(10-16-2015 10:01 PM)Policiious Wrote: (10-16-2015 09:07 PM)JRsec Wrote: Way to early to tell. We'll see. If Michigan beats the Spartans and Penn State beats Ohio State and Northwestern beats Iowa everything could turn on a dime. This kind of crap works both ways boys. Maybe we are overrated and maybe not. But most likely every conference will have at least one that looks better than the rest. If Utah can run the gauntlet it will be them in the PAC. This weekend will tell us a lot about A&M, Alabama, Florida, and L.S.U.. Baylor had better stay unbeaten because T.C.U. is very suspect and the rest of the Big 12 is a Big meh! Personally I think that neither Clemson nor F.S.U. has really been tested and both have been very suspect.
So we wait and see.......just like every other year.
The SEC started the season with 10 ranked teams and is down to 5. That is quite a dropoff. Clemson did beat Notre Dame which is a decent opponent. End of the season will prove very interesting with the GA vs GT, KY vs Lville , So Car vs Clemson and FLorida vs FSU matchups. The latter will be the most interesting, both teams may enter the game undefeated and have clinched their respective divisions. the loser of that game could win it's conference title but still get left out of the playoffs.
Iowa and Northwestern are pretty evenly matched #17 vs #20. If Northwestern wins out the regular season but losses the B10 title game by a close margin the Wildcats might still qualify for a playoff spot because they have wins over Stanford which could be playing for the 12 PAC title and Duke who could be playing for the ACC title. If Either of those 2 teams or if both of them win their conference title games, the fact that they each lost to Northwestern might keep their conference out of the playoffs.
Interesting? Georgia takes Tech, Clemson takes South Carolina, Florida upsets an overrated F.S.U. and Kentucky and Louisville will be a pick em. I hardly call the mid tier to lower tier (Florida excluded) interesting. But it is what an extremely weak ACC hangs its hat on.
I like Northwestern. But the playoff committee won't if they don't win the Big 10 outright they will suffer the same fate as other small market privates (see T.C.U. and Baylor). In the end the committee is just a justification for taking the schools that bring the most national attention so that the advertising bucks can flirt with the highest rates outside of the Super Bowl. Until there are 4 champs it's still just a dog and pony show for network profits.
In the end there will be an SEC school, a Big 10 school, and likely a Big 12 school this year. The less attractive of the PAC and ACC will sit it out. My money is on the ACC unless everyone in the PAC has two losses. Why? The SEC and Big 10 cover most of the East coast now and the Big 12 will likely have 1 unbeaten. The PAC is the bonus market and the networks clean up.
All of that **** & bull about SOS last year was just a justification for dumping two of the worst national draws that were scaring the network execs about their ad rates. The nation doesn't tune in for T.C.U. and Baylor. They do tune in for the Ohio State Buckeyes. When the Buckeyes never lost again after Virginia Tech the execs breathed a collective sigh of relief. It meant that the strongest Midwest markets and the upper East Coast would now watch the CFP in sufficient numbers. IMO when this is all over with that is why the Horny Toads and Bears will likely be sitting on the outside looking in, not enough TV sets and yet good enough to screw up the best laid plans of the Mouse.
But hey, I'm a realist and sometimes a cynic. But wait and watch. At the end of the year I'll be right, again. 1 Big 10 champ (Michigan, Ohio State, Michigan State, or even Iowa but no Northwestern), 1 SEC champ (L.S.U., A&M, Alabama, or Florida), only a Big 12 champ if they are undefeated, and the greater of (Stanford, Utah, California, Florida State and Clemson).