
Vanderbilt gives the B1G a number of contiguous AAU choices to 18 or 20.
So the idea here is that Tennessee borders on not just Kentucky, Virginia and Missouri (all already contiguous), but also North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Arkansas.
And because Missouri is contiguous, adding Missouri makes Vanderbilt contiguous.
So this really is a game of Conference Realignment Risk? Are you hoping that the Big Ten can get Vanderbilt by rolling enough 5's and 6's?
No team would be added at 15 and 16 because of the contiguity that it provides for a possible 17 and 18 expansion ... they would be added because they are expected to bring a net increase in value per team to the conference.
And nobody leaves the SEC, just like nobody leaves the Big Ten ... once somebody throws in an SEC team or a Big Ten team in conference realignment speculation, all it shows is that its lost even a tenuous contact with reality. If Vanderbilt stayed in the SEC when all it had for high status academic company was Florida, why would it leave now that Mizzou and Texas A&M have joined the conference? And also why would it walk away from the equity it is building up as we speak in the SECN, in order to start over from scratch building up equity in the BTN?
Assuming the next B1G TV deal surpasses everyone (and almost every projection says it does), there would be more money in it. Of course, the equity thing is a damper, but deals can be made. Also, if the money while building equity is the same as they are getting now, it would make dollars and sense. 6 years is nothing, especially when Nebraska made over $20M while building equity (more than the best ACC and PAC schools)
The only team that would ever switch from the PAC, SEC, or B1G, would be Missouri. The B1G is our unicorn. It has been for decades. The fan base might not like or understand it, but it is clearly a better fit. Not to mention the academic prestige you gain. (10-20 spot bump in rankings usually).
I really don't think that the B1G would be interested in Vandy. They damn sure aren't interested in Kentucky, so you can throw that in front of an oncoming train.
Leaving out ACC schools, because they are easily first choice, I imagine the pool of "potentials" (not saying they would even be invited, just generate interest from the conference) would be something like this:
Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, UConn, Pitt, Syracuse, Notre Dame.
Now, most have flaws out of that group. If you aren't the #1 brand in your state, you can likely forget about even sniffing the B1G's excrement.
Pitt is likely never getting in, over Penn State's dead body. Syracuse is likely out as well after losing AAU status. UConn and Oklahoma aren't in the AAU, but both fan bases claim to be "really close". It is very difficult to get in, and the B1G has little to say about it (13 votes/62 members) Notre Dame isn't AAU, but is a clear exception. They are getting in if they want. Texas is a no brainer, but not contiguous, and known for not playing well with others. Missouri, aside from recent drama, would be a decent addition, but not a home run that they are likely looking for. Kansas has a similar story, except a smaller population and terrible football.
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If the B1G wants to go to 16,...
it isn't quite that way...60+ members
