Quote:I'm on board. Would love to see the Admiral take down Cubit head-to-head.
Good! :) I would/will spend a lot of time lobbying for that across the Internet, not only to see PJ vs Cubit -- but also, I think Cubit Could be a good HC, and could have the opportunity to sign at least a short-term contract to make them at least decent/average (like Minnesota), if he shows well in 2016 or somehow has to take the helm in 2015 and has them go bowling.
Quote:Your boy won't be at WMU next year
Really? You seem to have a lot of faith in WMU winning the MAC West this year (or losing in a tie but getting to 9W which could get him hired). Remember, he's still under .500 with our team. He's 9-16. So pretty much he'd have to double his career HC win total in this year alone (and still be under .500 overall) for a realistic hire.
Here's why 9W is something that's far from a given where ya'd think "He's not going to be around next year":
- Playing 2 Top-5-ish teams in the Country (MSU & Ohio State)
- Playing 3 road games against Top-15 G5 teams (@NIU, @Toledo, @GA-Southern) -- 2 of which are in-division which is a HUGE tide against winning the MAC West
- Playing Improved MAC East Champs Bowling Green (Matt Johnson back at QB; new coach won MAC East last year)
That's 6 games, realistically & non-pessimistically, one would see WMU going 2-4 in.
Assuming they do that going 2-4, and beat the other 6 teams unscathed -- which includes the Dark Horse Ball State + Ohio who will be more solid (2nd best MAC East), and all the rest (CMU, @EMU, FCS, an Improved Miami-OH who may be a year away from being pretty darn good)....
... WMU would be 8-4. No, PJ's not going to get hired elsewhere going 8-4 this year unless one of those wins was knocking out Ohio State or somehow winning the MAC West with that record. It would put him in position to Solidify that last year was truly no joke -- and that next year WILL be his last, with @Illinois & @NW replacing MSU & Ohio State, plus both Toledo, NIU, and GA-Southern being at home.
MY VIEW FOR WMU's RECORD THIS YEAR:
5-7: 15%
6-6: 30%
7-5: 30%
8-4: 15% (most likely wouldn't win MAC West; 10% chance to do so @8-4 in the West, and him also hired elsewhere)
9-3: 10% (75% chance hired elsewhere)
1.5%+7.5% = 9% chance hired elsewhere after this season, by my view of WMU's expectations on record at the end. Even if one were to say there'd be a 20% chance @8-4 he'd be hired elsewhere and a 90% chance he'd be hired elsewhere @9-3 -- (optimistic view by his agent I'm sure) -- that'd still be just a 12% chance in my book by what to expect at the end of this year. I WILL happily eat crow if we're 8-4 or better, which I do not expect!! :)
Now, if he had previous OC/DC experience or actual/formal Assistant Coaching experience at P5/big schools for several years -- I think him going 8-4 would have a higher chance of him getting hired elsewhere. But without anything notable besides WR coach, and having an under .500 record @WMU -- I see that as possible, but very ballsy move by a P5 or upper-G5 to hire him paying him more than his current top-MAC $$ allows -- especially if he were to take on a Wake Forrest or something which wouldn't be good for him (as opposed to Illinois which would be his calling; however Illinois is going to be apprehensive about not seeing a HC flourish after getting Beckman from Toledo a bit too soon).
And IMO, those % chances of record, is siding on the Optimistic (if one were a non-WMU fan, breaking things down).