(07-12-2015 03:04 PM)eager eagle Wrote:
USM will jump ship immediately prior to any vote on that if there is any indication it might be approved.
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There are 4 schools of thought at play, that would dictate such a decision. Their probabilities should be weighed accordingly.
1.) The probability that a "P5" invite comes. In this instance a 10 million exit fee will not dissuade them and USM would be free to go.
2.) The probability that another "G5" invite comes to USM. If this happens, the exit fee may impede USM leaving. However, we can all agree that the ADVANTAGES of being in one of those other conferences has been extraordinarily MINIMIZED.
3.) The probability that CUSA loses a program, other than USM. If we have no exit fee, and a program like UTEP, Charlotte, or ODU is poached after CUSA invested years after moving them up from fbs (to perhaps see them turn into a UCF), the result would be that USM is left again in a conference without a strong team(s) that is/are bringing attention to CUSA.
4.) Everyone stays. Everyone builds. Seems sound to me. Unless you don't believe in the potential of the current CUSA programs to stabilize and start making strides, this sounds like the only scenario that our fate is in our own hands.
#1 is a no brainer. #2 is a minimal gain. #3 is disaster (the proverbial ant hill getting stepped on.... again)
You think things can't get any worse?
#3 has the
much higher likelihood. If you think otherwise, you're smoking some good stuff.
#4 puts the power in our own hands.
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There is only ONE school of thought at USM and that concerns moving back into a league with our peers which would never happen if we weld ourselves to a bunch of swelled heads. Cusa is now comprised of a pack of newbies who are only here because the original group is gone, not because of their history, respect, etc but simply due to the panic mode of our commissioner as he grabbed whoever was willing to move in at the time. All of the newbies left one league or another to get here and I venture to say that another could be formed or we could join one from schools such as ULL, Ark State, S Ala, etc that would easily rival this hodgepodge of cusa teams with considerably less travel. That could suit USM just fine until our ducks are in a row (basketball facility).
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You are in a league with your peers. If that wasn't the case you would be in the AAC or a P5 conference right now.