(10-12-2015 01:51 PM)Brookes Owl Wrote: (10-12-2015 01:40 PM)Middle Ages Wrote: (10-12-2015 01:33 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: Unlike others, I don't think we'll have a change in the head spot unless we had a series of 2-4 win seasons.
Correct
Why do you believe this? I'm not asking your opinion on Bailiff or his performance - I have no interest in that debate - but rather why you think that Joe Karlgaard, David Leebron et al would wait until we've sunk to bottom or near bottom of CUSA, for multiple seasons no less, before making a move.
ETA: The one thing that is keeping me from engaging in the hand wringing is that I've seen and heard many reasons to believe that Joe Karlgaard is doing a terrific job as AD. I'm comfortable knowing that he's articulated steep goals for our athletic department and that he has a pretty good understanding of how to achieve them. And I haven't seen anything (yet) to make me think that multiple terrible football seasons would be tolerated.
1- I am not passing judgement on the actual decision one way or another
2- I could easily be proven wrong
Having said the above, I just don't think it's a priority to those in charge currently. As even his detractors acknowledge- DB does many things in an exemplary fashion, gets Rice, etc. He won a conference championship two years ago and has been bowling 3 years in a row- winning 2. While there have been embarrassments (La Tech, Baylor, WKU), we still won 8 last year and are 3-3 this year, likely to be 7-5 or 8-4 and bowling again. Regardless of who we play, I don't think that is going to get him fired--and I think he has built up enough goodwill that one 2-4 win season wouldn't do it either. Simply put, the wheels will have to come off IMO for him to get fired.
Now- that is all assuming that Rice does not change or has not changed fundamentally in its approach to football. What I described above is not going to get any notice outside the hedges and certainly is not going to get us an invite to a better conference. If we truly have higher aspirations, then my math above is likely wrong. If the powers-that-be have the (pessimistic/realistic?) attitude of some on his board that a P5 invite is never coming, no matter what we do (which has become my suspicion- the attitude I mean), then really, why would we change anything? We are a winning program with a ton of respect for how we go about it, great kids who graduate, etc.
I could take the truly negative view and say that JK looks at this as a steppingstone and is looking for marginal improvement in revenues, a stable/ conference contending football team, and a surging basketball program to use to move HIMSELF to a P5 conference. I don't really think that is the case, but I also don't see any moves that convince me that any major, program-altering changes are afoot.