(11-24-2015 10:35 AM)irish red homebrew Wrote: you are missing the point with respect to the Eff U Dabo! saga. Sure it shows fire and fight, but I would assume it also hurts recruiting. Consider that Florida was/is a focal point for Syracuse recruiting. The Southern kids are often from a religious family background, and I would presume some hesitation may arise in mamas mind with respect to sending their boy to Syracuse to be mentored by a man caught dropping f-bombs on national tv.
As for recruiting upswing, not sure how you can say that. Taken from an article in Syracuse.c0m, last year's class was rated:
Last in the ACC by 247 Sports
Next to last in the ACC by Rivals
Last in the ACC by ESPN
Ninth in the ACC by Scout
That is not indicative of recruiting that is on the upswing, especially when his best year record-wise was with Marrone's players.
1.Syracuse isn't getting the southern religious crowd. About 15 minutes on campus will relieve you of any doubts that you might have to the contrary. The loss is purely hurt feelings. Dabo likes us a little less and/or dislikes us a little more. I'm sure he sends really thoughtful Christmas cards, but I can live. It's not ideal, but in the grand scheme of life, so what?
2. I can't find it again, but one of the sites (scout - I think) used to have a page where they explained the difference between the stars and how they did the actual rankings. For example, which is better, a very polished player with a medium upside, or a very unpolished player with a medium/high upside? The answer was 5* players were the full package, 4* players were good 3* players, only with polish, 3* players tended to either lack polish or upside, 2* players had the ability to perform at the FBS level, but they needed a substantial amount of work, and those below 2* didn't have the right stuff.
Additionally, there are other factors that matter but don't impact rankings. One of those factors is that rankings don't take system fit into account. A recruiting class filled with 3*'s that all fit different systems isn't as good as a recruiting class filled with 3*'s that all fit the same system. Additionally, we're taking more key players from the south. That matters because rankings are relative. A kid who looks average on St. X's team (or Trinity for that matter) might get a similar ranking to a kid who looks average on CPA's team (city of Syracuse), even though the two kids would look different if they were on the same team or played the same competition. I did a poor job of explaining it, but in a nut shell, it's hard to standout/get attention if you're a RB and the guy running ahead of you in school is a 4/5*. Finally, it's worth noting that we're in the 3* space and there is a lot of room in that space because it covers a wider group of players, so you can improve for a while without it showing up in the rankings. To clarify, it varies from site, but 5*'s are are something like the top 1%, 4*'s are the next 10%, and the space between the rankings continues to get progressively bigger, so there is more variation in 4*'s than 5*'s, 3*'s than 4*'s and so on.
We're moving into the higher 3* with high upside (with key players from southern states) category that fit a coherent system, and that's evidenced by the fact that true freshman players and sophomore players essentially carried the team this year and made some major impacts (but I don't think anyone is willing to accuse us of looking polished). They were/are better than the upperclassmen.
But to speak to your point directly, you're comparing us to the rest of the ACC. You should be comparing us to ourselves. Are the players going in better than the players going out. That's the question that you need to be answering, not "is Syracuse getting better players than FSU." In an absolute sense we have a ways to go. However, we are moving in the right direction - or at least we were.
FYI, I found this from a Bleacher Report article, it's close to what I remember:
"Stars:
***** = Great prospect. Game ready as a true freshman. Prospect has the ability to be a difference-maker immediately.
**** = Very good prospect. The recruit can contribute as a freshman and be a difference-maker early in his career
*** = Good prospect. Can contribute to a program and eventually start but still needs some development to be effective.
** = Average prospect. Needs time to develop but has the potential to become a contributor to a program late in their career.
* = Evaluation pending/not enough film to evaluate"