RE: Rank the teams on this year's schedule from easiest to toughest to beat
12. Georgia State - Troy lead Georgia State 45-14 late in what was Troy's worst season under Larry Blakeney (24 years). Despite message board rumors that the panthers improved last season, they were markedly worse in 2014 than in 2013. Troy should have no problem trouncing a program that has yet to win an FBS game and has shown no signs of life.
11. Idaho - Troy gets Idaho at home midseason after beating the vandals soundly in the (kibbie?) dome. Many publications have the trio of Georgia State, Idaho, and New Mexico State being much improved. None of these teams have showed that they are capable of improvement and there has been no "hype" from any of the teams themselves. I expect Troy to have improved enough that all three will put "W"s in the win column for Troy, as they did last season.
10. New Mexico State - From here, the hype train has taken off, but are these bottom three teams really that much improved? I doubt it. This was a game Troy played very well in and I expect a more disciplined, turnover hungry Troy team to repeat their success west of Texas.
9. South Alabama - The Jaguars return 5 starters from 2014, and not much depth according to Phil Steele as they rank very low in tackles and yards returning. With 9 UAB transfers (that final number may have been reduced to 7), 5 JUCO transfers, and 1 FBS transfer, the Jaguars will likely have chemistry issues going into the season. If the Jaguars count on UAB transfers to be their rock, they will have a rough time. The Blazers were only 6-6 despite being much improved, with their best players RB Jordan Howard going to Indiana, and WR Jamarcus Nelson posting the fastest 40 time in this year's NFL combine. The architect of UAB's miraculous turnaround, Bill Clark, has opted to stay at UAB. It's Game 4 and the conference opener for the Trojans. The game is at Troy, under the lights, with new head coach Neal Brown. He's stated at media day how monumentally important this game is and will have the Trojans fired up.
8. Louisiana-Monroe - This is Troy's arch nemisis. The Trojans haven't beat the Warhawks since 2009. It's a new dawn, it's a new day, for head Neal Brown and the Troy Trojans. A one point loss to ULM in Monroe helped define Troy's season. The tables could turn at home for Troy in a revenge match where Troy finally gets the monkey off it's back. ULM will have it's third QB in three years and hasn't been very good recently. Troy will want this game more than a few others.
7. Louisiana - Troy plays at Louisiana in the last game of the season for the Trojans. In what could be a trap game for the Cajuns, the Trojan Air Raid Offense will be in high gear at a time the Cajuns are known for taking a step back and playing much more conservative. The timing of this game favors Troy, but the Trojans have not beaten the Rajun Cajuns since 2010.
6. Charleston Southern - A Top 25 FCS team in Game 2 for Troy under a new head coach in Neal Brown. The Buccaneers bring back 38 of 44 on the two deep from a team that took Vanderbilt to the wire. They have five transfers from P5/BCS/AQ schools, and return Senior QB Austin Brown. Brown was UAB's QB in 2013 when they came to Troy and lost in overtime on a blocked kick. He has a bone to pick with Troy and is bringing 38 of his best friends on the two deep with him. Charleston Southern will run an option offense versus a Troy team that may not have had time to shore up the interior defensive line. The timing of this game heavily favors an extremely hungry Charleston Southern team.
5. Appalachian State - This spot would be reserved for Arkansas State, but Troy does not play them this year. Recruiting was not great (by 247 standards), but like Georgia Southern (and Boise), they play way above and beyond their paper talent. These are not teams that are going to go away. Troy's game in Boone will be a test for Troy's improved offense, but the mountaineer environment could prove too much for a growing Troy program.
4. North Carolina State - Anything can happen in Game 1, but the Trojans have a lot to install. Rush defense, specifically defensive tackles, was not addressed by way of JUCOs or transfers. This unit has a long way to go and North Carolina runs a respectable run game. They have some great wide receivers as well and are expected by some to be a Top 25 team this year. Troy could keep it close in a lackluster Game 1, with North Carolina State separating in the 4th.
3. Georgia Southern - Not quite ready for the big leagues Georgia Southern comes in right behind the bulldogs in my hypothetical power rankings. A familiar tune plays out with Troy's inability to stop the run. The game is at home, but The Eagles play the same whether they are at home or on the road.
2. Mississippi State - Troy lost (with a pretty good team) in 2013 to the bulldogs 62-7. Troy will play with more fire this time, but will likely still lose by a decent margin, especially with heisman candidate Dak Prescott still on the roster.
1. Wisconsin - Troy's rush defense was as bad as it's been in nearly 20 years last season, and Wisconsin had the #1 running back in the country. He may be gone, but when teams have a #1 back, they usually have a few bruisers and speedsters right behind him ready to step up. I don't expect Troy to be improved on rush defense by game three.
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