Hello There, Guest! (LoginRegister)

Post Reply 
Conference Races and Odds (before week 11)
Author Message
ohio1317 Offline
Moderator
*

Posts: 5,678
Joined: Mar 2008
Reputation: 358
I Root For: Ohio State
Location:
Post: #1
Conference Races and Odds (before week 11)
This week served to clear some things up and muddy up others.

Here are the odds according to sportsbook.ag for winners in all conferences with CCGs (https://www.sportsbook.ag/sbk/sportsbook...rences.sbk) and a look at the races (both with and without CCGs) from myself. I'm not going into all possibilities at this point, but most the semi-reasonable ones.

Note: I'm only looking at the likely winners of conferences (meaning winners of the CCG or top of the standings in a traditional set-up conference). This means if a team stands a decent chance at a co-divisional title, but will be very unlikely to win a tie-breaker to get to the CCG, I'm not looking at them.

ACC:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Clemson 1/6, North Carolina 3/1, Pittsburgh 40/1, Duke 100/1, Miami (FL) 100/1

Atlantic: Clemson has locked up their spot in the ACC Championship Game.

Coastal: Given tie-breakers, North Carolina has an effective 2 game lead at this point. They can lose any one game for free. If they lose 2, they might still get it. If they do lose 2, that puts Pitt in first if they can win out (currently 1 loss). North Carolina plays Miami at home this week and Pitt plays Duke.

American:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Temple 1/1, Houston 5/4, Navy 13/2, Memphis 15/2, South Florida 100/1
East: Temple is 5-0. South Florida is 3-2. South Florida hosts Temple this week. They need to win that game and hope Temple drops one of its last two.

West: In a 3 way race, Navy won the first game between itself and Houston and Memphis last week. This week Houston and Memphis play each other. A Memphis loss means they are likely done. A Memphis win keeps everyone in if Houston can beat Navy later.

Big 12:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: No odds
-This is still a 4 team race with undefeated Oklahoma State and Baylor and one-Loss Oklahoma and TCU. Oklahoma State beat TCU last week in the first game between these four. This week we get Oklahoma vs. Baylor. A 2nd loss for any team almost certainly eliminates any chances at a conference crown.


BigTen:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Ohio State 4/9, Iowa 3/1, Michigan 7/1, Michigan State 10/1, Wisconsin 40/1

East: With a 2nd loss, Penn State we can pretty much count out now. From a divisional standpoint, the big winner of Michigan State loosing to Nebraska last week was Michigan. All they need is one more Michigan State loss to control their destiny. That said, Michigan State still controls their own destiny. Ohio State actually lost one way to get to Indianapolis as before they might have been able to with a win over Michigan State, but a loss to Michigan.

West: Iowa can win any 2 of its last 3 and they are in. Wisconsin needs the Hawkeyes to lose two and win out themselves.

Conference USA:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Western Kentucky 2/3, Louisiana Tech 7/5, Southern Miss 17/2, Marshall 12/1

East: Marshall is one game behind Western Kentucky and they end the year against each other. Middle Tennessee would need absolutely everything to go right to have a shot to get back in.

West: Southern Miss and Louisiana Tech separated themselves from the rest of the pack. Their season ending game against each other is almost certain to determine the division.

MAC:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Bowling Green 5/9, Toledo 9/2, Northern Illinois 5/1, Western Michigan 6/1, Central Michigan 25/1

East: Bowling Green only has to win 1 more of its last 3 to get in.

West: The division is still a 4 team race. Western Michigan is 5-0. Toledo, Northern Illinois, and Central Michigan are all 4-1. So far we have seen Northern Illinois beat Toledo, Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois, and Western Michigan beat Central Michigan. This week we have Toledo vs. Central Michigan. It is a must win for both teams.

Mountain West:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Boise State 1/3, San Diego State 9/4, Utah State 12/1, Air Force 25/1

Mountain: There's 4 teams in it. Utah State beat Boise State, but has since lost 2 giving Boise State back control of their destiny. Boise State and Air Force are both 4-1 and play each other in 2 weeks. Air Force plays Utah State this week in a game that will basically eliminate the Aggies with a loss. Interestingly 3-2 New Mexico hasn't played any of those 3 yet and controls their destiny still for the moment.

West: San Diego State is 5-0 and is in the Mountain West Championship Game if they win 2 of their last 3 or at least beat Nevada. Nevada and San Jose State are 2 games back and play this week.

PAC-12:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Stanford 4/9, Utah 3/1, USC 9/2, UCLA 15/1, Oregon 60/1

North: Stanford clinches with a win or an Oregon loss. They play each other this week.

South: Utah has a 1 game lead over each of the southern California schools. They lost to USC and have yet to play UCLA.

SEC:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: Alabama 5/9, Florida 9/5, LSU 9/1, Ole Miss 10/1

East: Florida has clinched.

West: Alabama and LSU have one loss while Ole Miss, Mississippi State, and Arkansas each have 2. Alabama is the huge favorite to win, but if they lose to Mississippi State this week, that changes the narrative in a hurry.

Sun Belt:
Sportsbook.ag Odds to win: none
-Arkansas State is 5-0 and has now beaten two of the three 4-1 teams (Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, and Louisiana-Lafayette). They don't play Georgia Southern. If they lose one of their last three, expect a shared title.
(This post was last modified: 11-10-2015 01:50 AM by ohio1317.)
11-10-2015 01:48 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


Post Reply 




User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)


Copyright © 2002-2024 Collegiate Sports Nation Bulletin Board System (CSNbbs), All Rights Reserved.
CSNbbs is an independent fan site and is in no way affiliated to the NCAA or any of the schools and conferences it represents.
This site monetizes links. FTC Disclosure.
We allow third-party companies to serve ads and/or collect certain anonymous information when you visit our web site. These companies may use non-personally identifiable information (e.g., click stream information, browser type, time and date, subject of advertisements clicked or scrolled over) during your visits to this and other Web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services likely to be of greater interest to you. These companies typically use a cookie or third party web beacon to collect this information. To learn more about this behavioral advertising practice or to opt-out of this type of advertising, you can visit http://www.networkadvertising.org.
Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2024 MyBB Group.