(09-22-2015 04:00 PM)toddjnsn Wrote: IF 2 teams from the AAC leave to go to the B12 within the next 1-4 years: Cinci + UConn/Houston/ECU, then the possibilities to join will be:
- Northern Illinois (low attendance, but big TV audience of Chitown)
- Marshall (solid attendance, but low TV audience)
- W Kentucky (always expanding)
- LA-Tech (always a solid team)
- Toledo (Good in both basketball & football)
- Rice (Great on academic paper; good fball seasons here and there; does AAC want another good-by-academics team tho?)
- GA-Southern (new to FBS but proven Very well in football; would need schemes for expansion, etc)
NIU doesn't have the attendance behind them or anytime soon to jump in to the B12 soon. Their expanding stadium and such and their nice Bball court setup is definitely enough to join AAC.
Don't confuse TV ratings with simple being located in a big city or state.
Rice would be the next team to get added to the AAC. Schools like SMU, Tulsa, and Tulane would prefer Rice to NIU. Plus Rice has money, NIU is broke. High subsidy, low ticket sales and donations. If the call came in to both schools that they needed to raise money for facilities to get the AAC invite Rice would take about 10 minutes to raise whatever cash they needed, NIU would take years to raise even 10 million dollars in additional donations.
NIU is broke. 27 million $ AD with 18 coming from subsidy. Over 2/3 of the AD budget is subsidy. Keep in mind schools like UConn and Cinci have double the AD budget. Even Memphis is nearly double.
Northern Illinois MAC $27,007,054 $26,130,115 $18,339,414 67.91
Ticket sales and donations are really low.
YEAR TICKET SALES CONTRIBUTIONS RIGHTS / LICENSING STUDENT FEES SCHOOL FUNDS OTHER TOTAL REVENUES
2014 $1,097,519 $1,724,111 $3,247,556 $9,101,312 $9,238,102 $2,598,453 $27,007,054
2013 $2,203,585 $1,305,957 $3,162,675 $8,978,949 $8,593,495 $2,014,622 $26,259,284
2012 $1,824,668 $1,184,136 $2,234,722 $8,917,520 $8,093,033 $1,250,426 $23,504,505
2011 $864,185 $1,329,546 $2,258,754 $8,769,232 $7,960,385 $2,966,500 $24,148,602
2010 $908,503 $1,158,340 $1,764,396 $8,333,419 $7,796,572 $2,249,570 $22,210,800
2009 $1,016,563 $1,087,486 $2,364,564 $7,748,529 $7,397,518 $1,629,020 $21,243,679
2008 $2,215,645 $1,226,237 $1,944,254 $7,128,877 $8,306,573 $2,520,421 $23,342,006
2007 $1,368,752 $1,335,269 $2,195,427 $6,535,717 $5,619,450 $2,345,655 $19,400,270
2006 $902,056 $1,019,791 $1,731,336 $6,228,207 $5,371,910 $2,283,791 $17,537,089
2005 $1,022,586 $1,268,164 $1,691,444 $5,883,125 $4,751,288 $1,242,600 $15,859,206
And academically they are inferior to Rice, and schools like SMU , TUlsa, and Tulane care about academics.