Decided to go ahead and start a thread to keep the Beltnation up to date on teams that are on the verge of not being bowl eligible or eliminated from Bowl contention. As of now, only Central Florida is eliminated from bowl contention with an 0-7 record. Kansas, Purdue, UTSA, UNT, Miami-OH, EMU, Wyoming, and New Mexico State are all 1 game away from becoming ineligible for post season play.

AAC:
UCF (0-7) **Officially eliminated
SMU: (1-5 Games remaining: @USF, Tulsa, #22 Temple, @Navy, Tulane, @#18Mem)
Tulane: (2-4 Games remaining: @Navy, @18Mem, UConn, @Army,@SMU, Tulsa)


ACC:
Louisville (2-4)Games Remaining: BC, @WF, Syracuse, UVA, @25 Pitt, @Kentucky
Virginia: (2-4) @UNC, GT, @MIA, @LVille, 23Duke, VT
Georgia Tech: (2-5) 5 FSU, @UVA, VT, @MIA, UGA


BIG 12:
Iowa State: (2-4) 2Bay, Tex, @17 Okla, 14 OKST, @KSU, @WVU
Texas: (2-4) KSU, @ISU, KU, @WVU, TTU, @2BAY
Kansas: (0-6) @14 OKST, 17OKLA, @TEX, @4TCU, WVU, KSU

Big 10:
Purdue: (1-6) Neb, Ill, @NW, @12Iowa, Ind
Maryland: (2-4) PSU, @12IOWA, WIS, @7MSU, IND, @RUTG


CUSA:
FAU: (1-5) @UTEP, FIU, @WKU, MTSU, @13FLA, @ODU
Charlotte: (2-4) USM, MRSH, @FIU, UTSA, @UK, @RICE
UTSA: (1-6) @UNT, ODU, @CHAR, RICE, MTSU
UTEP: (2-4) FAU, @USM, RICE, @ODU, LT, @UNT
UNT: (0-6) @MRSH, UTSA, @LT, @TENN, @MTSU, UTEP

Independent:
Army: (2-5) @Rice, @AFA, TULN, RUTG, NAVY

MAC:
Buffalo (2-4) Ohio, @Kent, NIU, @AKR, UMASS
Umass: (1-5) 19TOL, @BALL, AKR, @EMU, M-OH, @BUFF
Miami (oh): (1-6) @WMU, BUFF, EMU, AKR, @UMASS
Ball State: (2-5) CMU, UMASS, @WMU, @OHIO, BGSU
EMU: (1-6) @NIU, WMU, @M-OH, UMASS, @CMU

Mountain West:
Wyoming: (1-6) @Boise, @USU, CSU, @SDSU, UNLV
UNLV: (2-5) Boise, Haw, @CSU, SDSU, @WYO
Fresno St: (2-5) @AFA, NEV, @HAW, @BYU, CSU
Hawaii: (2-5) @NEV, AFA, @UNLV, FRES, SJSU, ULM


Pac 12:
Oregon St: (2-4) Col, @3Utah, UCLA, @20CAL, WASH, @ORE


SEC:
Vanderbilt: (2-4) Miz, @21Hou, @13Fla, UK, 15TAMU, @TENN
Arkansas: (2-4) AUB, Tennessee Martin, @24Miss, @5LSU, MissSt, Miz

After week 8 has concluded, we had 6 teams eliminated from post season play joining UCF. They were..

-Kansas
-Wyoming
-North Texas
-EMU
-Miami (OH)
-NMSU

Teams to look out for in week 9 that are now on the verge of being knocked out after suffering losses on Saturday..

AAC:
SMU (1-6) Hosting Tulsa

Big 10:
Purdue (1-6) Hosting Nebraska

CUSA:
FAU (1-6) Hosting FIU
UTSA (1-6) @UNT

MAC:
UMass (1-6) @Ball State
Ball State (2-6) UMass

MWC:
Hawaii (2-6) Hosting Air Force

SBC:
ULM (1-6) @ Louisiana

(10-25-2015 05:00 PM)RamblinRedWolf44 Wrote:  After week 8 has concluded, we had 6 teams eliminated from post season play joining UCF. They were..

-Kansas
-Wyoming
-North Texas
-EMU
-Miami (OH)
-NMSU

Teams to look out for in week 9 that are now on the verge of being knocked out after suffering losses on Saturday..

AAC:
SMU (1-6) Hosting Tulsa

Big 10:
Purdue (1-6) Hosting Nebraska

CUSA:
FAU (1-6) Hosting FIU
UTSA (1-6) @UNT

MAC:
UMass (1-6) @Ball State
Ball State (2-6) UMass

MWC:
Hawaii (2-6) Hosting Air Force

SBC:
ULM (1-6) @ Louisiana

Obviously one of Ball State and Umass will survive at least one more week seeing as how they play each other, but other than that, it wouldn't surprise me if every single team from this list were eliminated this week.

FYI, if we want the Tuscon Bowl, we need to be huge FAU fans the rest of the season. Need them to knock off MTSU in a couple weeks. Blue Raiders have 3 wins, and outside of a trip to FAU, they have home games with 0 win North Texas, and 1 win UTSA on the schedule.

(10-25-2015 10:04 PM)wwwyzzrd Wrote:  

(10-25-2015 05:00 PM)RamblinRedWolf44 Wrote:  After week 8 has concluded, we had 6 teams eliminated from post season play joining UCF. They were..

-Kansas
-Wyoming
-North Texas
-EMU
-Miami (OH)
-NMSU

Teams to look out for in week 9 that are now on the verge of being knocked out after suffering losses on Saturday..

AAC:
SMU (1-6) Hosting Tulsa

Big 10:
Purdue (1-6) Hosting Nebraska

CUSA:
FAU (1-6) Hosting FIU
UTSA (1-6) @UNT

MAC:
UMass (1-6) @Ball State
Ball State (2-6) UMass

MWC:
Hawaii (2-6) Hosting Air Force

SBC:
ULM (1-6) @ Louisiana

Obviously one of Ball State and Umass will survive at least one more week seeing as how they play each other, but other than that, it wouldn't surprise me if every single team from this list were eliminated this week.

UTSA over UNT imo, they stay alive for one more week

Thanks for the post OP.

And a little more info on the CUSA race to become bowl eligible:
MTSU lost at Louisiana Tech and is currently 3-5 but still looks good for 6 wins
FIU beat ODU and is currently 4-4 and looks good for 6 wins
Rice beat Army and is currently 4-3 and looks good for 6 wins

(10-26-2015 08:06 AM)MobileBama Wrote:  Thanks for the post OP.

And a little more info on the CUSA race to become bowl eligible:
MTSU lost at Louisiana Tech and is currently 3-5 but still looks good for 6 wins
FIU beat ODU and is currently 4-4 and looks good for 6 wins
Rice beat Army and is currently 4-3 and looks good for 6 wins

Team Rankings agrees with you on those 3 and their bowl eligibility probabilities:
Rice 87%
MTSU 80%
FIU 80%


https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

Just wanted to add (I blanked out on this fact) Charlotte is enelgible from post season due to transitional rules; sitting at 2-5 on the season it was doubtful they were getting bowl eligible anyways (furthermore if conference champs Georgia southern couldn't get a waiver to be bowl eligible I HIGHLY doubt 49ers would be approved if they somehow got to 6+ wins)

Updated teams out of bowl contention:
-UCF
-charlotte
Kansas
-Wyoming
-North Texas
-EMU
-Miami (OH)
-NMSU

(10-28-2015 01:12 PM)RamblinRedWolf44 Wrote:  Just wanted to add (I blanked out on this fact) Charlotte is enelgible from post season due to transitional rules; sitting at 2-5 on the season it was doubtful they were getting bowl eligible anyways (furthermore if conference champs Georgia southern couldn't get a waiver to be bowl eligible I HIGHLY doubt 49ers would be approved if they somehow got to 6+ wins)

Updated teams out of bowl contention:
-UCF
-charlotte
Kansas
-Wyoming
-North Texas
-EMU
-Miami (OH)
-NMSU

It would have nothing to do with a waiver. The only way Georgia Southern or App State could have gotten into a bowl last year was if there were not enough eligible teams (there were). This year, there are 80 spots, up from 76 last year. It is looking like we will come up short. If Charlotte gets to 6 wins (they won't), they will be selected before we go to teams with a losing record.

IF there are not enough bowl eligible teams, this is the criteria and order of selection:

1. Teams finishing 6-6 with one win against an FCS team that does not fund 90% of the FCS maximum of 63 scholarships. In the 2012 season, programs in four FCS conferences cannot meet the 90% requirement (56.7 equivalents)—the Ivy League, the Patriot League, the Pioneer Football League, and the Northeast Conference.

2. 6-6 teams with two wins over FCS schools.

3. Teams that finish 6-7 with loss number seven in their conference championship game (that has been eliminated by the conference championship waiver rule).

4. 6-7 teams that normally play a 13-team schedule, such as Hawaii's home opponents.

5. FBS teams who are in the final year of the two-year FBS transition process, if they have at least a 6-6 record.

6. Finally, 5-7 teams that have a top-5 Academic Progress Rate (APR) score. This was later adjusted to allow other 5-7 teams to be selected thereafter—in order of their APR.

FIU needs at least two wins and play FAU, Charlotte, Marshall, and WKU. The FAU game is a must for them. FIU-FAU could be the game that ultimately decides if the Arizona Bowl will be open for the Belt.

(10-28-2015 01:29 PM)BeliefBlazer Wrote:  FIU needs at least two wins and play FAU, Charlotte, Marshall, and WKU. The FAU game is a must for them. FIU-FAU could be the game that ultimately decides if the Arizona Bowl will be open for the Belt.

Yeah, that's what I've been saying. FAU beating MTSU or FIU would leave the bowl open. Problem is, no one is giving the Owls much of a chance in those games.

I've watched a few of their games and simply put their a miserably bad team-they're giving up over 30 points a game and barely averaging 16 points. In their last win (17-7 win over the 49ers) they were outgained 200-172 yards and had 5 turnovers (charlotte turned it over 7 times...)

I'd be shocked if owls won another game this season

Add Hawaii, UTSA and SMU on teams eliminated from bowl contention

FAU and Purdue were able to upset their opponents (fiu and Nebraska) to survive for another week