Sagarin-

53-WKU
66- Tech
68- Marshall
86- MTSU
100- S. Miss
116 Rice
122 FIU
136 UTSA
145 FAU
161 odu
171UTEP
179 North Texas
188Charlotte

That is so terrible for us as a conference.

This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

(10-18-2015 04:20 PM)Franko Wrote:  This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

Thanks Franko!

(10-18-2015 04:20 PM)Franko Wrote:  This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

Sagarin has been 0.78512 correct this year and 0.52381 Against the Spread this year.

Take it for what it is worth but Sagarin model is usual >75% correct in winners and >.50% ATS.

Sagarin Predictor- Portland State vs North Texas 64.51-38.12=29.39

Vegas Line was: -3pts Portland State

(10-18-2015 04:20 PM)Franko Wrote:  This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

Maybe so, but Sagarin is the best predictor

How the hell are we 66 at 4-3. I was thinking low 80s.

(10-18-2015 05:56 PM)Cscollis Wrote:  How the hell are we 66 at 4-3. I was thinking low 80s.

Your sos is pretty damned good I would say

(10-18-2015 04:57 PM)Dawgxas Wrote:  

(10-18-2015 04:20 PM)Franko Wrote:  This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

Sagarin has been 0.78512 correct this year and 0.52381 Against the Spread this year.

Take it for what it is worth but Sagarin model is usual >75% correct in winners and >.50% ATS.

In FBS games none of the four different Sagarin ratings are worse than 80% correct straight up so far this season with the homefield advantage factor included. The Blended rating leads at .814 (376-86), three games ahead of the Predictor (.807, 373-89).

(10-18-2015 06:00 PM)THUNDERGround Wrote:  

(10-18-2015 05:56 PM)Cscollis Wrote:  How the hell are we 66 at 4-3. I was thinking low 80s.

Your sos is pretty damned good I would say

Yeah, those good losses that sagarin likes so much.

I prefer the massey ratings.

WKU - 41
Marshall - 51
La Tech - 71
http://www.masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

(10-18-2015 05:56 PM)Cscollis Wrote:  How the hell are we 66 at 4-3. I was thinking low 80s.

There are 128 total FBS teams this year. Tech is 4-3 overall and per Sagarin about middle of the pack among all FBS football teams. Low 80's would be a very mediocre G5 team.

65 P5 teams (including ND)
63 G5 teams
128 FBS teams total

(10-18-2015 05:47 PM)stodgdog Wrote:  

(10-18-2015 04:20 PM)Franko Wrote:  This rating systems tells me there are 59 FCS teams better than Charlotte, I don't think so.

Maybe so, but Sagarin is the best predictor

I still think it breaks down when comparing FBS to FCS teams. There aren't enough opponents in common. Are there SOME FCS teams better than Charlotte? Probably. Portland State looks pretty darn good. I'm sure there are others. But 59 teams? I don't believe it.

Didn't Kansas State lose 44-0 at home this week?

Sorry, but picking 75% straight up isn't terribly difficult without a computer model. Most college games have a fairly defined favorite every weekend, especially OOC. Even when you get into conference, less than half the games are really competitive.

(10-18-2015 09:43 PM)banker Wrote:  Sorry, but picking 75% straight up isn't terribly difficult without a computer model. Most college games have a fairly defined favorite every weekend, especially OOC. Even when you get into conference, less than half the games are really competitive.

try picking >50% Against the spread consistently.

(10-18-2015 08:55 PM)nastybunch Wrote:  Didn't Kansas State lose 44-0 at home this week?

Didnt Kansas State lead #4 TCU the whole game until few minutes left in the 4th quarter?

Oklahoma is good and dont be surprise if they beat Baylor and TCU. I think Oklahoma will win the Big 12

(10-18-2015 07:27 PM)goherd24herdfans Wrote:  

(10-18-2015 06:00 PM)THUNDERGround Wrote:  

(10-18-2015 05:56 PM)Cscollis Wrote:  How the hell are we 66 at 4-3. I was thinking low 80s.

Your sos is pretty damned good I would say

Yeah, those good losses that sagarin likes so much.

That and margin of victory/loss